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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#61
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On Oct 19, 7:37*pm, "www.waspies.net" wrote:
wrote: I've noticed that al the 'usual suspects' the BBC, Guardian, Independent and of course the son of a affluent professional marxist; now whats his name ..ah yes the boy Ed Milliband and associates, are all keeping very quiet about the remarkable recovery of the Arctic sea ice. I'm not too sure if *Alastair and Dawlish posted-they usualy do if the ice news is grim; but if never ceases to amaze me how all those that are concerned that we heading for melt down stay silent when the disaster is postponed. The BBC are notorious for this but I digress the Arctic ice is rebounding with seemingly,enthusiasm. http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/10/1...w-287-higher-t... Just thought I'd make this point. This could have been a good debate about data sources and the crap information that exists in cyber space instead all we got was some tart rattling on about the BBC, pointless and off topic. I personally believe all of this data that global warming doesn't exist, that Close encounters is a documentary, that the MFI destroyed the twin towers, and that Diana was murdered by Interflora, I'm off to read some more out of there stories in the Observer.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Well start your own thread you tosser. I started trhis precisely because of the BBC's lack of impartiality. It does what is says on the can you ****. |
#62
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On Oct 19, 8:17*pm, Bonos Ego wrote:
Now is it me or has warming in the UK been placed temporarily on hold? I've been analysing the CET temperature series, and produced a revised rolling 12 month annual temperature series, and the warming appears to have been placed on hold since May 2007. Links to graphs below. Rolling 12 month CET series since 1970http://i393.photobucket.com/albums/pp17/BonosEgo/e68300ad.jpg Rolling 12 month CET series since 2000http://i393.photobucket.com/albums/pp17/BonosEgo/e3942abe.jpg PS, I think we will have a cold Christmas this year, particularly in Northern Britain, what to others think? I agree. |
#63
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On Oct 19, 6:34*pm, Tudor Hughes wrote:
On Oct 19, 5:31*pm, Stephen Davenport wrote: Nor is the general point true that there was any sort of consensus on 'global cooling' during the 1970s. There is an excellent paper in September's 'Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society' that lays this argument to rest: 'The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus' [Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck]. In a nutshell, the authors found that of relevant papers published from 1965 to 1979, 44 indicated 'warming' and just seven 'cooling', while 20 were 'neutral'. The idea that winters in the UK could get colder persisted for some time after 1979. *In the May 1987 edition of "Weather" is a letter suggesting that cold winters in SE England were now the norm after the cold of 1985,6 and 7. There are thoughts along these lines elsewhere in that issue too. *It seems to illustrate the point that long-term predictions are often excessively influenced by recent events, an all- too-human reaction. *There have been few seriously cold spells of any length in SE England since 1987. *February 1991 had a very cold spell but it didn't last long. Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey. Blimey Tudor is that some kind of long winded convoluted agreement, that yes there was some anxiety that our world was going to get colder.? Cos that's how I remember it. |
#64
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On Oct 19, 10:21*pm, wrote:
On Oct 19, 7:37*pm, "www.waspies.net" wrote: I've noticed that al the 'usual suspects' the BBC, Guardian, Independent and of course the son of a affluent professional marxist; now whats his name ..ah yes the boy Ed Milliband and associates, are all keeping very quiet about the remarkable recovery of the Arctic sea ice. The BBC are notorious for this but I digress the Arctic ice is rebounding with seemingly,enthusiasm. http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/10/1...w-287-higher-t.... Just thought I'd make this point. This could have been a good debate about data sources and the crap information that exists in cyber space instead all we got was some tart rattling on about the BBC, pointless and off topic. Felicitations and bonhomie aside, you are a caution! I started trhiasaiosp[p[kajnn drrs precisely at this contumely denigration because of the BBC's lack of impartiality. It does what is says on the... can you turn what? For clarity I have edited some of your post. Most of it is still opaque, if not clearly transparent. Perhaps we might look at the words of a minion in Minionopolis: Richard.Black: Highlighted text in body of PR for Nazi saluting chimp pictured in link:: "A scientific report commissioned by the US government has concluded there is "clear evidence" of climate change caused by human