| Page 1 of 2 | 1 | 2 |
|
|
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 on Friday4th March.
The 12z ECM is enough for me.
**on 4th March, at T240, an anticyclone will be centred in the Atlantic to our west. It will produce a cool NW, or a cold northerly flow and temperatures in the UK will be generally below average. Snow is quite possible over the hills of northern Britain and there will be night frosts in many areas, if skies clear.** A cool start to March. |
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 onFriday 4th March.
On Feb 22, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote:
The 12z ECM is enough for me. **on 4th March, at T240, an anticyclone will be centred in the Atlantic to our west. It will produce a cool NW, or a cold northerly flow and temperatures in the UK will be generally below average. Snow is quite possible over the hills of northern Britain and there will be night frosts in many areas, if skies clear.** A cool start to March. Looking the same this morning, but the gfs does keep kicking out these very cold operationals, doesn't it? The 06z is a classic example. I don't think there's a chance of that being anywhere near the ensemble mean at 10 days. The ECM is where I think we'll be in 9 days. |
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 onFriday 4th March.
On Feb 23, 10:53*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 22, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote: The 12z ECM is enough for me. **on 4th March, at T240, an anticyclone will be centred in the Atlantic to our west. It will produce a cool NW, or a cold northerly flow and temperatures in the UK will be generally below average. Snow is quite possible over the hills of northern Britain and there will be night frosts in many areas, if skies clear.** A cool start to March. Looking the same this morning, but the gfs does keep kicking out these very cold operationals, doesn't it? The 06z is a classic example. I don't think there's a chance of that being anywhere near the ensemble mean at 10 days. The ECM is where I think we'll be in 9 days. Certainly looking cool into March, but that gfs 00z is again a cold outlier. I wouldn't set store by the gfs operational at present, but the ECM has stayed closer to the ensemble mean and is probably the closest to what conditions will be at 10 days - an anticyclone will build toward us then retrogress, allowing a colder feed of air during the first week of March. |
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 onFriday 4th March.
its always a outlier when it doesnt fit your guess, sorry forecast.
fact is, it wasnt. On 24/02/2011 8:14 AM, Dawlish wrote: , but that gfs 00z is again a cold outlier. I wouldn't set store by the gfs operational at present, but the ECM has stayed closer to the ensemble mean and is probably the closest to what conditions will be at 10 days - an anticyclone will build toward us then retrogress, allowing a colder feed of air during the first week of March. |
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 onFriday 4th March.
On Feb 24, 8:14*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 23, 10:53*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 22, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote: The 12z ECM is enough for me. **on 4th March, at T240, an anticyclone will be centred in the Atlantic to our west. It will produce a cool NW, or a cold northerly flow and temperatures in the UK will be generally below average. Snow is quite possible over the hills of northern Britain and there will be night frosts in many areas, if skies clear.** A cool start to March. Looking the same this morning, but the gfs does keep kicking out these very cold operationals, doesn't it? The 06z is a classic example. I don't think there's a chance of that being anywhere near the ensemble mean at 10 days. The ECM is where I think we'll be in 9 days. Certainly looking cool into March, but that gfs 00z is again a cold outlier. I wouldn't set store by the gfs operational at present, but the ECM has stayed closer to the ensemble mean and is probably the closest to what conditions will be at 10 days - an anticyclone will build toward us then retrogress, allowing a colder feed of air during the first week of March.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - All sorts of possibilities for cold on those charts, however, both the 00z ECM and the 00z gfs keep a very cold plunge to our east at T240 and the UK in a cool northerly flow - probably mainly dry but with night frosts and wintry showers for the hills. Chances of some significant March cold can't be ruled out though. |
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 onFriday 4th March.
On Feb 25, 9:57*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 24, 8:14*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 23, 10:53*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 22, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote: The 12z ECM is enough for me. **on 4th March, at T240, an anticyclone will be centred in the Atlantic to our west. It will produce a cool NW, or a cold northerly flow and temperatures in the UK will be generally below average. Snow is quite possible over the hills of northern Britain and there will be night frosts in many areas, if skies clear.** A cool start to March. Looking the same this morning, but the gfs does keep kicking out these very cold operationals, doesn't it? The 06z is a classic example. I don't think there's a chance of that being anywhere near the ensemble mean at 10 days. The ECM is where I think we'll be in 9 days. Certainly looking cool into March, but that gfs 00z is again a cold outlier. I wouldn't set store by the gfs operational at present, but the ECM has stayed closer to the ensemble mean and is probably the closest to what conditions will be at 10 days - an anticyclone will build toward us then retrogress, allowing a colder feed of air during the first week of March.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - All sorts of possibilities for cold on those charts, however, both the 00z ECM and the 00z gfs keep a very cold plunge to our east at T240 and the UK in a cool northerly flow - probably mainly dry but with night frosts and wintry showers for the hills. Chances of some significant March cold can't be ruled out though.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 12z gfs continues the theme of keeping a cold plunge to out east at 10 days. |
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 onFriday 4th March.
