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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#21
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![]() "Dawlish" wrote in message ... On Apr 4, 3:23 pm, Alastair wrote: On Apr 4, 7:35 am, Graham P Davis wrote: Alastair wrote: On Apr 1, 9:46 am, Alan Gardiner wrote: On Sun, 30 Mar 2008 21:13:45 +0100, Keith (Southend) wrote: Something I mentioned to my Wife who was getting fed up with the cool and wet weather of this spring was that it's a good sign for a better summer. I then just stumbled across this from Philip Eden quoting similar years which include 1975, 1976 and 1987 which I think were probably some of the warmest summer months this century in the UK http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-a...&LANG=en&MENU=... Only last year April gave so many people a sence of a long hot summer and then it all went terribly wrong. Looking at the trends in the models April looks like being plagued with easterlies with most of the rain in the south. A long way to go yet, but anyone wanting some real summery weather will have to wait till May. Just my personal thoughts. My daughter is convinced it will be a fine summer as she will be back in the office after returning from maternity leave. The office is unbearably hot in warm weather which she finds particularly unpleasant. Alan Whereas weather tends to be persistent with a high probability of tomorrow's weather being similar to today's, and a good season following a good season, on a annual basis this appears to me to be the converse of the truth. Inspecting the CET record, it seems that if last year's temperature was higher than the previous year then this year's temperature will be lower than last year, and vice versa. Thus since 2007 was cooler than 2006, then 2008 should be warmer than 2007. This reversing trend seems to be even more true where one is considering months.All the months June, July, August and September were cooler in 2007 than in 2006, therefore I am predicting that they will be warmer than 2007 this year. There'll be a hot summer in central England this year! Where do place my bet, Paul? I used similar arguments at the end of the '75 summer to confidently predict that '76 would be a cold, wet summer! -- Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks., UK. E-mail: newsman, not newsboy. "What use is happiness? It can't buy you money." [Chic Murray, 1919-85] Yes, I am wondering if the cold wet summer last year could be exceeded. This piece of news has not helped. GLOBAL WARMING 'DIPS THIS YEAR'' By Roger Harrabin BBC News environment analyst Villager walks through the snow in Nanjing, China (February 2008) La Nina caused some of the coldest temperatures in memory in China Global temperatures will drop slightly this year as a result of the cooling effect of the La Nina current in the Pacific, UN meteorologists have said.http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7329799.stm Still, never mind, win or lose I can still warm myself up with a pint of Tanglefoot In the Smugglers. Cheers, Alastair. at could be repeated- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Well, "will it snow". Noses on the windows and lamp posts chosen and under surveiilance for if the showers come after dark in a night-time trough.! The Met Office have "improved" their advisory to include everyone and his dog in a chance of a snow shower. I'd like to see a snow shower or several in Dawlish and maybe some snow lying for an hour in the hedgerows up on the Haldon Hills, but I'd rather it have been in the winter, rather than in April, to add a poersonal note! My garden is cloaked in Spring loveliness and a cold Northerly doesn't induce the desire to go out and hoe it madly. Also, I'm having the house painted on Monday, but that will only be me getting cold when I take out the cups of tea to the painter! The coming week should provide enough dryness to get it well under way and we might get lucky, being on a coast, generally sheltered from the coming colder winds, and get very little precipitation in the early part of the week. Later in the week looks more unsettled - but not snowy. Cold mornings early next week and some ice-scraping to do for those at work (heh, heh!) Chances of snow here? Better than the chances of my only bet of the year winning the National at 20/1. Unfortunately, I'm unlikely to see either pass either the winning post, or the lamp post - as usual! Hedgehunter to win the National again. Great horse, great jockey, weighted down, but running on good ground. Snow for me on Sunday morning! Paul ======== Hi Paul, I can see the whole of the Haldon ridge above Teignmouth from my house, quite noticeable, even at that modest altitude how much snow it gets at the top round the golf course (260m asl). We are certain to get snow up here in Haytor (as always), usual question of how much, will it be the normal 1 inch cover with 2-4 inches higher up or possibly a bit more this time? Temp +5.4C and steady at 0915. Will (Haytor, Devon, 310m asl) -- |
#22
