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Old January 23rd 05, 04:10 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ECMWF for Next Saturday

I think you may have misread my reply compared to others.

By saying "I couldn't help noticing the date", I meant Sat 29 Jan and the
similarity with the charts for next week (Sat 29 Jan) compared to those
associated with a notable short cold spell many years ago on Sat 29 Jan.


"Shaun Pudwell" wrote in message
...
For those who are otherwise brain dead, select 12 GMT + 168h ( Saturday
29th
Jan 2005 ).
I didn't think I needed to spell it out on a science news group!

Shaun Pudwell.


"Pete B" wrote in message
...
"Shaun Pudwell" wrote in message
...
Just look at this chart. Our current high and the big Russian high

appear
to be merging by next weekend. If this is to happen then I would have

to
say big time snow. It's all on a knife edge at the moment though.

See Link:
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...cmwf/pslv.html

Shaun Pudwell.


Hi

I couldn't help noticing the day/date. The forecast chart is not exactly

the
same but not far off that for Sat 29th Jan 1972, 33 years ago:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/archive...1972012912.gif

The day before was even closer:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/archive...1972012812.gif

For some reason, the intense cold of that Saturday in Macclesfield,

Cheshire
(max temp ~ -3) stuck in my mind ever since. Although I was only a

teenager
at the time, the strong NE wind, continual but light snow showers (which

did
not melt but the slight deposit from each one just blew around for the

rest
of the day) interspersed with sunshine became a 'baseline' in my own
records, possibly because I had a 'schoolboy' Saturday job then that
involved outside work. Until Dec 31 1978, nothing so cold had been had

since
in that locality and only a handful of days since in winters such as the
rest of 1979, 1981/82, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1995/6 (and Dec 2000 on a

visit
to E Kilbride area of Scotland) have produced anything quite the same in

any
area I have lived.

For the record, that 1972 cold spell went on for another 2 days followed

by
an all day snowfall in Macclesfield on Tues 1 Feb 1972 which
unfortunately
heralded the onset of milder weather the following day and the cold spell
was then over.

So 9 years on from the last time in 1995/6, here's just hoping ;-)

--
Pete

Please take my dog out twice to e-mail

---------------------------------------------------------------
The views expressed above are entirely those of the writer and
do not represent the views, policy or understanding of any
other person or official body.
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  #12   Report Post  
Old January 23rd 05, 06:54 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ECMWF for Next Saturday

Don't worry, I regularly have days like that!!

Shaun Pudwell.


"Graham P Davis" wrote in message
...
Alan White wrote:

On Sun, 23 Jan 2005 13:19:08 GMT, (mjones) wrote:

That's the sample chart .........


I realised that one second after posting. It's called 'a senior
moment'. They creep up on you as you get older.


I've been having them since I was a child. It's somehow comforting that I
was having them over 50 years ago, but now I worry that they might be
getting more frequent. Trouble is, I can't remember how frequent they used
to be . . .

Graham





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