activities." More from the poster of Nazi saluters: "The report, from the federal Climate Change Science Program, said trends seen over the last 50 years "cannot be explained by natural processes alone". It found that temperatures have increased in the lower atmosphere as well as at the Earth's surface." By now the average Sun reader will have glazed over and started surfing for porn. Which is a pity as the article goes on to state: "Holes in the data But there are some big uncertainties which still need resolving. Globally, the report concludes, tropospheric temperatures have risen by 0.10 and 0.20C per decade since 1979, when satellite data became generally available." We are talking about tenths of a degree when the finest computations don't give us reliable forecasts past a few days. Someone want to explain that to them? It gets worse: "Measuring tropospheric temperatures is far from a simple business. Satellites sense the "average" temperature of the air between themselves and the Earth, largely blind to what is happening at different altitudes. To compound matters, instruments on board satellites degrade over time, orbits subtly drift, and calibration between different satellites may be poor. Weather balloons (or radiosondes) take real-time measurements as they ascend, but scientists can never assess instruments afterwards; they are "fire-and-forget" equipment. Correcting for all these potential sources of error is a sensitive and time-consuming process." Which, to be fair to Mr Black, is more or less what an honest man would write about, given the quotes from experts he is relying on in the article. I'd like to hear just how much influence he had in the final draught of this post that bears his name: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4969772.stm Because I think that it was GOT AT. |
#65
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On Oct 19, 10:47*pm, wrote:
On Oct 19, 6:34*pm, Tudor Hughes wrote: On Oct 19, 5:31*pm, Stephen Davenport wrote: Nor is the general point true that there was any sort of consensus on 'global cooling' during the 1970s. There is an excellent paper in September's 'Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society' that lays this argument to rest: 'The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus' [Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck]. In a nutshell, the authors found that of relevant papers published from 1965 to 1979, 44 indicated 'warming' and just seven 'cooling', while 20 were 'neutral'. The idea that winters in the UK could get colder persisted for some time after 1979. *In the May 1987 edition of "Weather" is a letter suggesting that cold winters in SE England were now the norm after the cold of 1985,6 and 7. There are thoughts along these lines elsewhere in that issue too. *It seems to illustrate the point that long-term predictions are often excessively influenced by recent events, an all- too-human reaction. *There have been few seriously cold spells of any length in SE England since 1987. *February 1991 had a very cold spell but it didn't last long. Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey. Blimey Tudor is that some kind *of long winded convoluted agreement, that yes there was some anxiety that our world was going to get colder.? *Cos that's how I remember it.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Actually reading your post again you are very clear that yes, a cooling climate was very believable. I'm just getting irritated by people who never experienced that period making such dissmisive comments. |
#66
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On Oct 19, 10:52*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Oct 19, 10:21*pm, wrote: On Oct 19, 7:37*pm, "www.waspies.net" wrote: I've noticed that al the 'usual suspects' the BBC, Guardian, Independent and of course the son of a affluent professional marxist; now whats his name ..ah yes the boy Ed Milliband and associates, are all keeping very quiet about the remarkable recovery of the Arctic sea ice. The BBC are notorious for this but I digress the Arctic ice is rebounding with seemingly,enthusiasm. http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/10/1...w-287-higher-t... Just thought I'd make this point. This could have been a good debate about data sources and the crap information that exists in cyber space instead all we got was some tart rattling on about the BBC, pointless and off topic. Felicitations and bonhomie aside, you are a caution! I started trhiasaiosp[p[kajnn drrs precisely at this contumely denigration because of the BBC's lack of impartiality. It does what is says on the.... can you turn what? For clarity I have edited some of your post. Most of it is still opaque, if not clearly transparent. Perhaps we might look at the words of a minion in Minionopolis: Richard.Black: Highlighted text in body of PR for Nazi saluting chimp pictured in link:: "A scientific report commissioned by the US government has concluded there is "clear evidence" of climate change caused by human activities." More from the poster of Nazi saluters: "The report, from the federal Climate