Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#11
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
"Bonos Ego" wrote in message
oups.com... Many thanks to everyone that has contributed to this thread, which all started because I was looking at at GFS chart for 27th June predicted high temperatures for SE Europe of circa 42c / 43c. Guess what, GFS has now knocked it back to a much more resonable figure of 33c for the same region. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn36017.png I would advise you not to even look at GFS predicted temperature maxima/minima for the SE of Europe. I don't remember many days on which a global model has predicted temperatures with accuracy; all surface forecast values are overestimated in winter and underestimated in summer (GFS doesn't see many mountains around here). The GFS 12z run, for instance, forecasts a T850 exceeding 25C in parts of the Balkans and gives surface temperatures of about 35C. That is simply too low. Yannis. |
#12
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Jun 13, 4:27 am, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom
wrote: "Stephen Burt" wrote : On 11 Jun, 19:42, Bonos Ego wrote: Does anyone know what the hottest temperature recorded / location is in Europe? GFS is forecasting 42c / 43c for South East Europe around 27June. Riodades (Alto Doura) in central/north Portugal apparently measured the highest temperature in Europe at 50.6°C (Christopher Burt, Extreme Weather, Norton 2004, p 26 - no, he is no relation, that I know of anyway :-) ), but I don't know how accurate the figure is nor the date when it was recorded. Much of the other information in his book is pretty reliable though, more so for the US rather than ROW it has to be said. Can anyone else can shed light on this statistic? I've been researching this for most of today; having quoted the Riodades figure from time to time over many years I now have to say that I have been guilty of quoting this figure without having done any basic research. Observed as 50.5°C by the way .... presumably converted to 123°F for the American market, and then converted back to 50.6°C. I came across it in the 1970s in the massive multi-volume "World Survey of Climatology" under the Chief Editorship of H.E.Landsberg, of which Volume 5, "Climates of Northern and Western Europe" was edited by another huge name in 20C climatology, C.C.Wallén. (Gordon Manley wrote the chapter on the British Isles). That's my excuse ... such big names, why should I question anything in it? Well, I might have thought that when I was in my early-20s; my philosophy is now: Question Everything. The chapter titled "The Climate of the Iberian Peninsula" is by the notable Spanish climatologist A.Linés Escardó, and all he says on this subject is this: "The highest temperatures in the peninsula (50.5°C) have been recorded at Riodades (Alto Douro, Portugal)." No information about date, observer, instruments, or anything else. What I've come up with today is that Riodades is a small commune of some 600 inhabitants in the hill country (c.700m above sea level) just south of the River Douro, roughly half way between Oporto and the Spanish border. There is no observatory, military activity, agricultural college, or anything that would suggest this might be the location of a climatological station. It is conceivable that it may be the wrong location, and the alleged record temperature has sometimes been attributed to "Los Riodades", but the only Google hits on that bring up the temperature record. The village of Riodades has never, as far as I can discover, been called Los Riodades. The temperature was recorded on 4th August 1881 - a summer of widespread extreme temperatures over both Europe (including the British Isles) and North America. Stevenson screens were in short supply even in the UK, and the major observatories at Madrid and Lisbon sheltered their thermometers on Glaisher stands, so that is probably the very best exposure that the Riodades thermometer had (probably it was worse). I haven't found any reference in Symons's Met Mag or the Quarterly Journal of the RMS between 1881 and 1883 to this particular observation. To me, it seems insupportably high, and probably belongs in the trash can along with Faversham and El Aziziya. To answer the OP's question, and with the proviso that I haven't researched it, it seems that the prime candidate for the European record holder is Catenanuova, on Sicily, (about 30km SW of Etna!) recorded on 10th August 1999. It was certainly a very hot day on Sicily with 42°C at both Catania and Palermo. If we have any Portuguese readers here, a spot of research on the observer and instruments at Riodades in 1881 would be extremely welcome. Philip The most comprehensive work I know of on global extremes, Krause and Flood's 'Weather and Climate Extremes' (1997), quotes the European record as being 50 C at Seville on 4 August 1881. Unfortunately it doesn't give any background on the observation (whereas some of the other continental records they document have quite extensive discussion about the instruments, situation etc.). I have a fair bit of scepticism about this observation, especially about the instrument exposure, but 50.0 at sea level doesn't seem as outlandish as 50.5 at 700 metres elevation. WMO's Commission for Climatology has appointed a Rapporteur on Climate Records (not sure if I've got the title right), Randy Cerveny, who is co-ordinating a re-examination of a lot of these records - not sure when he's expecting to report. Glad to see I'm not the only person who doesn't believe El Azizia... My experience dealing with 19th century Australian data is that all the (numerous) obs above 50 C turned out to be spurious on further examination (although actually getting this conclusion into the record books has been an interesting exercise - I've made enemies amongst various small-town politicians in the process) - and all of them had problems more significant than merely that of being measured in a Glaisher stand - so I wouldn't be surprised if something similar was happening in southern Europe. Blair |
Reply |
|
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Hottest day of the year broken for the 3rd day in a row | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Around the world, thermometers point to 2010 as being hottest year since 1850 (It is NOT thermometers, it is adjusted temperatures that point to 2010 as being hottest year since 1850) | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
European Summer 2003: hottest in 500 years | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
hottest day sat not today? | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Hottest July day on record | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |