Upper air looks right for a spell of settled and summery weather next week.
An upper trough disruption this weekend will ensure pressure will build
across the neck and resulting subsidence will ensure clearing skies.
Eventually by the end of next week it could well turn hot with temperatures
28-30C in a few spots. Hot enough to trigger a few very isolated storms.
Should be lovely in Devon with cooling sea breezes and temperatures up here
on Dartmoor up to a scorching 22-25C.
Time to get the Mirror dinghy out and escape the heat I think.
Unless something changes dramatically the above will form the basis of my
weekly Dartmoor forecast on my web site.

Will (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
--

Took your time with that forecast unless I missed one you done already. We
known about it for several days now and Dawlish has been sticking his neck
out further than you. I suppose its a case of ' if Will says so then its
very likely' so he waits till the last moment to get this achievement.
Tomorrow it'll be the BBC's turn.

--
Dave R. [west London]

Will Hand wrote:
Upper air looks right for a spell of settled and summery weather next week.
An upper trough disruption this weekend will ensure pressure will build
across the neck and resulting subsidence will ensure clearing skies.
Eventually by the end of next week it could well turn hot with temperatures
28-30C in a few spots. Hot enough to trigger a few very isolated storms.
Should be lovely in Devon with cooling sea breezes and temperatures up here
on Dartmoor up to a scorching 22-25C.
Time to get the Mirror dinghy out and escape the heat I think.
Unless something changes dramatically the above will form the basis of my
weekly Dartmoor forecast on my web site.

Will (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)

AT LAST :-)

I've started hanging from the ceilings lately !

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

"Dave R." wrote in message
et...
Took your time with that forecast unless I missed one you done already. We
known about it for several days now and Dawlish has been sticking his neck
out further than you. I suppose its a case of ' if Will says so then its
very likely' so he waits till the last moment to get this achievement.
Tomorrow it'll be the BBC's turn.

--
Dave R. [west London]

Until the last day or so, it was only the GFS progging the upcoming
(hopefully! it's not here yet, and til it is.... ) fine spell. Indeed, the
ECM painted a very different (and awful summer synoptics) picture with the
MO somewhere in between.
Now there is much better agreement on a big improvement in the next few
days, Will has put his neck on the block. Fair enough, I'd have done the
same.

The reason (if I am right in saying.. Paul correct me if I'm wrong) that
Dawlish called it earlier, is that he uses the GFS at 240h. In this case it
was out on its own for a while.

Jim.

On Jun 5, 8:18*am, "Jim Smith" wrote:
"Dave R." wrote in message

et... Took your time with that forecast unless I missed one you done already. We
known about it for several days now and Dawlish has been sticking his neck
out further than you. I suppose its a case of ' if Will says so then its
very likely' so he waits till the last moment to get this achievement.
Tomorrow it'll be the BBC's turn.

--
Dave R. [west London]

Until the last day or so, it was only the GFS progging the upcoming
(hopefully! it's not here yet, and til it is.... *) fine spell. Indeed, the
ECM painted a very different (and awful summer synoptics) picture with the
MO somewhere in between.
Now there is much better agreement on a big improvement in the next few
days, Will has put his neck on the block. Fair enough, I'd have done the
same.

The reason (if I am right in saying.. Paul correct me if I'm wrong) that
Dawlish called it earlier, is that he uses the GFS at 240h. In this case it
was out on its own for a while.

Jim.

I think you've got an excellent chance of this occurring Will. I too
think summer is on it's way. Bang on time really, hardly "at last" as
it is only 5 days in! Yes, the gfs was out on it's own for a while,
but it had shown me the necessary 5 consecutive runs with these
conditions showing; hence why I'd forecast this too. The weather will
begin to settle before then, though it's not going to be good for
everyone (good is subjective, I know!). Devon should be absolutely
glorious next week and I think a walk on the moor could be in order
next weekend, with maybe an ice-cream in car park at Haytor on the way
back!

Paul

Paul

On Wed, 4 Jun 2008 at 21:29:09, Will Hand
wrote in uk.sci.weather :

Upper air looks right for a spell of settled and summery weather next week.
An upper trough disruption this weekend will ensure pressure will build
across the neck and resulting subsidence will ensure clearing skies.
Eventually by the end of next week it could well turn hot with temperatures
28-30C in a few spots.

That high? Surely the source of the air won't be from S/SE?

Hot enough to trigger a few very isolated storms.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)

Will Hand wrote:

Upper air looks right for a spell of settled and summery weather next
week. An upper trough disruption this weekend will ensure pressure will
build across the neck and resulting subsidence will ensure clearing skies.
Eventually by the end of next week it could well turn hot with
temperatures 28-30C in a few spots. Hot enough to trigger a few very
isolated storms. Should be lovely in Devon with cooling sea breezes and
temperatures up here on Dartmoor up to a scorching 22-25C.
Time to get the Mirror dinghy out and escape the heat I think.
Unless something changes dramatically the above will form the basis of my
weekly Dartmoor forecast on my web site.

Will (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
--


Latest GFS has other ideas.


--
Brian Wakem

"Brian Wakem" wrote in message
...
Will Hand wrote:

Upper air looks right for a spell of settled and summery weather next
week. An upper trough disruption this weekend will ensure pressure will
build across the neck and resulting subsidence will ensure clearing
skies.
Eventually by the end of next week it could well turn hot with
temperatures 28-30C in a few spots. Hot enough to trigger a few very
isolated storms. Should be lovely in Devon with cooling sea breezes and
temperatures up here on Dartmoor up to a scorching 22-25C.
Time to get the Mirror dinghy out and escape the heat I think.
Unless something changes dramatically the above will form the basis of my
weekly Dartmoor forecast on my web site.

Will (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
--


Latest GFS has other ideas.

What a complete turnaround, how did that happen??
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

Col wrote:
"Brian Wakem" wrote in message
...
Will Hand wrote:

Upper air looks right for a spell of settled and summery weather next
week. An upper trough disruption this weekend will ensure pressure will
build across the neck and resulting subsidence will ensure clearing
skies.
Eventually by the end of next week it could well turn hot with
temperatures 28-30C in a few spots. Hot enough to trigger a few very
isolated storms. Should be lovely in Devon with cooling sea breezes and
temperatures up here on Dartmoor up to a scorching 22-25C.
Time to get the Mirror dinghy out and escape the heat I think.
Unless something changes dramatically the above will form the basis of my
weekly Dartmoor forecast on my web site.

Will (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
--

Latest GFS has other ideas.

What a complete turnaround, how did that happen??

Butterfly in Japan flapped its wings! ;-)

"Neil" wrote in message
...
Col wrote:
"Brian Wakem" wrote in message


Latest GFS has other ideas.

What a complete turnaround, how did that happen??

Butterfly in Japan flapped its wings! ;-)

Yeah well can't it flap 'em again, and this time *backwards*.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl