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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#51
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On 19 Oct, 14:22, wrote:
Well Graham all I know is that during the seventies the Daily Telegraph Sunday supplement ran a rather large feature on the coming ice age, as did the tabloid Sunday Mirror (Pictorial in the seventies). In fact the Pictorial devoted the front page and subsequent pages to the headlines *"New Ice Age on its way" or something like that. * [...] The difference is this: the media in those times hadn't the slightest interest in climate change so that story was one of a real tangible anxiety this was underlined by the fact *the left never had the slightest *interest in climate as they still parasitically lived of the great beast that was the trade Union movement. You also have to consider that it wasn't felt that humans had any bearing on the climate whatsoever. In the 1970s? I don't think that's true. For example, John Mason informed the Royal Society in 1978 that of all climate variables, the effect of rapid increase in greenhouses gases was 'by far the largest'; and the disparate strands of climate research through the 1970s (and indeed '60s) culminated in 1979 with the panel convened by the U.S. National Research Council at Woods Hole under Jule Charney. 'We estimate the most probable global warming for a doubling of CO2 to be near 3 degrees C, with a probable error of plus or minus 1.5 degrees.' [Jule Charney, 'Carbon Dioxide and Climate: A Scientific Assessment' (1979)] Nor is the general point true that there was any sort of consensus on 'global cooling' during the 1970s. There is an excellent paper in September's 'Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society' that lays this argument to rest: 'The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus' [Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck]. In a nutshell, the authors found that of relevant papers published from 1965 to 1979, 44 indicated 'warming' and just seven 'cooling', while 20 were 'neutral'. And I thought that the English actor Sophie Okonedo (fittingly, for the part, born in London's East End) was excellent at portraying the role of Nancy. Just how dark does a person's skin have to be to disqualify them from Dickens? Moreover, considering Dickens, as far as I know, did not mention her religion in 'Oliver Twist', should the fact that she is Jewish also have excluded her from consideration? |
#52
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Definitely appears to be more ice in the Arctic this year compared to
last year. http://igloo.atmos.uiuc.edu/cgi-bin/...&sd=17&sy=2008 |
#53
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#54
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On Oct 19, 5:31*pm, Stephen Davenport wrote:
On 19 Oct, 14:22, wrote: Well Graham all I know is that during the seventies the Daily Telegraph Sunday supplement ran a rather large feature on the coming ice age, as did the tabloid Sunday Mirror (Pictorial in the seventies). In fact the Pictorial devoted the front page and subsequent pages to the headlines *"New Ice Age on its way" or something like that. * [...] The difference is this: the media in those times hadn't the slightest interest in climate change so that story was one of a real tangible anxiety this was underlined by the fact *the left never had the slightest *interest in climate as they still parasitically lived of the great beast that was the trade Union movement. You also have to consider that it wasn't felt that humans had any bearing on the climate whatsoever. In the 1970s? I don't think that's true. For example, John Mason informed the Royal Society in 1978 that of all climate variables, the effect of rapid increase in greenhouses gases was 'by far the largest'; and the disparate strands of climate research through the 1970s (and indeed '60s) culminated in 1979 with the panel convened by the U.S. National Research Council at Woods Hole under Jule Charney. 'We estimate the most probable global warming for a doubling of CO2 to be near 3 degrees C, with a probable error of plus or minus 1.5 degrees.' [Jule Charney, 'Carbon Dioxide and Climate: A Scientific Assessment' (1979)] Nor is the general point true that there was any sort of consensus on 'global cooling' during the 1970s. There is an excellent paper in September's 'Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society' that lays this argument to rest: 'The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus' [Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck]. In a nutshell, the authors found that of relevant papers published from 1965 to 1979, 44 indicated 'warming' and just seven 'cooling', while 20 were 'neutral'. And I thought that the English actor Sophie Okonedo (fittingly, for the part, born in London's East End) was excellent at portraying the role of Nancy. Just how dark does a person's skin have to be to disqualify them from Dickens? Moreover, considering Dickens, as far as I know, did not mention her religion in 'Oliver Twist', should the fact that she is Jewish also have excluded her from consideration? |
#55
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On Oct 19, 5:31*pm, Stephen Davenport wrote:
