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-   -   GFS ramping up cold spell (https://www.weather-banter.co.uk/uk-sci-weather-uk-weather/114868-gfs-ramping-up-cold-spell.html)

Brian Wakem March 14th 07 04:03 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.


--
Brian Wakem
Email: http://homepage.ntlworld.com/b.wakem/myemail.png

Tom March 14th 07 04:10 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
GFS has been on rollercoaster for the last week on this cold spell,
completely disappearing just a few days ago. More runs are needed!

I've enjoyed the warmth recently,so bit of a bummer heading back to winter
albeit for a few days.

Tom
Chelmsford, Essex

"Brian Wakem" wrote in message
...
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.


--
Brian Wakem
Email: http://homepage.ntlworld.com/b.wakem/myemail.png



Paul Hyett March 14th 07 05:22 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
In uk.sci.weather on Wed, 14 Mar 2007, Brian Wakem wrote
:
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to
the south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C
range.

Haven't had a maxima below 10C this month yet - not since 17th Feb in
fact.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)

Dave Ludlow March 14th 07 05:37 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
On Wed, 14 Mar 2007 17:03:59 +0000, Brian Wakem wrote:

Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.


No way!

I'll believe it when I see it... and probably not even then.

--
Dave
Central South Coast ;)

Will Hand March 14th 07 06:16 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
Yep starting to get excited now.
I did promise a possible cold Spring about a month ago :-)

Will.
--

"Brian Wakem" wrote in message
...
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.


--
Brian Wakem
Email: http://homepage.ntlworld.com/b.wakem/myemail.png




Dave Cornwell March 14th 07 06:57 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 

"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
Yep starting to get excited now.
I did promise a possible cold Spring about a month ago :-)

Will.
--

"Brian Wakem" wrote in message
...
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.


--
Brian Wakem
Email: http://homepage.ntlworld.com/b.wakem/myemail.png


-----------------

Third time lucky? Bit too late now for much interest after the glorious last
few days. How does it go again .... if only it were January. ;-)
Dave



CelticMan March 14th 07 07:04 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
You promised alot of things , so i'll do the smiling :-)

"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
Yep starting to get excited now.
I did promise a possible cold Spring about a month ago :-)

Will.
--




Graham Easterling March 14th 07 08:53 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
On 14 Mar, 18:37, Dave Ludlow
wrote:
On Wed, 14 Mar 2007 17:03:59 +0000, Brian Wakem wrote:
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.


No way!

I'll believe it when I see it... and probably not even then.

--
Dave
Central South Coast ;)


In Cornwall, the only Max temps I've ever recorded remotely near those
figures in the 2nd half of March (lowest ever 5.0C) have been on an
easterly. This will be N-NW, and across an unusually warm sea.

Graham
Penzance




John Hall March 14th 07 08:54 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
In article ,
Dave Cornwell writes:
Third time lucky? Bit too late now for much interest after the glorious last
few days. How does it go again .... if only it were January. ;-)


I recall, after a snowless winter in 1974-5, waking up on Good Friday
morning to find two inches of snow on the ground. Once the sun came out,
it all disappeared in an hour or two.
--
John Hall

"I am not young enough to know everything."
Oscar Wilde (1854-1900)

Mike Hatton March 15th 07 01:00 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 

John Hall wrote:
In article ,
Dave Cornwell writes:
Third time lucky? Bit too late now for much interest after the glorious last
few days. How does it go again .... if only it were January. ;-)


I recall, after a snowless winter in 1974-5, waking up on Good Friday


That's 28 March 1975 , for those who aren't Christian chumps.

morning to find two inches of snow on the ground. Once the sun came out,
it all disappeared in an hour or two.


PS STICK YOUR ASCII ART FORECASTS OR WHATEVER ON 'ERE! :-
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" You're not important if you're not in the South-East! "

" Branding has given Russell Brand's surname a bad name! "

" I suppose there's no chance of ... no I 'spose not!"

Alan White March 15th 07 02:14 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
On Thu, 15 Mar 2007 14:00:12 +0000, Mike Hatton
wrote:

That's 28 March 1975 , for those who aren't Christian chumps.


sig snipped

Usenet convention for sigs is four lines.

Yours greatly exceeds that.

