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-   -   Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters (https://www.weather-banter.co.uk/uk-sci-weather-uk-weather/111145-hurricane-florence-closing-bermudan-waters.html)

Martin Rowley September 10th 06 03:36 PM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
From Miami - latest (15Z) .....

HOWEVER...IN THE PAST HOUR OR TWO THE EYE APPEARS TO HAVE
BECOME BETTER DEFINED. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM AROUND 1800 UTC
TODAY AND SHOULD PROVIDE A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF THE INTENSITY.
CIRRUS OUTFLOW IS WELL DEFINED EXCEPT TO THE EAST...AND FLORENCE
WILL BE TRAVERSING SSTS 28 DEGREES CELSIUS OR HIGHER FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. STRENGTHENING IS THEREFORE FORECAST AND FLORENCE COULD
BE A STRONG CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE WHEN IT IS NEAR BERMUDA.
AFTERWARDS...INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS SHOULD
IMPART A GRADUAL WEAKENING. HOWEVER... FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN A VERY LARGE AND POWERFUL CYCLONE ONCE IT UNDERGOES
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN ABOUT 72 HOURS.

and Kindley Field beginning to feel the 'outer' effects of the
approaching storm.

TXKF 101504Z 10021G28KT 2SM -TSRA SCT014CB BKN020 BKN050 OVC100 A2984
RMK OCNL LTG ASOCTD CB EMBDD SE-W SLP104
TXKF 101455Z 09019G30KT 3SM -TSRA SCT014CB BKN022 BKN048 OVC100 27/26
A2985 RMK OCNL LTG ASOCTD EMBDD CB SE-W SLP107
TXKF 101414Z 10023G30KT 8SM TS VCSH SCT015CB BKN023 BKN080 OVC120 A2986
RMK CB EMBDD APRX 15 SE-SW SLP111
TXKF 101355Z 10019G26KT 8SM SCT015 BKN075 OVC120 27/26 A2985 RMK HZ
SLP110 Satellite imagery he-
(VIS)http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.htmlLinks to sites from
Q/A 3.19 of the FAQ

(and no doubt it will have an impact on our weather in a few days time -
despite the forecaster trying to hide it behind his shoulder at
lunchtime!)

Martin.


--
FAQ & Glossary for uk.sci.weather at:-
http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htm
and
http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/metindex.htm



Dave Liquorice September 10th 06 04:36 PM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
On Sun, 10 Sep 2006 15:36:41 GMT, Martin Rowley wrote:

(and no doubt it will have an impact on our weather in a few days time
- despite the forecaster trying to hide it behind his shoulder at
lunchtime!)


I thought that when I saw it's projected track offshore and up towards
Newfoundland. I don't blame the forecaster trying to hide it, can you
imagine the media hype if the news of an approaching hurricane(*) got
out?

(*) Even though it'll be no more than a rather warm and wet atlantic
depression by the time it gets here...

--
Cheers
Dave. pam is missing e-mail




Martin Rowley September 10th 06 07:05 PM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
Latest TAF from Bermuda (Kindley Field)
200609101745 TAF TXKF 101745Z 101818 10030G50KT P6SM SCT012 BKN020
OVC080
TEMPO 1818 2SM SHRA BKN012
PROB40 TEMPO 1818 1/2SM TSRA BKN008CB
BECMG 2201 12045G55KT
BECMG 0306 15055G65KT
BECMG 1012 18065G85KT
PROB40 TEMPO 1015 20075G95KT
BECMG 1213 23065G85KT
BECMG 1315 23050G65KT
BECMG 1517 25045G55KT=the variations mainly wind
related: up to 85kn gusts (by 1200Z tomorrow), with a PROB40 of mean 75,
gusts 95 between 1000 and 1500Z.Martin. -- FAQ & Glossary for
uk.sci.weather
at:-http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htmandhttp://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/metindex.htm



Michael Di Bernardo September 10th 06 10:06 PM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
TXKF 102155Z 12025G32KT 4SM HZ FEW012 SCT025 BKN100 OVC140 27/25 A2968 RMK
SLP051

TXKF 101745Z 101818 10030G50KT P6SM SCT012 BKN020 OVC080
TEMPO 1818 2SM SHRA BKN012
PROB40
TEMPO 1818 1/2SM TSRA BKN008CB
BECMG 2201 12045G55KT
BECMG 0306 15055G65KT
BECMG 1012 18065G85KT
PROB40
TEMPO 1015 20075G95KT
BECMG 1213 23065G85KT
BECMG 1315 23050G65KT
BECMG 1517 25045G55KT

More of the same in the latest.www.dudleyweather.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk



flybywire September 11th 06 09:13 AM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
try

http://www.weather.bm/


"Michael Di Bernardo"
wrote in message k...
TXKF 102155Z 12025G32KT 4SM HZ FEW012 SCT025 BKN100 OVC140 27/25 A2968 RMK
SLP051