Nor is the general point true that there was any sort of consensus on 'global cooling' during the 1970s. There is an excellent paper in September's 'Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society' that lays this argument to rest: 'The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus' [Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck]. In a nutshell, the authors found that of relevant papers published from 1965 to 1979, 44 indicated 'warming' and just seven 'cooling', while 20 were 'neutral'. The idea that winters in the UK could get colder persisted for some time after 1979. In the May 1987 edition of "Weather" is a letter suggesting that cold winters in SE England were now the norm after the cold of 1985,6 and 7. There are thoughts along these lines elsewhere in that issue too. It seems to illustrate the point that long-term predictions are often excessively influenced by recent events, an all- too-human reaction. There have been few seriously cold spells of any length in SE England since 1987. February 1991 had a very cold spell but it didn't last long. Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey. |
#56
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On Oct 19, 5:31*pm, Stephen Davenport wrote:
On 19 Oct, 14:22, wrote: Well Graham all I know is that during the seventies the Daily Telegraph Sunday supplement ran a rather large feature on the coming ice age, as did the tabloid Sunday Mirror (Pictorial in the seventies). In fact the Pictorial devoted the front page and subsequent pages to the headlines *"New Ice Age on its way" or something like that. * [...] The difference is this: the media in those times hadn't the slightest interest in climate change so that story was one of a real tangible anxiety this was underlined by the fact *the left never had the slightest *interest in climate as they still parasitically lived of the great beast that was the trade Union movement. You also have to consider that it wasn't felt that humans had any bearing on the climate whatsoever. In the 1970s? I don't think that's true. For example, John Mason informed the Royal Society in 1978 that of all climate variables, the effect of rapid increase in greenhouses gases was 'by far the largest'; and the disparate strands of climate research through the 1970s (and indeed '60s) culminated in 1979 with the panel convened by the U.S. National Research Council at Woods Hole under Jule Charney. 'We estimate the most probable global warming for a doubling of CO2 to be near 3 degrees C, with a probable error of plus or minus 1.5 degrees.' [Jule Charney, 'Carbon Dioxide and Climate: A Scientific Assessment' (1979)] Nor is the general point true that there was any sort of consensus on 'global cooling' during the 1970s. There is an excellent paper in September's 'Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society' that lays this argument to rest: 'The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus' [Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck]. In a nutshell, the authors found that of relevant papers published from 1965 to 1979, 44 indicated 'warming' and just seven 'cooling', while 20 were 'neutral'. And I thought that the English actor Sophie Okonedo (fittingly, for the part, born in London's East End) was excellent at portraying the role of Nancy. Just how dark does a person's skin have to be to disqualify them from Dickens? Moreover, considering Dickens, as far as I know, did not mention her religion in 'Oliver Twist', should the fact that she is Jewish also have excluded her from consideration? How does that explain the Subday Mirror and Sunday Telegaph artices and Nigel Calders book? The post war cooling was very obvious right through the sixties only ten years earlier Einstein was writing a glowing preface to Charles Hapgoods apparent destruction of the theory of plate tectonics. I think people forget how things rapidly change, Cooling wasn't a theory it actually was a concern that had veen picked up by a less distorted media than today. Again people want to revise history to suit their view of the world. As for Dickens: Would you think it correct if a period drama had white tribesmen amongst the Ibo people of west africa ? Of course not. TYhe BBC are revising the accuracy of historic events to atone for the sins of the slave trade. As I said in another post a young Blacl actress iis to star in a new production of little dorrit. Now these things on their own don't mean much but when put into the context og the BBC guilt propaganda machine- it does. |
#57
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On Oct 19, 2:22*pm, wrote:
On Oct 19, 1:23 pm, Dawlish wrote: On Oct 19, 11:51 am, wrote: On Oct 19, 10:49 am, Graham P Davis wrote: wrote: You see the BBC in particular believes we're are at the edge of the abyss peering down into the terrible darkness, so you'd think any news that delays impending disaster would be welcomed-yet its not. Odd that.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Maybe you think the BBC believes we are on the edge of an abyss. OK to think that, of course. Whether the executives at the Beeb actually believe that is a different matter. |
#58
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On Oct 19, 5:56*pm, Alan LeHun wrote:
In article b41c77af-d93f-4d96-8f9c- , says... I know, did not mention her religion in 'Oliver Twist', should the fact that she is Jewish also have excluded her from consideration? Fagin was a jew, but he was a baddie... -- Alan LeHun Bill Sykes was far worse- you can't trust those Colombians. |
#60
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Now is it me or has warming in the UK been placed temporarily on hold?
I've been analysing the CET temperature series, and produced a revised rolling 12 month annual temperature series, and the warming appears to have been placed on hold since May 2007. Links to graphs below. Rolling 12 month CET series since 1970 http://i393.photobucket.com/albums/p...o/e68300ad.jpg Rolling 12 month CET series since 2000 http://i393.photobucket.com/albums/p...o/e3942abe.jpg PS, I think we will have a cold Christmas this year, particularly in Northern Britain, what to others think? |
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Earth on the Brink of an Ice Age | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
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