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Old January 29th 10, 10:01 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS 18z run

Well we've had endless operational runs like this one, this winter. None
have even vaguely happened in the predicted way although of course some have
led to cold spells. The usual pattern is first of all it will be a very cold
outlier in the already confused portion of the Ensembles. Then it will
either flip to the opposite with the actual outcome being some rough
consensus of all the models. This will be interesting with the UKMO showing
SW'lies.
Sigh.
Dave


 
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