GFS ramping up cold spell
 

On Thu, 15 Mar 2007 14:00:12 +0000, Mike Hatton
wrote:

That's 28 March 1975 , for those who aren't Christian chumps.

sig snipped

Usenet convention for sigs is four lines.

Yours greatly exceeds that.

--
Alan White
Mozilla Firefox and Forte Agent.
Twenty-eight miles NW of Glasgow, overlooking Lochs Long and Goil in Argyll, Scotland.
Webcam and weather:- http://windycroft.gt-britain.co.uk/weather

GFS ramping up cold spell
 

"John Hall" wrote:
Dave Cornwell writes:

Third time lucky? Bit too late now for much interest after the glorious
last
few days. How does it go again .... if only it were January. ;-)

I recall, after a snowless winter in 1974-5, waking up on Good Friday
morning to find two inches of snow on the ground. Once the sun came out,
it all disappeared in an hour or two.
--
In central Birmingham there was a good 15cm on the afternoon of
Maundy Thursday 1975 from a mesoscale disturbance ... completely
unexpected (few satpix and no radar then, of course) ... I'd not
long been working at Edgbaston Observatory at the time. It triggered
my first ever TV appearance (it's been downhill ever since - on
Midlands Today with Derek Hobson (remember him?) who presented
the entire evening news programme from the street outside the studio
with a camera poking out of a first floor window. It's been downhill
ever since. The MO observer at Elmdon who collected our obs
simply didn't believe it until he watched the TV that night ... I think the
airport had 3 or 4cm. The wet slushy stuff froze hard overnight, and
that meant we had a snow cover for four days.

Philip

GFS ramping up cold spell
 

On 14 Mar, 17:03, Brian Wakem wrote:
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.

Met Office warning today:

The Met Office is forecasting a marked change in the weather, with a
very cold northerly airstream becoming established across the United
Kingdom during Sunday 18th March and then persisting until at least
Wednesday 21st March. During this period, there is potential for
significant snowfall events over parts of the country, which could
cause disruption. The first significant snow event is expected to
occur overnight Sunday and during Monday. This could cause disruption
to travel networks especially across higher level routes. Outdoor
activities could also be affected by the snow. This warning will be
updated around 1100 tomorrow, Friday 16th March.

Richard

p.s. I'd never heard this word "ramping up" weather models until
the birth of meteorology newsgroups !

GFS ramping up cold spell
 

On Mar 15, 3:44 pm, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom
wrote:
"John Hall" wrote:
Dave Cornwell writes:
Third time lucky? Bit too late now for much interest after the glorious
last
few days. How does it go again .... if only it were January. ;-)

I recall, after a snowless winter in 1974-5, waking up on Good Friday
morning to find two inches of snow on the ground. Once the sun came out,
it all disappeared in an hour or two.
--

In central Birmingham there was a good 15cm on the afternoon of
Maundy Thursday 1975 from a mesoscale disturbance ... completely
unexpected (few satpix and no radar then, of course) ... I'd not
long been working at Edgbaston Observatory at the time. It triggered
my first ever TV appearance (it's been downhill ever since - on
Midlands Today with Derek Hobson (remember him?) who presented
the entire evening news programme from the street outside the studio
with a camera poking out of a first floor window. It's been downhill
ever since. The MO observer at Elmdon who collected our obs
simply didn't believe it until he watched the TV that night ... I think the
airport had 3 or 4cm. The wet slushy stuff froze hard overnight, and
that meant we had a snow cover for four days.

Philip

LOL i wouldnt say downhill infact i and many others would say you
should be on the BBC doing forecasts
straight, honest ,concise forecasts , with no silly
armwaving ,winks,clueless individuals presenting and smug grins like
they do thesdays
think im gonna start a campaign and bring on the whipsnade
one ;-) .LOL
ATB

GFS ramping up cold spell
 

On 14 Mar 2007 14:53:12 -0700, "Graham Easterling"
wrote:

On 14 Mar, 18:37, Dave Ludlow
wrote:
On Wed, 14 Mar 2007 17:03:59 +0000, Brian Wakem wrote:
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.

No way!

I'll believe it when I see it... and probably not even then.
Dave,
Central South Coast ;)

In Cornwall, the only Max temps I've ever recorded remotely near those
figures in the 2nd half of March (lowest ever 5.0C) have been on an
easterly. This will be N-NW, and across an unusually warm sea.

It's OK now, the GFS has woken up now and has calmed down a bit.,,
it's currently showing maxima of 6 or 7 degrees on the South coast for
the three coldest days. This doesn't preclude snow showers but as
usual, the moment any snow stops, any lying snow will be on its way
out.

Our best chance on the Central South coast is, I guess, for an
overnight cluster of snow showers surviving the long march down from
Liverpool Bay, after a clear evening. We may then see half a cm of
wettish snow lying for for 3 or 4 hours at best. Ho hum.

--
Dave
Fareham