Change Science Program, said trends seen over the last 50 years "cannot be explained by natural processes alone". It found that temperatures have increased in the lower atmosphere as well as at the Earth's surface." By now the average Sun reader will have glazed over and started surfing for porn. Which is a pity as the article goes on to state: "Holes in the data But there are some big uncertainties which still need resolving. Globally, the report concludes, tropospheric temperatures have risen by 0.10 and 0.20C per decade since 1979, when satellite data became generally available." We are talking about tenths of a degree when the finest computations don't give us reliable forecasts past a few days. Someone want to explain that to them? It gets worse: "Measuring tropospheric temperatures is far from a simple business. Satellites sense the "average" temperature of the air between themselves and the Earth, largely blind to what is happening at different altitudes. To compound matters, instruments on board satellites degrade over time, orbits subtly drift, and calibration between different satellites may be poor. Weather balloons (or radiosondes) take real-time measurements as they ascend, but scientists can never assess instruments afterwards; they are "fire-and-forget" equipment. Correcting for all these potential sources of error is a sensitive and time-consuming process." Which, to be fair to Mr Black, is more or less what an honest man would write about, given the quotes from experts he is relying on in the article. I'd like to hear just how much influence he had in the final draught of this post that bears his name: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4969772.stm Because I think that it was GOT AT.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - First thoughts are : why in the middle of that article is there an image of GW Bush and his wife; with GW giving a nazi style salute- surely there were thousands of other photographs in the BBC library that could have been used totally out of context? |
#67
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On Oct 19, 10:52*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Oct 19, 10:21*pm, wrote: On Oct 19, 7:37*pm, "www.waspies.net" wrote: I've noticed that al the 'usual suspects' the BBC, Guardian, Independent and of course the son of a affluent professional marxist; now whats his name ..ah yes the boy Ed Milliband and associates, are all keeping very quiet about the remarkable recovery of the Arctic sea ice. The BBC are notorious for this but I digress the Arctic ice is rebounding with seemingly,enthusiasm. http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/10/1...w-287-higher-t... Just thought I'd make this point. This could have been a good debate about data sources and the crap information that exists in cyber space instead all we got was some tart rattling on about the BBC, pointless and off topic. Felicitations and bonhomie aside, you are a caution! I started trhiasaiosp[p[kajnn drrs precisely at this contumely denigration because of the BBC's lack of impartiality. It does what is says on the.... can you turn what? For clarity I have edited some of your post. Most of it is still opaque, if not clearly transparent. Perhaps we might look at the words of a minion in Minionopolis: Richard.Black: Highlighted text in body of PR for Nazi saluting chimp pictured in link:: "A scientific report commissioned by the US government has concluded there is "clear evidence" of climate change caused by human activities." More from the poster of Nazi saluters: "The report, from the federal Climate Change Science Program, said trends seen over the last 50 years "cannot be explained by natural processes alone". It found that temperatures have increased in the lower atmosphere as well as at the Earth's surface." By now the average Sun reader will have glazed over and started surfing for porn. Which is a pity as the article goes on to state: "Holes in the data But there are some big uncertainties which still need resolving. Globally, the report concludes, tropospheric temperatures have risen by 0.10 and 0.20C per decade since 1979, when satellite data became generally available." We are talking about tenths of a degree when the finest computations don't give us reliable forecasts past a few days. Someone want to explain that to them? It gets worse: "Measuring tropospheric temperatures is far from a simple business. Satellites sense the "average" temperature of the air between themselves and the Earth, largely blind to what is happening at different altitudes. To compound matters, instruments on board satellites degrade over time, orbits subtly drift, and calibration between different satellites may be poor. Weather balloons (or radiosondes) take real-time measurements as they ascend, but scientists can never assess instruments afterwards; they are "fire-and-forget" equipment. Correcting for all these potential sources of error is a sensitive and time-consuming process." Which, to be fair to Mr Black, is more or less what an honest man would write about, given the quotes from experts he is relying on in the article. I'd like to hear just how much influence he had in the final draught of this post that bears his name: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4969772.stm Because I think that it was GOT AT.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Coming from the champion of the obscure that is as usuall meaningless tripe. |
