Interested to see the models pointing to this low shipping down from
the NW - a most unusual direction for a storm that rapidly deepens
(both GFS and ECMWF in impressive agreement of 996mb to 956mb in 24
hours).

Looks like possibly some widespread strong winds with gales in places
- nothing too dramatic I'd wager but what interests me is seeing
possibly force 8 in the sea areas as far north as Norway and as far
south as Portugal !

Cheers
Richard

On Nov 4, 6:15*pm, Richard Dixon wrote:
Interested to see the models pointing to this low shipping down from
the NW - a most unusual direction for a storm that rapidly deepens
(both GFS and ECMWF in impressive agreement of 996mb to 956mb in 24
hours).

Looks like possibly some widespread strong winds with gales in places
- nothing too dramatic I'd wager but what interests me is seeing
possibly force 8 in the sea areas as far north as Norway and as far
south as Portugal !

Sorry - meant to add to support the above:

http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...10900_0412.gif

Richard

On Nov 4, 6:15*pm, Richard Dixon wrote:
On Nov 4, 6:15*pm, Richard Dixon wrote:

Interested to see the models pointing to this low shipping down from
the NW - a most unusual direction for a storm that rapidly deepens
(both GFS and ECMWF in impressive agreement of 996mb to 956mb in 24
hours).

Looks like possibly some widespread strong winds with gales in places
- nothing too dramatic I'd wager but what interests me is seeing
possibly force 8 in the sea areas as far north as Norway and as far
south as Portugal !

Sorry - meant to add to support the above:

http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...2010/11/04/bas...

Richard

An exceptional 40' swell forecast in the N-NWesterlies over western
Biscay by 18:00 Monday. Likely to hit NW Spain hardest, just after the
Spring tides. http://magicseaweed.com/UK-Ireland-MSW-Surf-Charts/1/

If the low tracks a bit further east, then the tip of Cornwall could
get a repeat of March '08. http://www.sennen-cove.com/10mar09.htm

Mind you, today's been glorious Lovely attractive wave under blue
skies http://www.sennen-cove.com/today2.htm

Graham
Penzance

On Thu, 4 Nov 2010 at 11:24:55, Graham Easterling
wrote in uk.sci.weather :

If the low tracks a bit further east, then the tip of Cornwall could
get a repeat of March '08. http://www.sennen-cove.com/10mar09.htm

2008 or 2009 - the URL & your date differ?
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)

On Nov 5, 7:19*am, Paul Hyett wrote:
On Thu, 4 Nov 2010 at 11:24:55, Graham Easterling
wrote in uk.sci.weather :

If the low tracks a bit further east, then the tip of Cornwall could
get a repeat of March '08.http://www.sennen-cove.com/10mar09.htm

2008 or 2009 - the URL & your date differ?
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)

March '08 - See http://www.sennen-cove.com/10march08.htm

Never trust URL names!

Graham

Richard Dixon wrote in message
...
Interested to see the models pointing to this low shipping down from
the NW - a most unusual direction for a storm that rapidly deepens
(both GFS and ECMWF in impressive agreement of 996mb to 956mb in 24
hours).

Looks like possibly some widespread strong winds with gales in places
- nothing too dramatic I'd wager but what interests me is seeing
possibly force 8 in the sea areas as far north as Norway and as far
south as Portugal !

Cheers
Richard


Coincides with near enough peak spring tide, plus about 1/4m from
generalised elevated N Atlantic to the W of the UK . Canvey Island '53 flood
storm surge came from that direction with bottling up in the southern North
Sea.

"N_Cook" wrote in message
...
Richard Dixon wrote in message
...
Interested to see the models pointing to this low shipping down from
the NW - a most unusual direction for a storm that rapidly deepens
(both GFS and ECMWF in impressive agreement of 996mb to 956mb in 24
hours).

Looks like possibly some widespread strong winds with gales in places
- nothing too dramatic I'd wager but what interests me is seeing
possibly force 8 in the sea areas as far north as Norway and as far
south as Portugal !

Cheers
Richard


Coincides with near enough peak spring tide, plus about 1/4m from
generalised elevated N Atlantic to the W of the UK . Canvey Island '53
flood
storm surge came from that direction with bottling up in the southern
North
Sea.

Advisories recently issued for heavy rain and severe gales on Sunday and
Monday :-

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...ngs.html?day=3

Jon.

On Nov 5, 12:40*pm, "Jon O'Rourke" wrote:


Advisories recently issued for heavy rain and severe gales on Sunday and
Monday *:-

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...ngs.html?day=3

Jon.

If you believe the NAE (and admittedly it's coming into the edge of
the domain at the time) then it forecasts it to tank it from just
below 990mb to 970mb in 6 hours from 00z to 06z on Sunday. Luckily for
the UK we get caught by it beyond the end of its deepening phase. Some
force 11 60kt sustained winds over the sea if you believe the GFS.

Richard

On 05/11/10 13:34, Richard Dixon wrote:
On Nov 5, 12:40 pm, "Jon wrote:


Advisories recently issued for heavy rain and severe gales on Sunday and
Monday :-

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...ngs.html?day=3

Jon.

If you believe the NAE (and admittedly it's coming into the edge of
the domain at the time) then it forecasts it to tank it from just
below 990mb to 970mb in 6 hours from 00z to 06z on Sunday. Luckily for
the UK we get caught by it beyond the end of its deepening phase. Some
force 11 60kt sustained winds over the sea if you believe the GFS.

Richard

I can't believe that according to the BBC forecast issued at 7.55pm
tonight (Friday) (news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast), Carmarthen's weather
over the next five days will be either "Sunny" or "Sunny Intervals" with
wind speeds in single figures until Tuesday when they will creep up to
20mph. Do they know something all the other forecasters don't?

--
Hungerdunger
To reply, please remove the MARX from my address

On Nov 6, 12:28*am, hungerdunger
wrote:
On 05/11/10 13:34, Richard Dixon wrote:





On Nov 5, 12:40 pm, "Jon *wrote:

Advisories recently issued for heavy rain and severe gales on Sunday and
Monday *:-

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...ngs.html?day=3

Jon.

If you believe the NAE (and admittedly it's coming into the edge of
the domain at the time) then it forecasts it to tank it from just
below 990mb to 970mb in 6 hours from 00z to 06z on Sunday. Luckily for
the UK we get caught by it beyond the end of its deepening phase. Some
force 11 60kt sustained winds over the sea if you believe the GFS.

Richard

I can't believe that according to the BBC forecast issued at 7.55pm
tonight (Friday) (news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast), Carmarthen's weather
over the next five days will be either "Sunny" or "Sunny Intervals" with
wind speeds in single figures until Tuesday when they will creep up to
20mph. *Do they know something all the other forecasters don't?

--
Hungerdunger
To reply, please remove the MARX from my address- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

I can't believe that either, but it does look as if this windy
interlude, with a cold spell afterwards will be pretty short lived.
All models have us back in south-westerlies by Friday and that should
persist through the weekend. No lasting cold on the agenda before mid-
month. Windy and wet at times though.

I haven't the foggiest clue why the Isle of Man should escape the
countrywide weather warnings for Monday. Maybe the yellow colouring
pencil broke?