uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old May 20th 08, 07:58 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default bank holiday model madness

On May 21, 4:43*am, "Dave R." wrote:
Yesterday i was so downtrodden when I saw Darrens model report and looking
at the Unisys GFS 9 day plate showing domination of low pressure but today I
go to the same run at Unisys and see behold! a week of increasingly warm
temperatures with a scandy High now firmly in charge. What the f**k is going
on? This is running right through till May 29th Thursday week! *I know these
runs can change daily or even hourly but the whole damn thing is so
confusing. Are we in for a good week next week or not? I suppose one would
not even hazard a guess I thought there were some good people willing to
stick teir neck out here but it seems Will of Tor has disappeared
--
Dave R. [west London]


You did sound downtrodden, Dave, but I didn't really think there was
any need to be. The models have been suggesting a slow warm up since
before last weekend's cold spell and a couple of runs of low-pressure
domination didn't change that, for me. It's not entirely perfect
sunbathing weather, but if that Azores high does make a move for the
UK, later next week could be very nice, after a short, but probably
abortive, attempt by lower pressure to push Westwards.

Have you had any of that pleasant sunshine in dry old London town,
Dave? The sunshine in Devon has been terrific again, but it is still
cool in the wind.

Paul

  #2   Report Post  
Old May 20th 08, 11:05 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Sep 2004
Posts: 1,267
Default bank holiday model madness

On Wed, 21 May 2008 04:43:29 +0100, "Dave R." wrote:

Are we in for a good week next week or not? I suppose one would
not even hazard a guess I thought there were some good people willing to
stick teir neck out here but it seems Will of Tor has disappeared


Next week can sort itself out - I have a big open air event on
Saturday in Dorset and I am trying to gather some info on that!
R
  #3   Report Post  
Old May 20th 08, 11:50 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2006
Posts: 1,594
Default bank holiday model madness

On May 20, 11:05 pm, Robin Nicholson
wrote:
On Wed, 21 May 2008 04:43:29 +0100, "Dave R." wrote:

Are we in for a good week next week or not? I suppose one would

not even hazard a guess I thought there were some good people willing to
stick teir neck out here but it seems Will of Tor has disappeared


Next week can sort itself out - I have a big open air event on
Saturday in Dorset and I am trying to gather some info on that!
R


I have been monitoring the jet stream since someone post this link
http://virga.sfsu.edu/gif/jetstream_norhem_00.gif here.

What seems to be happening is that a strong jet running over the
Mediterranean is collapsing, and a new jet is building up which is
running through Scandanavia. If this continues, then instead of us
being in a polar air mass, we will be in a sub tropical one. This is
spoken with all the confidence of one who has been monitoring the Jet
Stream for almost two weeks now :-))

Cheers, Alastair.
  #4   Report Post  
Old May 21st 08, 12:08 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2008
Posts: 403
Default bank holiday model madness


"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
Have you had any of that pleasant sunshine in dry old London town,
Dave? The sunshine in Devon has been terrific again, but it is still
cool in the wind.

Paul

west London was about 6/8 octares after midday which varied throughout the
afternoon but I was in Slough for most of that and as is often the case very
different just west of Heathrow - the cloud broke up there more. I have an
inclination to think it has something to do with the flight paths. The
Denham Colnbrook Slough triangle can often be brighter when east of this is
dull and cloudy you can easily see the effect all times of the year as you
drive out on the A40/M40 When I got back to west London about 4pm it was
pretty cloudy again with only brief intervals despite the forecast of cloud
breaking up soon to form the oncoming clear evening.. Anyway tomorrow is
expected to be less cloudy and they forecast 19C, up 2 on today. I think we
lost the nagging cold wind tomorrow as indeed most of the south will have
lost it too.
DaveR




  #5   Report Post  
Old May 21st 08, 04:43 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2008
Posts: 403
Default bank holiday model madness

Yesterday i was so downtrodden when I saw Darrens model report and looking
at the Unisys GFS 9 day plate showing domination of low pressure but today I
go to the same run at Unisys and see behold! a week of increasingly warm
temperatures with a scandy High now firmly in charge. What the f**k is going
on? This is running right through till May 29th Thursday week! I know these
runs can change daily or even hourly but the whole damn thing is so
confusing. Are we in for a good week next week or not? I suppose one would
not even hazard a guess I thought there were some good people willing to
stick teir neck out here but it seems Will of Tor has disappeared
--
Dave R. [west London]




  #6   Report Post  
Old May 21st 08, 08:16 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default bank holiday model madness

On May 21, 12:08*am, "Dave R." wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message

...
Have you had any of that pleasant sunshine in dry old London town,
Dave? The sunshine in Devon has been terrific again, but it is still
cool in the wind.

