Time to extend my forecast of low pressure being in charge of the UK
weather until the 14th, at T+240. We're in line for an extended spell
of low-pressure dominance. Any respite will be short lived and the
main feature of the UK's weather, out to and including the 14th July
will be slow-moving areas of low pressure, providing copious amounts
of rainfall, especially in the West. By the 14th, the CET will
probably be average to below average and pretty cool daytime
conditions will be experienced at times, during this spell. CET
rainfall is likely to be above average by the 14th.

All-in-all a pretty horrid first fortnight of July. The SE is likely
to fare the best, but even there, it's not going to be a picnic in the
park every day!

Paul

"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
Time to extend my forecast of low pressure being in charge of the UK
weather until the 14th, at T+240. We're in line for an extended spell
of low-pressure dominance. Any respite will be short lived and the
main feature of the UK's weather, out to and including the 14th July
will be slow-moving areas of low pressure, providing copious amounts
of rainfall, especially in the West. By the 14th, the CET will
probably be average to below average and pretty cool daytime
conditions will be experienced at times, during this spell. CET
rainfall is likely to be above average by the 14th.

All-in-all a pretty horrid first fortnight of July. The SE is likely
to fare the best, but even there, it's not going to be a picnic in the
park every day!

Paul

July 1988 revisited.

The first weekend of that month was completely wrecked by a deep low similar
to this one. The whole month was unremittingly zonal. is this one going to
follow suit? Looks more likely then not at this stage.

My wedding tomorrow (will we even manage to take any photos outside?!) and
honeymoon to the Channel Islands supposed to start Sunday - I am bracing
myself for the ferry cancellation. Gale warnings in the Channel. In July.
*******s.

JIm, Bournemouth

On Jul 4, 9:30*pm, "Jim Smith" wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message

...

Time to extend my forecast of low pressure being in charge of the UK
weather until the 14th, at T+240. We're in line for an extended spell
of low-pressure dominance. Any respite will be short lived and the
main feature of the UK's weather, out to and including the 14th July
will be slow-moving areas of low pressure, providing copious amounts
of rainfall, especially in the West. By the 14th, the CET will
probably be average to below average and pretty cool daytime
conditions will be experienced at times, during this spell. CET
rainfall is likely to be above average by the 14th.

All-in-all a pretty horrid first fortnight of July. The SE is likely
to fare the best, but even there, it's not going to be a picnic in the
park every day!

Paul

July 1988 revisited.

The first weekend of that month was completely wrecked by a deep low similar
to this one. The whole month was unremittingly zonal. is this one going to
follow suit? Looks more likely then not at this stage.

My wedding tomorrow (will we even manage to take any photos outside?!) and
honeymoon to the Channel Islands supposed to start Sunday - I am bracing
myself for the ferry cancellation. Gale warnings in the Channel. In July.
*******s.

JIm, Bournemouth

Oh hell! What a day to choose!! Whatever! I'm sure you'll enjoy it
massively, despite whatever the weather throws at you both!

As for the present weather situation, I don't see it as zonal, Jim.
Rather it is just slow moving low pressures. I know it is coming from
the west, but it is so slow and the jet is so disturbed and nothing
like the classic East to West racing jet zonal signature.

http://www.metcheck.com/V40/UK/FREE/jetstream.asp

For me, the zonal period ended last week, after the plume toppled.

Good luck for tomorrow! Take a couple of brollies and a hip flask of
something tasty!!

Best wishes for the day, Paul

"Jim Smith" wrote in message
...
My wedding tomorrow (will we even manage to take any photos outside?!) and
honeymoon to the Channel Islands supposed to start Sunday - I am bracing
myself for the ferry cancellation. Gale warnings in the Channel. In July.
*******s.


Good Luck Jim. I think there will be some sun after the front goes through
mid morning..
Have a great day.

Phil

Extend your ego you mean.

Why dont you pi** off back to TWO or NetWeather, oh wait, you cant, your
banned from there for being a ego maniac too.
Shame USW has to suffer.


