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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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UAH global temperatures in July = +0.49C, 2nd warmest in 30 years -
130 I believe I erroneously said in the last post(!) - we'll have to wait for NOAA and GISS to confirm that one). I'm really quite stunned at these figures. Surface series to come in the second third of the month. How can you have temperatures that warm when La Nina conditions exist in the Pacific and we are in an extended solar minimum? |
#2
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On 3 Aug, 15:08, Dawlish wrote:
UAH global temperatures in July = +0.49C, 2nd warmest in 30 years - 130 I believe I erroneously said in the *last post(!) - we'll have to wait for NOAA and GISS to confirm that one). I'm really quite stunned at these figures. Surface series to come in the second third of the month. How can you have temperatures that warm when La Nina conditions exist in the Pacific and we are in an extended solar minimum? I smell a rat! Record low temperatures across many parts of South America during July. I also did a few spot checks with temperatures in Australia a few days later, and guess what, they were also below normal. I know it has been exceptionally warm in Moscow, but didn't someone also post that temperatures were well below normal on the Eastern side of the High Pressure in Russia at the same time. I take the constant data being churned out saying that it's been the X warmest month in X number of years with a large pinch of salt these days. Is there any regard taken of the fact that there is more land mass in the Northern Hemisphere compared to the Southern Hemisphere? My point being that there are large areas in the Southern Hemisphere without any surface readings during what appears to have been a severe blast of cold air from Antarctica mid month. |
#3
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On Aug 3, 4:27*pm, Teignmouth wrote:
On 3 Aug, 15:08, Dawlish wrote: UAH global temperatures in July = +0.49C, 2nd warmest in 30 years - 130 I believe I erroneously said in the *last post(!) - we'll have to wait for NOAA and GISS to confirm that one). I'm really quite stunned at these figures. Surface series to come in the second third of the month. How can you have temperatures that warm when La Nina conditions exist in the Pacific and we are in an extended solar minimum? I smell a rat! Record low temperatures across many parts of South America during July. *I also did a few spot checks with temperatures in Australia a few days later, and guess what, they were also below normal. I know it has been exceptionally warm in Moscow, but didn't someone also post that temperatures were well below normal on the Eastern side of the High Pressure in Russia at the same time. I take the constant data being churned out saying that it's been the X warmest month in X number of years with a large pinch of salt these days. Is there any regard taken of the fact that there is more land mass in the Northern Hemisphere compared to the Southern Hemisphere? *My point being that there are large areas in the Southern Hemisphere without any surface readings during what appears to have been a severe blast of cold air from Antarctica mid month. Yes, of course there is regard taken; these are professional and experienced scientists and you've got to remember that the couple of areas you've mentioned are a very small part of the earth's surface. Don't be fooled by the existence of colder areas during record global temperatures; synoptically, they are *certain* to happen. No "rat" just record warmth, despite La Nina conditions in the Equatorial Pacific. A situation that has never happened during the temperature record. The globe should be cooling rapidly now and it isn't. I do expect a cooling to kick in soon, as would anyone else with an interest in climate science, but it hasn't happened yet and the depth, or shallowness of that cooling will be a very good indication of what is causing the warming. The only other real possibility is the sun - and with an extended solar minimum (and the PDO in a negative phase), there simply has to be significant cooling over the next 12 months, or it is CO2 which is driving the warming without a doubt. The solar minimum may well have been serving to mitigate warming over the last 3 years. If it has, watch what happens to global temperatures when solar cycle 24 finally approaches a peak. |
#4
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![]() "Teignmouth" wrote in message ... On 3 Aug, 15:08, Dawlish wrote: UAH global temperatures in July = +0.49C, 2nd warmest in 30 years - 130 I believe I erroneously said in the last post(!) - we'll have to wait for NOAA and GISS to confirm that one). I'm really quite stunned at these figures. Surface series to come in the second third of the month. How can you have temperatures that warm when La Nina conditions exist in the Pacific and we are in an extended solar minimum? What I would like to know (as a scientist) is how these figures are arrived at precisely? What data have been used? What are the error bars? What "adjustments" have been made (e.g. area weightings)? etc etc. I guess I could dig around and find out but I cannot be arsed ATM having a lot of procrastinatability again :-) Will -- |
#5
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In message
, Teignmouth writes On 3 Aug, 15:08, Dawlish wrote: UAH global temperatures in July = +0.49C, 2nd warmest in 30 years - 130 I believe I erroneously said in the *last post(!) - we'll have to wait for NOAA and GISS to confirm that one). I'm really quite stunned at these figures. Surface series to come in the second third of the month. How can you have temperatures that warm when La Nina conditions exist in the Pacific and we are in an extended solar minimum? I smell a rat! Record low temperatures across many parts of South America during July. I also did a few spot checks with temperatures in Australia a few days later, and guess what, they were also below normal. I know it has been exceptionally warm in Moscow, but didn't someone also post that temperatures were well below normal on the Eastern side of the High Pressure in Russia at the same time. I take the constant data being churned out saying that it's been the X warmest month in X number of years with a large pinch of salt these days. Is there any regard taken of the fact that there is more land mass in the Northern Hemisphere compared to the Southern Hemisphere? My point being that there are large areas in the Southern Hemisphere without any surface readings during what appears to have been a severe blast of cold air from Antarctica mid month. Lawrence Jenkins recently posted a URL showing unusually warm temperatures in Antarctica (for the latitude and time of year). -- Stewart Robert Hinsley |
