I'm wondering if anyone is keeping a track of his forecast storms in
relation to the actual weather. I ask as this is the weekend of his 3rd
major storm when he is reported to have forecast (only a few days ago)
winds of up to 100mph.

Currently a W wind of 10mph here in the NW.

--
Mike Tullett - Coleraine 55.13°N 6.69°W posted 25/11/2007 09:36:36 GMT

On Nov 25, 9:36 am, Mike Tullett
wrote:

I'm wondering if anyone is keeping a track of his forecast storms in
relation to the actual weather. I ask as this is the weekend of his 3rd
major storm when he is reported to have forecast (only a few days ago)
winds of up to 100mph.

If so would they be kind enough to note too, any comments about the
breakdown of agreement and accuracy about weather models.

There appears to be nothing to replace this twin set:
http://www.hurricanezone.net/

So expect a massive problem with the relevant superdupercomputer.

Mike Tullet IIRC (I don't pay much attention to my detractors and tend
to forget who says what) tends to see himself as the Net Kop in Chief
on here. Why he sees it his job to do so selectively is open to
speculation.

"Mike Tullett" wrote in message
...
I'm wondering if anyone is keeping a track of his forecast storms in
relation to the actual weather. I ask as this is the weekend of his 3rd
major storm when he is reported to have forecast (only a few days ago)

Hi Mike.

Great thread on UK WeatherWorld where we have contributions from some of
PC's mates. One in particular with claims to having worked with PC on
forecasts....

It's the only opportunity it seems to be able to put PC's forecasts in their
place...with considered verification not just outright dismissal. Some
strong feelings and posts as you would imagine but still quite civil given
the potential for debate....

http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/foru...8210&posts=510

Also new threat just opening up

http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/foru...=18325&posts=6


UKWW is a good forum and mature....in the current 'climate' of forums...
;-)

Joe

"JCW" wrote in message
...

Also new threat just opening up

http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/foru...=18325&posts=6


Oops! New threat?

Sorry, should read thread of course and it's been opened and verifying PC's
forecast since 15th November.

On Sun, 25 Nov 2007 10:58:05 -0000, JCW wrote in


http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/foru...8210&posts=510

Also new threat just opening up

http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/foru...=18325&posts=6

UKWW is a good forum and mature....in the current 'climate' of forums...
;-)

Thanks, Joe - will have a look later on after lunch.

--
Mike Tullett - Coleraine 55.13°N 6.69°W posted 25/11/2007 11:08:53 GMT

"Mike Tullett" schreef in
bericht ...
I'm wondering if anyone is keeping a track of his forecast storms in
relation to the actual weather. I ask as this is the weekend of his 3rd
major storm when he is reported to have forecast (only a few days ago)
winds of up to 100mph.

Currently a W wind of 10mph here in the NW.

--
Mike Tullett - Coleraine 55.13°N 6.69°W posted 25/11/2007 09:36:36 GMT


Mike, Corbyn's superstorm-forecast for this weekend kept us busy in Holland
as well (as a third of our dear nation is below sea-level) - all week
searching the weathermaps to find an abnormality that pinpointed in possibly
direction of some "wind". So was astonished when last Friday Corbyn told on
one of our weathersites that the Dutchies didn't understand his forecasting
too well. We simply had no clue of the English weatherjargon. A superstorm
is a "hurricane" BUT a "hurricane"is ermmm...... Okay, we're only foreigners
and our English isn't that good; hope you'll forgive us. At least I think to
understand this: if Corbyn talks about a "superstorm" he means a 5 to 6 Bft.
So a strong superstorm will be about 8 Bft? Well, got things right again.
Then your "storm" will have a 10mph. I'd call it a "mild storm" - but
what's in a name.


Wijke
Centre of Holland, SE Flevopolder - West, 4 bft - gusting 36 kph -
22.4 mph - storm!!

On Nov 25, 12:30 pm, "Wijke" wrote:
"Mike Tullett" schreef in
...

I'm wondering if anyone is keeping a track of his forecast storms in
relation to the actual weather. I ask as this is the weekend of his 3rd
major storm when he is reported to have forecast (only a few days ago)
winds of up to 100mph.

Currently a W wind of 10mph here in the NW.

