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-   -   Full Moon 7th June 2009. 18:12 (https://www.weather-banter.co.uk/uk-sci-weather-uk-weather/134546-full-moon-7th-june-2009-18-12-a.html)

Dawlish June 9th 09 09:17 AM

Full Moon 7th June 2009. 18:12
 
On Jun 9, 9:29*am, Alastair wrote:
PS Sorry Lawrence. I'll write out "must do better" a few hundred
times.


Don't you mean you will write out "I won't do it again"?

And shouldn't that be 'one hundred times'? Clarity, dear fellow,
that's what scientific forecasting is all about :-)

Cheers, Alastair.


You must have gone to a posher school than I did. Careful with your
choice of meal, dear fellow, that's what survival is all about :-)

Cheers, Paul

Weatherlawyer June 9th 09 06:38 PM

Full Moon 7th June 2009. 18:12
 
On Jun 9, 9:12*am, Dawlish wrote:

So; how about clarity with your forecasts


Quite right about that. How about that?

Every fool should have one. Make yours a double.


Dawlish June 9th 09 08:46 PM

Full Moon 7th June 2009. 18:12
 
On Jun 9, 7:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Jun 9, 9:12*am, Dawlish wrote:



So; how about clarity with your forecasts


Quite right about that. How about that?

Every fool should have one. Make yours a double.


Wonderful how you constantly try to duck this. Let me reiterate.....

So; how about clarity with your forecasts, your theories, the
interpretation of your forecasts and especially the verification of
those forecasts. Lawrence's daft aside won't deflect the questions, W
and they need answers if anyone is to ever take you seriously.

How is 18.12 progressing? I see no "strong" earthquakes anywhere near
the Isthmus of Panama (a 5.4 in Mexico hardly counts as "strong"
wouldn't you agree?)

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...quakes_big.php

Dawlish June 15th 09 08:11 PM

Full Moon 7th June 2009. 18:12
 
On Jun 7, 10:31*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
From: http://www.usno.navy.mil/USNO/astron.../data-services...

31st May @ 03:22 just ended.
this one the 7th June @ 18:12 has just started and will end
15th June or thereabout, with the phase @ 22:15

Now the thing is, if there was a strong positive in the North Atlantic
there would be a hurricane in it for this phase. With the oscillation
positive in the North Pacific there is more likely going to be
convergence in that ocean. Maybe off Mexico.

Maybe more strong earthquakes near the Isthmus of Panama.

I don't know if it is going to be a positive or negative oscillation
here but at least the Australian Bureau of Meteorology have realised
these things can be set up in a matter of days:http://news.softpedia.com/news/El-Ni...s-113540.shtml

The last spell should have been thundery but the thing turned into a
real sunny one at first, going downhill on Saturday as the next spell
came along.

So here we are once again with a pattern that should be cool, dull,
overcast and not particularly wet.

It has rained continually, isn't that cold and has been completely
overcast. And the spell has hardly started yet. This could be fun.

Looks pretty negative in the North Atlantic to me with low Highs and
high Lows:http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsfaxsem.html

That's a seismic convergence then IIRC.


I know it's not quite 22.15, but I'm off to bed.

2/10; 20% over 10 forecasts. Not great, W, is it? I'm looking forward
to monitoring your work in this quarter. Please make any forecasts
clear enough to understand.


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