Paul

west London was about 6/8 octares after midday which varied throughout the
afternoon but I was in Slough for most of that and as is often the case very
different just west of Heathrow - the cloud broke up there more. I have an
inclination to think it has something to do with the flight paths. The
Denham Colnbrook Slough triangle can often be brighter when east of this is
dull and cloudy you can easily see the effect all times of the year as you
drive out on the A40/M40 When I got back to west London about 4pm it was
pretty cloudy again with only brief intervals despite the forecast of cloud
breaking up soon to form the oncoming clear evening.. Anyway tomorrow is
expected to be less cloudy and they forecast 19C, up 2 on today. I think we
lost the nagging cold wind tomorrow as indeed most of the south will have
lost it too.
DaveR


You may get some rain in London on Bank holiday Monday, Dave, but, at
present, I'd judge that the influence of the high pressure to the
North will keep much of that rain to the South of the UK. It may well
stay dry in most areas over the bank holiday weekend, with only areas
South of the M4 being affected by cloud and rain, but I have a sneaky
suspicion that even these areas will stay largely dry over the 3 days.
Clear a path to the front of the shed, would be my advice, but don't
shift the barbie to the front just yet, if you live South of the M4.
Anywhere North of the M4 should have a dry and sunny Bank Holiday
weekend. Like I said yesterday, I don't see the Bank holiday as a
washout for all of us in the South. The situation is similar to last
weekend, but not the same. I would avoid crossing the channel, however
and spending the holiday weekend in Northern France, if you are
looking for sun!

Paul

  #7   Report Post  
Old May 21st 08, 08:41 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2008
Posts: 1,964
Default bank holiday model madness

Alastair wrote in message
...
On May 20, 11:05 pm, Robin Nicholson
wrote:
On Wed, 21 May 2008 04:43:29 +0100, "Dave R." wrote:

Are we in for a good week next week or not? I suppose one would

not even hazard a guess I thought there were some good people willing

to
stick teir neck out here but it seems Will of Tor has disappeared


Next week can sort itself out - I have a big open air event on
Saturday in Dorset and I am trying to gather some info on that!
R


I have been monitoring the jet stream since someone post this link



http://virga.sfsu.edu/gif/jetstream_norhem_00.gif

Is it just my browser/monitor or is it not possible to distinguish 50 knot
from 150 knot winds, from that grey-scale banding?


  #8   Report Post  
Old May 21st 08, 09:05 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2004
Posts: 4,814
Default bank holiday model madness

N_Cook wrote:

I have been monitoring the jet stream since someone post this link



http://virga.sfsu.edu/gif/jetstream_norhem_00.gif

Is it just my browser/monitor or is it not possible to distinguish 50 knot
from 150 knot winds, from that grey-scale banding?


Apart from the 150kt winds being surrounded by the grey shading of 60-150kt
winds, no. 50 and 150 are both white. [As viewed in Gwenview]

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks., UK. E-mail: newsman, not newsboy.
"What use is happiness? It can't buy you money." [Chic Murray, 1919-85]
  #9   Report Post  
Old May 21st 08, 10:34 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2008
Posts: 1,964
Default bank holiday model madness

Graham P Davis wrote in message
...
N_Cook wrote:

I have been monitoring the jet stream since someone post this link



http://virga.sfsu.edu/gif/jetstream_norhem_00.gif

Is it just my browser/monitor or is it not possible to distinguish 50

knot
from 150 knot winds, from that grey-scale banding?


Apart from the 150kt winds being surrounded by the grey shading of

60-150kt
winds, no. 50 and 150 are both white. [As viewed in Gwenview]

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks., UK. E-mail: newsman, not newsboy.
"What use is happiness? It can't buy you money." [Chic Murray, 1919-85]


And looking more closely eg
about lat 35N, long 70W on the current chart at that url
then the white patch does not appear to have an "isobar" around it which
presumably suggests it is 0 to 50 rather than 150 knots.
60 to 70 knot areas have less than 60 if there is no boundary on that side
and a boundary for the 80 knot side.
So the white patch at 45N, 160W has a boundary so 150 knot there

--
General electronic repairs, most things repaired, other than TVs and PCs
http://www.divdev.fsnet.co.uk/repairs.htm

Diverse Devices, Southampton, England



  #10   Report Post  
Old May 21st 08, 10:45 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2008
Posts: 403
Default bank holiday model madness


"Dave R." wrote in message
...
Yesterday i was so downtrodden when I saw Darrens model report and looking
at the Unisys GFS 9 day plate showing domination of low pressure but today
I go to the same run at Unisys and see behold! a week of increasingly warm
temperatures with a scandy High now firmly in charge. What the f**k is
going on? This is running right through till May 29th Thursday week! I
know these runs can change daily or even hourly but the whole damn thing
is so confusing. Are we in for a good week next week or not? I suppose one
would not even hazard a guess I thought there were some good people
willing to stick teir neck out here but it seems Will of Tor has
disappeared
--
Dave R. [west London]


Now its all change yet again since my initial depression turned optimistic.
No southerlies next week at all! Unisys GFS plates show Easterlies now with
Low Pressure tro the South a dire set up if ever there was one for Southern
England. Only does the 31st May look more promising. I begin to wonder what
the point of it all is.
http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/9pane...panel_eur.html

Dave R




Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Bank Holiday Monday Phil Layton uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 May 28th 06 06:23 PM
Bank Holiday weather and "singularities" Nick Whitelegg uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 September 2nd 04 01:33 AM
[WR] Traditional Bank Holiday weather (wet) in South Bucks Norman Lynagh uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 14 August 31st 04 04:48 PM
The Bank Holiday weekend!? Gavin Staples uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 August 20th 03 06:58 PM
Dates of August Bank Holiday Steve Loft uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 August 6th 03 11:32 PM


All times are GMT. The time now is 11:32 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017