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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#41
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On Mar 9, 6:51 pm, Kate Brown wrote:
In article , dated Fri, 9 Mar 2007, Gianna wrote e.g. the only ordinary light bulbs I have left in use (3x 25w, 1x 40w) are in fittings where it is not physically possible to insert the low wattage fluorescents. They are seldom used - should that change I will need to change the light fittings. I commend you, and would like to do the same, except we can't find any that give a light we can live in for any length of time. We tried them in the kitchen, which is a pretty cheerful duck-egg blue - they turned the walls a sad greenish grey which was desperately depressing. If anyone can recommend ones with a decent colour spectrum we'd buy them like a shot. You want one with a modified warm phosphor. Typically they are packaged to look more like a chunky traditional light bulb/jamjar hybrid. The economy ones with the tubes visible tend to have a classic fluorescent green mercury line cast. Regards, Martin Brown |
#42
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On Mar 10, 10:12 am, "Bonos Ego" wrote:
On Mar 9, 7:59 am, Bob Martin wrote: Perhaps, but it takes a special kind of naivety (or worse) to think that we can go on pumping millions of tons of crap into our atmosphere without any detrimental effects. Wow, hang on a minute! I never said that we should carry on pumping pollutants into the atmosphere, I think I have been very much misunderstood. You nailed your colours to the mast by declaring this pack of half- truths and downright lies to be "brilliant". And again below. In saying brilliant, I'm saying at last there is some counter balance against the global warming brigade, which appears to have been hijacked by politicians as a means for not letting 2nd / 3rd World countries develop, which I find repugnant. Is it right that we should deny someone in Africa electricity, and their industrial revolution, when we have already had ours? Leap frogging to use new low energy technologies is more like it. China is actually an unsung hero in terms of low energy CFL production and internal use for instance. As the programme pointed out, CO2 is naturally occurring, and appears to lag rather than lead global warming, with our Sun being the main reason for climate change. So is C02 really a pollutant, an innocent gas which has been sent to prison for a crime it did not commit? They would be well pleased that you have swallowed this misleading message hook line and sinker. What they showed was a TRUE statement. But it is only half the story. If the Earth warms from a brighter sun then after a delay more CO2 comes out of the oceans. but also If the Earth warms from higher greenhouse gas concentrations then after a delay more CO2 comes out of the oceans. ie Positive feedback. This is bad news! Warming oceans are less effective as carbon sinks. It cuts both ways. We can rule out a brighter sun being entirely responsible for the last few decades of warming because there is continuous radiometric monitoring of the sun from satellites. This prevents handwaving explanations that blame the sun. The sun getting brighter is responsible for about half the observed warming over the past century. And greenhouse forcing looks like it contributed a similar amount of warming in the past 3-4 decades. See eg ADS abstracts Baliunas & Soon. . They also quietly ignored the inconvenient fact that the rising CO2 level in the atmosphere is accompanied by a change in the isotope ratios consistent with our burning fossil fuels. The excess CO2 is not from natural oceanic sources. And the atmospheric CO2 level is still climbing rapidly. To recap: the science is now very clear AGW is real and significant. What we do about it is another matter. At a minimum it is time to start with all practical no-regrets energy efficiency measures. Regards, Martin Brown |
#43
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On Mar 9, 10:17 pm, Rodney Blackall
wrote: In article om, Bonos Ego wrote: Just finished watching the programme, one word Brilliant. Recorded it, waiting for time to watch it. This programme was ground breaking, and a voice that goes against man- made global warming, with some hard evidence to back it up. I found the bit about C02, and sea temperatures lagging actual warming very plausible, and made perfect sense that all of this planet's warming is down to our Sun's solar activity. It makes no sense at all. And the hypothesis can be ruled out by observational data. The sun has not changed brightness sufficiently in the past few decades to explain the observed warming trend. If ALL the warming is due to solar activity, then there should be a temperature cycle to match the sunspot cycles. There is not in any of the data I have been shown. Perhaps the ratio of carbon12:carbon14 was shown to be changing in line with the increased solar output (which I do not think the scientific satellites have detected yet). The amount of change in solar output is about 0.1% or 1W/m^2 on around 1370W/M^2. It is way to small to be measurable directly although it is thought perhaps to couple to some resonances in the long term weather/ oceanic currents. There was a thread about this very topic in sci.astro.amateur last week. MSGID: BkYHh.31287$Du6.1493@edtnps82 Taken from one of the answers to that thread by Canopus56 --quote-- Moore, John; Grinsted, Aslak; Jevrejeva, Svetlana. 9/2006. Is there evidence for sunspot forcing of climate at multi-year and decadal periods? 2006GeoRL..3317705M http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/np...eoRL..3317705M "We conclude that the 11-year cycle sometimes seen in climate proxy records is unlikely to be driven by solar forcing, and most likely reflects other natural cycles of the climate system such as the 14- year cycle, or a harmonic combination of multi-year cycles." Siquig, R. A.; Hoyt, D. V. 1979. Sunspot structure and the climate of the last one hundred years. 1979LPICo.390...93S http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/np...PICo.390...93S Sunspot numbers as a proxy for solar luminence do not provide a better fit to observed climate variations than pre-existing volcanic dust models. --end quote-- Regards, Martin Brown |
