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-   -   Wet night ahead (https://www.weather-banter.co.uk/uk-sci-weather-uk-weather/124979-wet-night-ahead.html)

Chris Smith June 2nd 08 01:58 PM

Wet night ahead
 
Weather warnings for much of the Eastern half of the UK now for
tonight's developments.

Not much discussion on here about it though. I'd have thought there
would be much banter from experts and amateurs alike about likely spots
for the highest rainfall totals, chances of and distribution of storms,
and so on.

Instead... silence. Calm before the storm?

Chris

Jack ([email protected]) June 2nd 08 02:04 PM

Wet night ahead
 
I have a daughter who used to be scared of thunderstorms but is OK
now provided she knows they are coming.

She has been warned and is looking forward to them tonight.

Jack


Weatherlawyer June 2nd 08 02:30 PM

Wet night ahead
 
On Jun 2, 3:04 pm, "Jack )"
wrote:
I have a daughter who used to be scared of thunderstorms but is OK
now provided she knows they are coming.

She has been warned and is looking forward to them tonight.


I used to have a dog like that.

The more I tried to comfort him the worse he got. I took him out for a
walk not long before he clocked and we passed a firework display run
by the local fire brigade and he never even noticed.

If I'd just chucked it out in the rain, he'd have enjoyed all those
summers a lot more.

Didn't work for the wife though.
Still...

Well it got rid of her for an hour or two.


Keith Wassell June 2nd 08 03:27 PM

Wet night ahead
 
On Jun 2, 2:58*pm, Chris Smith wrote:
Weather warnings for much of the Eastern half of the UK now for
tonight's developments.

Not much discussion on here about it though. I'd have thought there
would be much banter from experts and amateurs alike about likely spots
for the highest rainfall totals, chances of and distribution of storms,
and so on.

Instead... silence. Calm before the storm?


Yes, I though That.

just looked at the 1600 radar, and on a rough guess unless it changes,
that nice red and white blob id headed across kent and south london.
8pm I'll guess at the speed its going

in fact, a quick look at the 'ol blitzortung shows a peppering of
lightning across near euroupe. Nice!

Martin Rowley June 2nd 08 03:40 PM

Wet night ahead
 
On Jun 2, 2:58 pm, Chris Smith wrote...
Weather warnings for much of the Eastern half of the UK now for
tonight's developments.


"Keith Wassell" wrote...


Yes, I though That.


just looked at the 1600 radar, and on a rough guess unless it
changes,
that nice red and white blob id headed across kent and south london.
8pm I'll guess at the speed its going


in fact, a quick look at the 'ol blitzortung shows a peppering of
lightning across near euroupe. Nice!


.... going to make for interesting 'spring-watching' tonight as Kate &
Bill stand outside (?) in the pouring rain. Perhaps they shouldn't
have moved from Devon!

Martin.

--
Martin Rowley
West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl
Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W
NGR: SU 082 023



Tudor Hughes June 2nd 08 04:17 PM

Wet night ahead
 
On Jun 2, 2:58*pm, Chris Smith wrote:
Weather warnings for much of the Eastern half of the UK now for
tonight's developments.

Not much discussion on here about it though. I'd have thought there
would be much banter from experts and amateurs alike about likely spots
for the highest rainfall totals, chances of and distribution of storms,
and so on.

Instead... silence. Calm before the storm?

Chris


It's not that, but that no-one really has any idea quite what
is going on, including me. There have been widespread outbreaks of
thunderstorms over Belgium and northern France but they have rather
petered out on moving NW'wards. The rain areas that are forecast by
GFS look more organised than just outbreaks and their precise location
will depend on how much the Low over the near continent deepens as it
moves NW and also its precise track. There seems to be no frontal
activity but there is a lot of very warm and humid air over The
Netherlands and Belgium that could do the business with a bit of
dynamic uplift. This is a very difficult one.
Will that do? :-)

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.


Chris Smith June 2nd 08 04:28 PM

Wet night ahead
 
Tudor Hughes wrote:
On Jun 2, 2:58 pm, Chris Smith wrote:
Weather warnings for much of the Eastern half of the UK now for
tonight's developments.

Not much discussion on here about it though. I'd have thought there
would be much banter from experts and amateurs alike about likely spots
for the highest rainfall totals, chances of and distribution of storms,
and so on.

Instead... silence. Calm before the storm?

Chris


It's not that, but that no-one really has any idea quite what
is going on, including me. There have been widespread outbreaks of
thunderstorms over Belgium and northern France but they have rather
petered out on moving NW'wards. The rain areas that are forecast by
GFS look more organised than just outbreaks and their precise location
will depend on how much the Low over the near continent deepens as it
moves NW and also its precise track. There seems to be no frontal
activity but there is a lot of very warm and humid air over The
Netherlands and Belgium that could do the business with a bit of
dynamic uplift. This is a very difficult one.
Will that do? :-)

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.


Excellent! Of course, if no-one really has any idea quite what is going
on, you'd think that would fuel speculation and theories.

Anyway - at just on 17:30, that looks suspiciously like a developing MCS
crossing the Southern North sea. As someone else mentioned, Bill and
Katie better not have put their wellies away just yet...

Chris
Swaffham, Norfolk

Keith Wassell June 2nd 08 05:01 PM

Wet night ahead
 
MCS ? thow us a bone (or link) 8-)


Will Hand June 2nd 08 05:09 PM

Wet night ahead
 

"Chris Smith" wrote in message
...
Tudor Hughes wrote:
On Jun 2, 2:58 pm, Chris Smith wrote:
Weather warnings for much of the Eastern half of the UK now for
tonight's developments.

Not much discussion on here about it though. I'd have thought there
would be much banter from experts and amateurs alike about likely spots
for the highest rainfall totals, chances of and distribution of storms,
and so on.

Instead... silence. Calm before the storm?

Chris


It's not that, but that no-one really has any idea quite what
is going on, including me. There have been widespread outbreaks of
thunderstorms over Belgium and northern France but they have rather
petered out on moving NW'wards. The rain areas that are forecast by
GFS look more organised than just outbreaks and their precise location
will depend on how much the Low over the near continent deepens as it
moves NW and also its precise track. There seems to be no frontal
activity but there is a lot of very warm and humid air over The
Netherlands and Belgium that could do the business with a bit of
dynamic uplift. This is a very difficult one.
Will that do? :-)

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.


Excellent! Of course, if no-one really has any idea quite what is going
on, you'd think that would fuel speculation and theories.

Anyway - at just on 17:30, that looks suspiciously like a developing MCS
crossing the Southern North sea. As someone else mentioned, Bill and Katie
better not have put their wellies away just yet...

Chris
Swaffham, Norfolk


It is an MCS and that looks like it will clip East Anglia. How it will
affect the upper air with mass upper divergence is another matter?
Of interest to the SW is a developing storm cluster over NW France which
could give some storms in the SW overnight. Also what goes on over France
this evening could affect tomorrows forecast.
A lot of uncertainties, but watch out for surprises, I think the chance of
this one going precisely to plan is low!

Will
--



Joe Egginton June 2nd 08 05:39 PM

Wet night ahead
 
Jack ) wrote:
I have a daughter who used to be scared of thunderstorms but is OK
now provided she knows they are coming.

She has been warned and is looking forward to them tonight.

Jack


The only time I'll be frittened of TS is when a lightning bolt strikes me !

--
Joe Egginton
Wolverhampton
~175m ASL


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