#6
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On Aug 3, 6:32*pm, Stewart Robert Hinsley
wrote: In message , Teignmouth writes On 3 Aug, 15:08, Dawlish wrote: UAH global temperatures in July = +0.49C, 2nd warmest in 30 years - 130 I believe I erroneously said in the *last post(!) - we'll have to wait for NOAA and GISS to confirm that one). I'm really quite stunned at these figures. Surface series to come in the second third of the month. How can you have temperatures that warm when La Nina conditions exist in the Pacific and we are in an extended solar minimum? I smell a rat! Record low temperatures across many parts of South America during July. *I also did a few spot checks with temperatures in Australia a few days later, and guess what, they were also below normal. I know it has been exceptionally warm in Moscow, but didn't someone also post that temperatures were well below normal on the Eastern side of the High Pressure in Russia at the same time. I take the constant data being churned out saying that it's been the X warmest month in X number of years with a large pinch of salt these days. Is there any regard taken of the fact that there is more land mass in the Northern Hemisphere compared to the Southern Hemisphere? *My point being that there are large areas in the Southern Hemisphere without any surface readings during what appears to have been a severe blast of cold air from Antarctica mid month. Lawrence Jenkins recently posted a URL showing unusually warm temperatures in Antarctica (for the latitude and time of year). -- Stewart Robert Hinsley Could the colder temperatures over South America & warmer temperatures over Antarctica be due to a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SST) over the Antarctic continent? |
#7
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On 3 Aug, 20:04, Teignmouth wrote:
On Aug 3, 6:32*pm, Stewart Robert Hinsley wrote: In message , Teignmouth writes On 3 Aug, 15:08, Dawlish wrote: UAH global temperatures in July = +0.49C, 2nd warmest in 30 years - 130 I believe I erroneously said in the *last post(!) - we'll have to wait for NOAA and GISS to confirm that one). I'm really quite stunned at these figures. Surface series to come in the second third of the month. How can you have temperatures that warm when La Nina conditions exist in the Pacific and we are in an extended solar minimum? I smell a rat! Record low temperatures across many parts of South America during July. *I also did a few spot checks with temperatures in Australia a few days later, and guess what, they were also below normal. I know it has been exceptionally warm in Moscow, but didn't someone also post that temperatures were well below normal on the Eastern side of the High Pressure in Russia at the same time. I take the constant data being churned out saying that it's been the X warmest month in X number of years with a large pinch of salt these days. Is there any regard taken of the fact that there is more land mass in the Northern Hemisphere compared to the Southern Hemisphere? *My point being that there are large areas in the Southern Hemisphere without any surface readings during what appears to have been a severe blast of cold air from Antarctica mid month. Lawrence Jenkins recently posted a URL showing unusually warm temperatures in Antarctica (for the latitude and time of year). -- Stewart Robert Hinsley Could the colder temperatures over South America & warmer temperatures over Antarctica be due to a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SST) over the Antarctic continent?- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Well, I'm sure we're all aware of the three month lag behind sea surface temperatures, which are rapidly cooling. Make hay whilst the sun shines, it's getting cooler, a month or two here or there won't make a lot of difference in the end... CK |
#8
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On Aug 4, 6:04*am, Teignmouth wrote:
On Aug 3, 6:32*pm, Stewart Robert Hinsley wrote: In message , Teignmouth writes On 3 Aug, 15:08, Dawlish wrote: UAH global temperatures in July = +0.49C, 2nd warmest in 30 years - 130 I believe I erroneously said in the *last post(!) - we'll have to wait for NOAA and GISS to confirm that one). I'm really quite stunned at these figures. Surface series to come in the second third of the month. How can you have temperatures that warm when La Nina conditions exist in the Pacific and we are in an extended solar minimum? I smell a rat! Record low temperatures across many parts of South America during July. *I also did a few spot checks with temperatures in Australia a few days later, and guess what, they were also below normal. I know it has been exceptionally warm in Moscow, but didn't someone also post that temperatures were well below normal on the Eastern side of the High Pressure in Russia at the same time. I take the constant data being churned out saying that it's been the X warmest month in X number of years with a large pinch of salt these days. Is there any regard taken of the fact that there is more land mass in the Northern Hemisphere compared to the Southern Hemisphere? *My point being that there are large areas in the Southern Hemisphere without any surface readings during what appears to have been a severe blast of cold air from Antarctica mid month. Lawrence Jenkins recently posted a URL showing unusually warm temperatures in Antarctica (for the latitude and time of year). -- Stewart Robert Hinsley Could the colder temperatures over South America & warmer temperatures over Antarctica be due to a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SST) over the Antarctic continent?- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - The "cooler temperatures over South America" may be another case like 2007, when they turned out to be nothing of the sort overall. I may be harping, but people keep repeating this story as if 60% of the continent didn't exist. |
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