#44
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In article . com, dated
Tue, 13 Mar 2007, Martin Brown wrote On Mar 9, 6:51 pm, Kate Brown wrote: In article , dated Fri, 9 Mar 2007, Gianna wrote e.g. the only ordinary light bulbs I have left in use (3x 25w, 1x 40w) are in fittings where it is not physically possible to insert the low wattage fluorescents. They are seldom used - should that change I will need to change the light fittings. I commend you, and would like to do the same, except we can't find any that give a light we can live in for any length of time. We tried them in the kitchen, which is a pretty cheerful duck-egg blue - they turned the walls a sad greenish grey which was desperately depressing. If anyone can recommend ones with a decent colour spectrum we'd buy them like a shot. You want one with a modified warm phosphor. Typically they are packaged to look more like a chunky traditional light bulb/jamjar hybrid. The economy ones with the tubes visible tend to have a classic fluorescent green mercury line cast. Thanks, I'll have a look for them - the only problem there is that if they are the ones I'm thinking of, they are too big to fit in our existing recessed kitchen ceiling lights... ![]() -- Kate B PS 'elvira' is spamtrapped - please reply to 'elviraspam' at cockaigne if you want to reply personally |
#45
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Caution urged on climate 'risks'
By Pallab Ghosh Science correspondent, BBC News http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/6460635.stm |
#46
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On 17 Mar 2007 02:15:09 -0700, Bonos Ego wrote in
roups.com Caution urged on climate 'risks' By Pallab Ghosh Science correspondent, BBC News http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/6460635.stm See posted by Martin Rowley over two hours ago. Ah I see you are using Google groups so that will probably be misunderstood by your system:-( -- Mike Tullett - Coleraine 55.13°N 6.69°W posted 17/03/2007 10:13:07 GMT |
#47
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I posted under this thread, there are already enough threads on this
topic, and I don't see the point in opening new threads on the same/ similar topic. It would be better if they could all be merged. |
#48
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![]() " Peter Clarke" wrote in message ... "Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message ... "Paul Hyett" wrote in message ... Per Digiguide : SCIENTIFIC DOCUMENTARY: The Great Global Warming Swindle On: Channel 4 (104) Date: Thursday 8th March 2007 - 21:00 to 22:35 Polemical film challenging the consensus that man-made CO2 is heating up the earth. Featuring leading academics, the film questions the science behind the accepted reasons for global warming and argues other explanations for climate change are not being properly aired. -- Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me) .Can't wait. Just overheard 6:30 pm ITV news item claim that "Antarctica is melting before our very eyes" . Don't get too excited. I hear that Piers Corbyn is taking part! Peter Clarke Well the problem with that statement is this: We all know that Piers is a charlatan but I'm convinced he knows more about the subject than say Al Gore, Michael Meacher and so on. Yet we listen to those types blathering on al the bloody time. |
#49
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![]() "Dave Ludlow" wrote in message ... On Fri, 09 Mar 2007 15:19:57 +0000, Gianna wrote: Bob Martin wrote: in 221785 20070309 124614 Gianna wrote: As the proportions of atmospheric gases vary over time, the term 'excess' is subjective. They stated that temperatures, and CO2 levels, have been higher than they presently are, and that was long before industrialisation etc.. Other sources claim that CO2 today is higher than at any time in the last 600,000 years. Yes, they do. As in any scientific debate, each camp is producing evidence in support of their conclusions. I would have no idea which set of evidence is true in some theoretical absolute sense. Unless someone on this group is a qualified climate scientist with access to the primary source raw data (somewhat unlikely), then none of us will know which side is 'correct' (if any). From the posts I have read here, we are all reliant on the secondary sources (or worse). So, we weigh up each case and decide which we think the most plausible. We may then state which body of evidence and conclusion we believe - we may not state which body of evidence is 'true' or 'correct' as we cannot know. Gianna, I agree with your recollection of the main thrust of this programme. The AGW people need to answer scientifically the claim that carbon dioxide emissions _follow_ the temperature changes - the latter is said to be caused by changes in solar activity. The historic comparison graph used to demonstrate that seemed to be quite persuasive but it left me with several questions unanswered. For example: - What is the margin of error in the dating used to produce the graph (of carbon doxide lag)? - Is it correct to say (as they did) that warmer ocean temperatures lead to a greater release of carbon dioxide than cooler ocean temperatures? I have many more questions - and an equal number for the GW protagonists. I find both cases to be seriously lacking in solid evidence never mind proof, when I look at the underlying assumptions. There is too much circumstantial evidence, too few hard facts and too many assumptions for my liking, on both sides. -- Dave That's been known for some time: Take a warm can of coca cola and a very old can, see wich one gives of the most Co2 |
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