.... Interesting new bit of research.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7404846.stm

I haven't looked at the source research, but one quote in this BBC
report is something that pleases me (and I speak as a card-carrying
AGW believer):-

"This implies that we cannot simply extrapolate the past 25 years into
the future."

Although I *do* believe we are affecting the global climate in all
sorts of ways, I cannot accept the rather simplistic 'straight-line'
presentations that are bandied about as to the future climate. The
'system' simply doesn't work that way. There are all sorts of
surprises in store over the coming decades.

Martin.


--
Martin Rowley
E:
W: booty.org.uk

On May 19, 7:48*pm, "Martin Rowley"
wrote:
... Interesting new bit of research.

*http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7404846.stm

I haven't looked at the source research, but one quote in this BBC
report is something that pleases me (and I speak as a card-carrying
AGW believer):-

"This implies that we cannot simply extrapolate the past 25 years into
the future."

Although I *do* believe we are affecting the global climate in all
sorts of ways, I cannot accept the rather simplistic 'straight-line'
presentations that are bandied about as to the future climate. The
'system' simply doesn't work that way. There are all sorts of
surprises in store over the coming decades.

Martin.

--
Martin Rowley
E:
W: booty.org.uk

The problem with media presentations of Global Warming is that
they are often carried out by people who are not scientifically
trained and where there has been some training the requirements of the
job, ie. tell a story, tend to get in the way of scientific rigour.
It will be interesting to see how this current research is dealt with
in the press. So far so good. The BBC news-site mentions things such
as vertical wind-shear, an important factor in hurricane formation.
In the Guardian and Independent it may well be buried away as an
embarrassment and as a Grauniad reader for 45 years I hope not.
The verdict of Global Warming deniers can be dismissed though
they will cling to this as evidence that GW is not happening. It
certainly is happening but what it produces may surprise many. In
particualr, my own slight hobbyhorse, I am unconvinced that
"storminess", i.e. hgih wind speeds, will increase in this country.
There is precious little evidence of it so far but amongst the
commentariat it seems to taken as axiomatic as the fact that your hair
will go grey with age.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.