TXKF 101745Z 101818 10030G50KT P6SM SCT012 BKN020 OVC080
TEMPO 1818 2SM SHRA BKN012
PROB40
TEMPO 1818 1/2SM TSRA BKN008CB
BECMG 2201 12045G55KT
BECMG 0306 15055G65KT
BECMG 1012 18065G85KT
PROB40
TEMPO 1015 20075G95KT
BECMG 1213 23065G85KT
BECMG 1315 23050G65KT
BECMG 1517 25045G55KT

More of the same in the latest.www.dudleyweather.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk





Colin Youngs September 11th 06 06:49 PM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
Seems to be passing now http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TXKF.html

Colin Youngs
Brussels



flybywire September 11th 06 10:10 PM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
we were in Bermuda in 1975 when a hurricane nearly hit

Everyone battened down , water got in etc etc . Very windy as you would
expect . Would you believe the local tv station forgot to tell islanders
when the hurricane actually missed the island

M


"Colin Youngs" wrote in message
...
Seems to be passing now

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TXKF.html

Colin Youngs
Brussels





BlueLightning September 12th 06 04:16 AM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
Ex-Florence coming to Uk shores ?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...626.shtml?5day

8pm Fri - west of Ireland

It is prog'd to become a very powerful extra-tropical storm
Better keep an eye on this one

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 12/0300Z 35.8N 63.9W 75 KT
12HR VT 12/1200Z 37.8N 62.6W 70 KT
24HR VT 13/0000Z 40.6N 59.9W 65 KT
36HR VT 13/1200Z 44.0N 56.4W 60 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 14/0000Z 46.5N 51.5W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 15/0000Z 49.5N 37.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 16/0000Z 52.0N 20.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 17/0000Z...ABSORBED


flybywire September 12th 06 05:44 AM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
the jet stream looks as if it will dissipate it to a degree but Ireland will
get most of what's left

http://virga.sfsu.edu/scripts/jetsat_atl_modelsml.html

"BlueLightning" wrote in message
ups.com...
Ex-Florence coming to Uk shores ?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...626.shtml?5day

8pm Fri - west of Ireland

It is prog'd to become a very powerful extra-tropical storm
Better keep an eye on this one

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 12/0300Z 35.8N 63.9W 75 KT
12HR VT 12/1200Z 37.8N 62.6W 70 KT
24HR VT 13/0000Z 40.6N 59.9W 65 KT
36HR VT 13/1200Z 44.0N 56.4W 60 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 14/0000Z 46.5N 51.5W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 15/0000Z 49.5N 37.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 16/0000Z 52.0N 20.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 17/0000Z...ABSORBED




cupra September 12th 06 06:36 AM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
BlueLightning wrote:
Ex-Florence coming to Uk shores ?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...626.shtml?5day

8pm Fri - west of Ireland

It is prog'd to become a very powerful extra-tropical storm
Better keep an eye on this one

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 12/0300Z 35.8N 63.9W 75 KT
12HR VT 12/1200Z 37.8N 62.6W 70 KT
24HR VT 13/0000Z 40.6N 59.9W 65 KT
36HR VT 13/1200Z 44.0N 56.4W 60 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 14/0000Z 46.5N 51.5W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 15/0000Z 49.5N 37.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 16/0000Z 52.0N 20.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 17/0000Z...ABSORBED


Shssh - don't tell the tabloids.....



flybywire September 12th 06 06:46 AM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
see 132 hrs forecast on wave height below Florence aftermath hitting Europe

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/...l_swht_132.gif










" cupra" wrote in message
...
BlueLightning wrote:
Ex-Florence coming to Uk shores ?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...626.shtml?5day

8pm Fri - west of Ireland

It is prog'd to become a very powerful extra-tropical storm
Better keep an eye on this one

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 12/0300Z 35.8N 63.9W 75 KT
12HR VT 12/1200Z 37.8N 62.6W 70 KT
24HR VT 13/0000Z 40.6N 59.9W 65 KT
36HR VT 13/1200Z 44.0N 56.4W 60 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 14/0000Z 46.5N 51.5W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 15/0000Z 49.5N 37.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 16/0000Z 52.0N 20.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 17/0000Z...ABSORBED


Shssh - don't tell the tabloids.....





flybywire September 12th 06 06:47 AM

Hurricane 'Florence' closing on Bermudan waters
 
click yes to trust

"flybywire" wrote in message
...
see 132 hrs forecast on wave height below Florence aftermath hitting

Europe

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/...l_swht_132.gif










" cupra" wrote in message
...
BlueLightning wrote:
Ex-Florence coming to Uk shores ?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...626.shtml?5day

8pm Fri - west of Ireland

It is prog'd to become a very powerful extra-tropical storm
Better keep an eye on this one

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 12/0300Z 35.8N 63.9W 75 KT
12HR VT 12/1200Z 37.8N 62.6W 70 KT
24HR VT 13/0000Z 40.6N 59.9W 65 KT
36HR VT 13/1200Z 44.0N 56.4W 60 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 14/0000Z 46.5N 51.5W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 15/0000Z 49.5N 37.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 16/0000Z 52.0N 20.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 17/0000Z...ABSORBED


Shssh - don't tell the tabloids.....








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