Dawlish wrote:
Time to extend my forecast of low pressure being in charge of the UK
weather until the 14th, at T+240. We're in line for an extended spell
of low-pressure dominance. Any respite will be short lived and the
main feature of the UK's weather, out to and including the 14th July
will be slow-moving areas of low pressure, providing copious amounts
of rainfall, especially in the West. By the 14th, the CET will
probably be average to below average and pretty cool daytime
conditions will be experienced at times, during this spell. CET
rainfall is likely to be above average by the 14th.

All-in-all a pretty horrid first fortnight of July. The SE is likely
to fare the best, but even there, it's not going to be a picnic in the
park every day!

Paul

On Fri, 04 Jul 2008 22:18:29 +0100, "N.E Zephyr"
wrote:

Extend your ego you mean.

Why dont you pi** off back to TWO or NetWeather, oh wait, you cant, your
banned from there for being a ego maniac too.
Shame USW has to suffer.

Odd- that is what many contributors are thinking of someone else and
it is not Dawlish

On Fri, 4 Jul 2008 20:30:51 -0000, "Jim Smith"
wrote:

My wedding tomorrow (will we even manage to take any photos outside?!) and
honeymoon to the Channel Islands supposed to start Sunday - I am bracing
myself for the ferry cancellation. Gale warnings in the Channel. In July.
*******s.

JIm, Bournemouth

Have a good day! My wedding on the 20th in Bedford so I am starting to
look ahead for the weather but obviously a tad distant for now

R

On Jul 5, 7:46*am, Robin Nicholson
wrote:
On Fri, 4 Jul 2008 20:30:51 -0000, "Jim Smith"

wrote:
My wedding tomorrow (will we even manage to take any photos outside?!) and
honeymoon to the Channel Islands supposed to start Sunday - I am bracing
myself for the ferry cancellation. Gale warnings in the Channel. In July..
*******s.

JIm, Bournemouth

Have a good day! My wedding on the 20th in Bedford so I am starting to
look ahead for the weather but obviously a tad distant for now

R

I truly hope it has changed to high summer by then, Robin! I have
visitors from Australia arriving next saturday and I am fervently
hoping that my forecast for the 14th is completely hopeless and
totally incorrect!! There are early signs today that it might be just
that and there will be no-one more pleased than me if it is!!

Except for the monkey on my back, of course.

Paul

On Jul 5, 9:48 am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jul 5, 7:46 am, Robin Nicholson

wrote:
On Fri, 4 Jul 2008 20:30:51 -0000, "Jim Smith"

wrote:
My wedding tomorrow (will we even manage to take any photos outside?!) and
honeymoon to the Channel Islands supposed to start Sunday - I am bracing
myself for the ferry cancellation. Gale warnings in the Channel. In July.
*******s.

JIm, Bournemouth

Have a good day! My wedding on the 20th in Bedford so I am starting to
look ahead for the weather but obviously a tad distant for now

R

I truly hope it has changed to high summer by then, Robin! I have
visitors from Australia arriving next saturday and I am fervently
hoping that my forecast for the 14th is completely hopeless and
totally incorrect!! There are early signs today that it might be just
that and there will be no-one more pleased than me if it is!!

Except for the monkey on my back, of course.



Well the GFS (00 and 06) today seem to be very inconsistent for the
9th-14th period, but both seem to agree on high pressure coming in for
the third week of the month. Let's hope this is a month of two
contrasting halves.... that said, I could put up with days like last
Thursday.

Nick

"Robin Nicholson" wrote in
message ...
On Fri, 4 Jul 2008 20:30:51 -0000, "Jim Smith"
wrote:

My wedding tomorrow (will we even manage to take any photos outside?!)
JIm, Bournemouth

Have a good day! My wedding on the 20th in Bedford so I am starting to
look ahead for the weather but obviously a tad distant for now

R


20th isnt too distant at all this year cos its got an 8 in it. Guaranteed
unsettled weather - summers done for - you know it is.
as for the 20th what do you think is going to change by then? absolutely
nuffin
Dave R.