#68
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On Oct 20, 12:13*am, wrote:
Coming from the champion of the obscure that is as usuall meaningless tripe. On May 7 2006, 12:51 am, "Weatherlawyer" wrote: Adam Lea wrote: "Richard Orrell" wrote in message roups.com... http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4969772.stm I didn't think this was anything new: http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/20...s-natural.html Hells bells; it's been going on since Noah entered the ark. Time and again climate changes affected the regions around Palestine in biblical times. So what were you expecting? Carbon dioxide that no longer dissolves in water? http://julesandjames.blogspot.com/20...cepticism.html Which had this to say about editors: "Anyway, another of Richard Black's articles was an investigation into "censorship". Some time ago, he asked for any evidence to back up the occasional claims that the reason why there is no sceptical science is because it is censored by the gatekeepers of the peer-review system. Apparently someone (several people?) had pointed him towards my multiply-rejected paper "Can we believe in high climate sensitivity", so he phoned me up for a chat about it. As is clear from his article, I don't really see this as "censorship of scepticism" so much as gatekeepers doing their usual thing of defending the status quo. In fact as I blogged at the time, a fair proportion of the reviewers actually supported publication, it was the journal editors who seemed to be the main obstacle." The fact is that most people fail to realise that you don't just write an article for the BBC the way you sit down and write a post to Usenet. In the first place you don't get to choose what you want to write; you might sell a prospective outlook on a matter but then the offer might come back for so many words on climate change. In which case you savour a moral dilemma or work around it as best you can. What was so difficult for your admittedly dimmer light enhancer to deal with in the flare of my earlier brilliance? In the earlier post I sent, it was obvious to me that a measurement error of tenths of a degree averaged over a decade is easily supplied from the positioning of sensitive equipment, when just moving a few steps over from the bus stop can get you 3 or more whole degrees C on any sunny morning. |
#69
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On Oct 19, 10:55*pm, wrote:
On Oct 19, 10:47*pm, wrote: On Oct 19, 6:34*pm, Tudor Hughes wrote: On Oct 19, 5:31*pm, Stephen Davenport wrote: Nor is the general point true that there was any sort of consensus on 'global cooling' during the 1970s. There is an excellent paper in September's 'Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society' that lays this argument to rest: 'The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus' [Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck]. In a nutshell, the authors found that of relevant papers published from 1965 to 1979, 44 indicated 'warming' and just seven 'cooling', while 20 were 'neutral'. The idea that winters in the UK could get colder persisted for some time after 1979. *In the May 1987 edition of "Weather" is a letter suggesting that cold winters in SE England were now the norm after the cold of 1985,6 and 7. There are thoughts along these lines elsewhere in that issue too. *It seems to illustrate the point that long-term predictions are often excessively influenced by recent events, an all- too-human reaction. *There have been few seriously cold spells of any length in SE England since 1987. *February 1991 had a very cold spell but it didn't last long. Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey. Blimey Tudor is that some kind *of long winded convoluted agreement, that yes there was some anxiety that our world was going to get colder.? *Cos that's how I remember it.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Actually reading your post again you are very clear that yes, a cooling climate was very believable. I'm just getting irritated by people who never experienced that period making such dissmisive comments.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - The point of the post was not to say whether cold winters were believable or not but that forecasts were sometimes made with too great an emphasis on the very recent past. Thus a cooling climate was believable on that flimsy basis but the winters of the last 20 years have shown it to be a false belief, based too much on recent memory. If contributors to "Weather" can make that kind of mistake you should hardly be surprised that the media, including the BBC, can have an irrational view of the subject. Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey. |
#70
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