--
Alan White
Mozilla Firefox and Forte Agent.
Twenty-eight miles NW of Glasgow, overlooking Lochs Long and Goil in Argyll, Scotland.
Webcam and weather:- http://windycroft.gt-britain.co.uk/weather

Philip Eden March 15th 07 02:44 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
"John Hall" wrote:
Dave Cornwell writes:


Third time lucky? Bit too late now for much interest after the glorious
last
few days. How does it go again .... if only it were January. ;-)


I recall, after a snowless winter in 1974-5, waking up on Good Friday
morning to find two inches of snow on the ground. Once the sun came out,
it all disappeared in an hour or two.
--

In central Birmingham there was a good 15cm on the afternoon of
Maundy Thursday 1975 from a mesoscale disturbance ... completely
unexpected (few satpix and no radar then, of course) ... I'd not
long been working at Edgbaston Observatory at the time. It triggered
my first ever TV appearance (it's been downhill ever since - on
Midlands Today with Derek Hobson (remember him?) who presented
the entire evening news programme from the street outside the studio
with a camera poking out of a first floor window. It's been downhill
ever since. The MO observer at Elmdon who collected our obs
simply didn't believe it until he watched the TV that night ... I think the
airport had 3 or 4cm. The wet slushy stuff froze hard overnight, and
that meant we had a snow cover for four days.

Philip



Richard Dixon March 15th 07 02:49 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
On 14 Mar, 17:03, Brian Wakem wrote:
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.


Met Office warning today:

The Met Office is forecasting a marked change in the weather, with a
very cold northerly airstream becoming established across the United
Kingdom during Sunday 18th March and then persisting until at least
Wednesday 21st March. During this period, there is potential for
significant snowfall events over parts of the country, which could
cause disruption. The first significant snow event is expected to
occur overnight Sunday and during Monday. This could cause disruption
to travel networks especially across higher level routes. Outdoor
activities could also be affected by the snow. This warning will be
updated around 1100 tomorrow, Friday 16th March.

Richard

p.s. I'd never heard this word "ramping up" weather models until
the birth of meteorology newsgroups !


vince March 15th 07 04:13 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
On Mar 15, 3:44 pm, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom
wrote:
"John Hall" wrote:
Dave Cornwell writes:
Third time lucky? Bit too late now for much interest after the glorious
last
few days. How does it go again .... if only it were January. ;-)


I recall, after a snowless winter in 1974-5, waking up on Good Friday
morning to find two inches of snow on the ground. Once the sun came out,
it all disappeared in an hour or two.
--


In central Birmingham there was a good 15cm on the afternoon of
Maundy Thursday 1975 from a mesoscale disturbance ... completely
unexpected (few satpix and no radar then, of course) ... I'd not
long been working at Edgbaston Observatory at the time. It triggered
my first ever TV appearance (it's been downhill ever since - on
Midlands Today with Derek Hobson (remember him?) who presented
the entire evening news programme from the street outside the studio
with a camera poking out of a first floor window. It's been downhill
ever since. The MO observer at Elmdon who collected our obs
simply didn't believe it until he watched the TV that night ... I think the
airport had 3 or 4cm. The wet slushy stuff froze hard overnight, and
that meant we had a snow cover for four days.

Philip


LOL i wouldnt say downhill infact i and many others would say you
should be on the BBC doing forecasts
straight, honest ,concise forecasts , with no silly
armwaving ,winks,clueless individuals presenting and smug grins like
they do thesdays
think im gonna start a campaign and bring on the whipsnade
one ;-) .LOL
ATB


Dave Ludlow March 15th 07 05:38 PM

GFS ramping up cold spell
 
On 14 Mar 2007 14:53:12 -0700, "Graham Easterling"
wrote:

On 14 Mar, 18:37, Dave Ludlow
wrote:
On Wed, 14 Mar 2007 17:03:59 +0000, Brian Wakem wrote:
Runs are pretty consistent now. Snow down to sea level right down to the
south coast on Sunday/Monday/Tuesday, with max temps in the 3-4C range.


No way!

I'll believe it when I see it... and probably not even then.
Dave,
Central South Coast ;)


In Cornwall, the only Max temps I've ever recorded remotely near those
figures in the 2nd half of March (lowest ever 5.0C) have been on an
easterly. This will be N-NW, and across an unusually warm sea.

It's OK now, the GFS has woken up now and has calmed down a bit.,,
it's currently showing maxima of 6 or 7 degrees on the South coast for
the three coldest days. This doesn't preclude snow showers but as
usual, the moment any snow stops, any lying snow will be on its way
out.

Our best chance on the Central South coast is, I guess, for an
overnight cluster of snow showers surviving the long march down from
Liverpool Bay, after a clear evening. We may then see half a cm of
wettish snow lying for for 3 or 4 hours at best. Ho hum.

--
Dave
Fareham


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