--
Mike Tullett - Coleraine 55.13°N 6.69°W posted 25/11/2007 09:36:36 GMT

Mike, Corbyn's superstorm-forecast for this weekend kept us busy in Holland
as well (as a third of our dear nation is below sea-level) - all week
searching the weathermaps to find an abnormality that pointed a possible
direction of some "wind".

We were astonished when last Friday, Corbyn stated on
one of our weather sites that the Dutch didn't understand his forecasting
too well.

We simply had no clue of the English weather jargon. A super-storm
is an "hurricane" BUT an "hurricane" is ermmm......

Okay, we're only foreigners and our English isn't that good; I hope you'll forgive
us.

At I think I understand this:
Mr Corbyn talks about a "super-storm" he means an F5 or F6 Beaufort.

So a strong super-storm will be about F8?

I don't understand the last bit. Is this what you meant:

Well, [he] got things right again.
Then [a mere] "storm" will be 10mph. I'd call it a "mild storm" - but
what's in a name.

A wind speed of 10 mph is nothing near a mild storm in anyone's books.
This is the Beaufort scale for it:

8-12 mph; 7-10 knots: Gentle breeze.
Leaves and small twigs in constant motion; wind will fill a light
flag.

I doubt anyone understands his forecasts. Even him. I bet he is
puzzled over some of his results even now. If you'd care to take a
much wider field of view on his dates, then you might see something in
them even he is missing.

I don't know if you watch our Countryfile forecasts but according to
the presenter, next Friday looks to be presenting a doozy for
Greenland-Iceland.

As it happens he also showed that an Azores high will extend to
Britain in the next few days. This is due to the absence of any
powerful tropical storm IME. So if there is no such storm, that part
of the prediction will come true.

However, with the probable demise of the couple still extant, there is
a severe earthquake due and the weather models break down when that
state of things is reached.

"Mike Tullett" wrote:

I'm wondering if anyone is keeping a track of his forecast storms
in
relation to the actual weather. I ask as this is the weekend of
his 3rd
major storm when he is reported to have forecast (only a few days
ago)
winds of up to 100mph.


.... I am: see posts relating to 'Phase I' and 'Phase II' earlier this
month, and the summary for Phase III will follow after the 28th, as
time allows.

My web page has my working notes ....

http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/Ge...on_FxCheck.htm

and will be updated for this final phase as and when.

I have also done a small analysis for the climatology for these three
phases, which will also be posted.

Martin.


--
Martin Rowley
E:
W: booty.org.uk

On Nov 25, 12:30 pm, "Wijke" wrote:
"Mike Tullett" schreef in
...

I'm wondering if anyone is keeping a track of his forecast storms in
relation to the actual weather. I ask as this is the weekend of his 3rd
major storm when he is reported to have forecast (only a few days ago)
winds of up to 100mph.

Currently a W wind of 10mph here in the NW.

--
Mike Tullett - Coleraine 55.13°N 6.69°W posted 25/11/2007 09:36:36 GMT

Mike, Corbyn's superstorm-forecast for this weekend kept us busy in Holland
as well (as a third of our dear nation is below sea-level) - all week
searching the weathermaps to find an abnormality that pinpointed in possibly
direction of some "wind". So was astonished when last Friday Corbyn told on
one of our weathersites that the Dutchies didn't understand his forecasting
too well. We simply had no clue of the English weatherjargon. A superstorm
is a "hurricane" BUT a "hurricane"is ermmm...... Okay, we're only foreigners
and our English isn't that good; hope you'll forgive us. At least I think to
understand this: if Corbyn talks about a "superstorm" he means a 5 to 6 Bft.

On Nov 25, 2:52 pm, "Martin Rowley"
wrote:
"Mike Tullett" wrote:

I'm wondering if anyone is keeping a track of his forecast storms
in
relation to the actual weather. I ask as this is the weekend of
his 3rd
major storm when he is reported to have forecast (only a few days
ago)
winds of up to 100mph.

... I am: see posts relating to 'Phase I' and 'Phase II' earlier this
month, and the summary for Phase III will follow after the 28th, as
time allows.

My web page has my working notes ....

http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/Ge...on_FxCheck.htm

and will be updated for this final phase as and when.

I have also done a small analysis for the climatology for these three
phases, which will also be posted.

Just ezackerly who is saying what and where in all that?