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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#11
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Damien.
Are you really in Huddersfield (North West?)? Yes. I am "*really* in Huddersfield (North West?)" I lived just over the hill in Penistone for 8 years until a year ago and compared to other parts of the country, I think you have little to complain about. Maybe. But I am used to December 1995/February 1994/etc.-type events. (In fact, you know what I SHOULD - by rights! - be used to, but I will not go down that particular road again. It is becoming patronising.) Personally, 2003 and 2004 were rubbish here. 2004, for example, saw two LIGHT snowfalls, which both soon cleared away, and 2003 likewise, plus + just 1 more prolonged wintry period, but still with fairly underwhelming snow when in direct comparison with the 1990s - even the 1980s for that very matter! - plus 2001. 2002 bears not thinking about, does it, Mr. Presutti, Mr. Partridge, Mr. Woodcock, Mr. Sarre? No. Remember, you live on a HILL, I live on a SLIGHT SLOPE. That said, however, it just goes up to the Castle Hill area - which did very well out of 2003, I must concede, if not actually me.:-( Get your bike out, take a tent and spend a weekend on Holme Moss! I go hillwalking regularly. A friend of mine in Holmfirth - although I did not actually see it - reported "sledgeable" 4 inches of snow up that way!:-o I wonder how much this weekend will deliver? D. |
#12
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In message , Martin Rowley
writes "Redshift" wrote in message .. . Do I read the GFS correctly? Is there is risk of heavy snow across the centre of England on Friday night on the north edge of the little depression swinging SE across the country? http://www2.wetter3.de/Animation_12_UTC/60_30.gif ... interesting one isn't it! A lot can go wrong with these small-scale features - it looks as if the cold low-level air will flood down from the north, but it will all be finely balanced as regards the positioning/intensity of that small-scale low; certainly 'one to watch'! Martin, What interests me is the shift from yesterdays GFS and UKMO products to today's. In the good days (and they were) the T=48 southerly jet forecast over Newfoundland, (UKMO) would certainly introduce a cold northerly over UK. (George's Theorem). Agreement between models is fairly good at midday, but continuity from yesterday is poor. Fascinating stuff, but when you have to issue every night caution is essential in these circumstances. The small feature forecast to cross UK was first handled by the GFS on 1200 prog Monday, ignored last night now back again. Basically we don't know. But the potential for some snow is there - exactly where again we don't know yet. Still - some interest. Regards Paul -- 'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates. Paul Bartlett FRMetS |
#13
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Are you THE Mr. Paul Bartlett, inventor of the so-called "Bartlett
High", as they call it over on The Weather Outlook discussion forum? That Bartlett High... it only went and TOOK MY DREAMS IN 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002... AND SO FORTH! WHY DID THE "BARTLETT HIGH" TAKE MY DREAMS?!!! WHY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! D. |
#14
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On 19 Jan 2005 13:21:21 -0800, "Damien" wrote:
Are you THE Mr. Paul Bartlett, inventor of the so-called "Bartlett High", as they call it over on The Weather Outlook discussion forum? That Bartlett High... it only went and TOOK MY DREAMS IN 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002... AND SO FORTH! WHY DID THE "BARTLETT HIGH" TAKE MY DREAMS?!!! WHY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! D. Keep on taking the tablets. |
#15
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Keep on taking the tablets
PERHAPS A HISTORY LESSON IS IN ORDER!? (Seeing as I am looking at Archive.Org right now.;-) ) http://web.archive.org/web/200109190...eroutlook.com/ Quoted: "Winter 2002 Both of our seasonal forecasting models are now pointing towards a severe winter ahead for the UK. For the first time in years the Siberian high looks like extending west towards the UK dragging in bitterly cold air from Russia for much of January. South East England is likely to have its first heavy snowfall for several years. More soon. Issued 18/09" Yes, I KNOW now that Brian and I have made amends and talked this through, but this remains a good example of how *not* to do a "winter" forecast - with various others from the likes of Tom Presutti and Gavin Partridge more or less THE SAME. THE SAME! Speaking of which, where is Tom? We've got some archive searching to do.;-) No, seriously, We do. Regards, D. |
#16
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Damien wrote:
Damien. Are you really in Huddersfield (North West?)? Yes. I am "*really* in Huddersfield (North West?)" You probably need to move to Buffalo, New York; at least for the winter months. -- Chris www.ivy-house.net Swaffham, Norfolk |
#17
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In article ,
Succorso writes: Damien wrote: Damien. Are you really in Huddersfield (North West?)? Yes. I am "*really* in Huddersfield (North West?)" You probably need to move to Buffalo, New York; at least for the winter months. It would put rather a hole in his theory that capitalism means little snow. -- John Hall "One half of the world cannot understand the pleasures of the other." From "Emma" by Jane Austen (1775-1817) |
#18
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Is it true that you won't forecast a cold winter again due to global
warming? This is exceptionally disturbing. Such theories would get you lynched or exiled in Eastern Europe. There, rain, and other capitalist ideologies, are not tolerated. Sorry, but I'm having a bad night this evening. The association of "Bartlett" with "High", "1998", "2002", and "dreams", is doing my head in. But I am not taking it out on you. The Weather Outlook forum people are prepared to tolerate Codge, Pablito, and other such trolls, but not someone who just wants a thing called justice. D. |
#19
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![]() "Damien" wrote in message ps.com... Ah, "Col", the man(?) who always posts after me, without fail.;-) Huh?? I think that was the first time I've ever replied to one of your posts! I think your expectations of the British climate are somewhat unrealistic as regards snow! But very much realistic regarding Slavs.:-) But you don't live in Slavia any more....... Whereabouts in the country are you? The North-West, just east of the Pennines. We tend to miss out on BOTH north-westerlies AND easterlies, although December 1995, February 1994, and the other great, undoubtedly Scandinavian-induced events of the last two or three decades have been quite kind of Huddersfield. However, the 1999 - or was it 2000? - easterly produced pathetic WET SNOW here and heavy snow for Brian Gaze and co. down in the South-East. Hence, my big fear is that, with north-westerlies, like now, hardly EVER delivering, easterly outbreaks may have lost their key "touch" or edge in recent years. Maybe they are just not getting this far inland? Huddersfield would never be described as being in the 'North-West'. Col -- Bolton, Lancashire. 160m asl. http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co....rPictures.html |
#20
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![]() "John Hall" wrote in message ... It would put rather a hole in his theory that capitalism means little snow. I wonder how he would like to explain the snow in Washington DC for Bush's inauguration ![]() Col -- Bolton, Lancashire. 160m asl. http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co....rPictures.html |
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