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On Apr 5, 9:17*am, "Will Hand" wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message ... On Apr 4, 3:23 pm, Alastair wrote: On Apr 4, 7:35 am, Graham P Davis wrote: Alastair wrote: On Apr 1, 9:46 am, Alan Gardiner wrote: On Sun, 30 Mar 2008 21:13:45 +0100, Keith (Southend) wrote: Something I mentioned to my Wife who was getting fed up with the cool and wet weather of this spring was that it's a good sign for a better summer. I then just stumbled across this from Philip Eden quoting similar years which include 1975, 1976 and 1987 which I think were probably some of the warmest summer months this century in the UK http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-a...&LANG=en&MENU=... Only last year April gave so many people a sence of a long hot summer and then it all went terribly wrong. Looking at the trends in the models April looks like being plagued with easterlies with most of the rain in the south. A long way to go yet, but anyone wanting some real summery weather will have to wait till May. Just my personal thoughts. My daughter is convinced it will be a fine summer as she will be back in the office after returning from maternity leave. The office is unbearably hot in warm weather which she finds particularly unpleasant. Alan Whereas weather tends to be persistent with a high probability of tomorrow's weather being similar to today's, and a good season following a good season, on a annual basis this appears to me to be the converse of the truth. Inspecting the CET record, it seems that if last year's temperature was higher than the previous year then this year's temperature will be lower than last year, and vice versa. Thus since 2007 was cooler than 2006, then 2008 should be warmer than 2007. This reversing trend seems to be even more true where one is considering months.All the months June, July, August and September were cooler in 2007 than in 2006, therefore I am predicting that they will be warmer than 2007 this year. There'll be a hot summer in central England this year! Where do place my bet, Paul? I used similar arguments at the end of the '75 summer to confidently predict that '76 would be a cold, wet summer! -- Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks., UK. E-mail: newsman, not newsboy. "What use is happiness? It can't buy you money." [Chic Murray, 1919-85] Yes, I am wondering if the cold wet summer last year could be exceeded. This piece of news has not helped. GLOBAL WARMING 'DIPS THIS YEAR'' By Roger Harrabin BBC News environment analyst Villager walks through the snow in Nanjing, China (February 2008) La Nina caused some of the coldest temperatures in memory in China Global temperatures will drop slightly this year as a result of the cooling effect of the La Nina current in the Pacific, UN meteorologists have said.http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7329799.stm Still, never mind, win or lose I can still warm myself up with a pint of Tanglefoot In the Smugglers. Cheers, Alastair. at could be repeated- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Well, "will it snow". Noses on the windows and lamp posts chosen and under surveiilance for if the showers come after dark in a night-time trough.! The Met Office have "improved" their advisory to include everyone and his dog in a chance of a snow shower. I'd like to see a snow shower or several in Dawlish and maybe some snow lying for an hour in the hedgerows up on the Haldon Hills, but I'd rather it have been in the winter, rather than in April, to add a poersonal note! My garden is cloaked in Spring loveliness and a cold Northerly doesn't induce the desire to go out and hoe it madly. Also, I'm having the house painted on Monday, but that will only be me getting cold when I take out the cups of tea to the painter! *The coming week should provide enough dryness to get it well under way and we might get lucky, being on a coast, generally sheltered from the coming colder winds, and get very little precipitation in the early part of the week. Later in the week looks more unsettled - but not snowy. Cold mornings early next week and some ice-scraping to do for those at work (heh, heh!) Chances of snow here? Better than the chances of my only bet of the year winning the National at 20/1. Unfortunately, I'm unlikely to see either pass either the winning post, or the lamp post - as usual! Hedgehunter to win the National again. Great horse, great jockey, weighted down, but running on good ground. Snow for me on Sunday morning! Paul ======== Hi Paul, I can see the whole of the Haldon ridge above Teignmouth from my house, quite noticeable, even at that modest altitude how much snow it gets at the top round the golf course (260m asl). We are certain to get snow up here in Haytor (as always), usual question of how much, will it be the normal 1 inch cover with 2-4 inches higher up or possibly a bit more this time? Temp +5.4C and steady at 0915. Will (Haytor, Devon, 310m asl) --- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - That 200m can mae a lot of difference in snow accumulations, Will, but I've just realised that I've posted talk of snow this weekend and into next week, on a summer thread!! Apologies. Problems of a UK Sci novice! I've transferred my snow comments to the correct thread, but there seems to be no way to erase my post on here, so we're stuck with it! Paul |
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