On Feb 25, 5:56*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 25, 9:57*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 24, 8:14*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 23, 10:53*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 22, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote: The 12z ECM is enough for me. **on 4th March, at T240, an anticyclone will be centred in the Atlantic to our west. It will produce a cool NW, or a cold northerly flow and temperatures in the UK will be generally below average. Snow is quite possible over the hills of northern Britain and there will be night frosts in many areas, if skies clear.** A cool start to March. Looking the same this morning, but the gfs does keep kicking out these very cold operationals, doesn't it? The 06z is a classic example. I don't think there's a chance of that being anywhere near the ensemble mean at 10 days. The ECM is where I think we'll be in 9 days. Certainly looking cool into March, but that gfs 00z is again a cold outlier. I wouldn't set store by the gfs operational at present, but the ECM has stayed closer to the ensemble mean and is probably the closest to what conditions will be at 10 days - an anticyclone will build toward us then retrogress, allowing a colder feed of air during the first week of March.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - All sorts of possibilities for cold on those charts, however, both the 00z ECM and the 00z gfs keep a very cold plunge to our east at T240 and the UK in a cool northerly flow - probably mainly dry but with night frosts and wintry showers for the hills. Chances of some significant March cold can't be ruled out though.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 12z gfs continues the theme of keeping a cold plunge to out east at 10 days.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Could be an extended period with an Atlantic high influencing our weather. bright, cool and at times showery, with wintriness over the hills, from now out into the second week of March with those charts. Agreement and consistency, almost enough to extend my forecast. |
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 onFriday 4th March.
On Feb 26, 8:41*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 25, 5:56*pm, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 25, 9:57*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 24, 8:14*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 23, 10:53*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 22, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote: The 12z ECM is enough for me. **on 4th March, at T240, an anticyclone will be centred in the Atlantic to our west. It will produce a cool NW, or a cold northerly flow and temperatures in the UK will be generally below average.. Snow is quite possible over the hills of northern Britain and there will be night frosts in many areas, if skies clear.** A cool start to March. Looking the same this morning, but the gfs does keep kicking out these very cold operationals, doesn't it? The 06z is a classic example. I don't think there's a chance of that being anywhere near the ensemble mean at 10 days. The ECM is where I think we'll be in 9 days. Certainly looking cool into March, but that gfs 00z is again a cold outlier. I wouldn't set store by the gfs operational at present, but the ECM has stayed closer to the ensemble mean and is probably the closest to what conditions will be at 10 days - an anticyclone will build toward us then retrogress, allowing a colder feed of air during the first week of March.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - All sorts of possibilities for cold on those charts, however, both the 00z ECM and the 00z gfs keep a very cold plunge to our east at T240 and the UK in a cool northerly flow - probably mainly dry but with night frosts and wintry showers for the hills. Chances of some significant March cold can't be ruled out though.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 12z gfs continues the theme of keeping a cold plunge to out east at 10 days.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Could be an extended period with an Atlantic high influencing our weather. bright, cool and at times showery, with wintriness over the hills, from now out into the second week of March with those charts. Agreement and consistency, almost enough to extend my forecast.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 06z gfs continues the theme. |
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 onFriday 4th March.
On Feb 26, 11:04*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 26, 8:41*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 25, 5:56*pm, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 25, 9:57*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 24, 8:14*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 23, 10:53*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 22, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote: The 12z ECM is enough for me. **on 4th March, at T240, an anticyclone will be centred in the Atlantic to our west. It will produce a cool NW, or a cold northerly flow and temperatures in the UK will be generally below average. Snow is quite possible over the hills of northern Britain and there will be night frosts in many areas, if skies clear.** A cool start to March. Looking the same this morning, but the gfs does keep kicking out these very cold operationals, doesn't it? The 06z is a classic example. I don't think there's a chance of that being anywhere near the ensemble mean at 10 days. The ECM is where I think we'll be in 9 days. Certainly looking cool into March, but that gfs 00z is again a cold outlier. I wouldn't set store by the gfs operational at present, but the ECM has stayed closer to the ensemble mean and is probably the closest to what conditions will be at 10 days - an anticyclone will build toward us then retrogress, allowing a colder feed of air during the first week of March.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - All sorts of possibilities for cold on those charts, however, both the 00z ECM and the 00z gfs keep a very cold plunge to our east at T240 and the UK in a cool northerly flow - probably mainly dry but with night frosts and wintry showers for the hills. Chances of some significant March cold can't be ruled out though.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 12z gfs continues the theme of keeping a cold plunge to out east at 10 days.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Could be an extended period with an Atlantic high influencing our weather. bright, cool and at times showery, with wintriness over the hills, from now out into the second week of March with those charts. Agreement and consistency, almost enough to extend my forecast.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 06z gfs continues the theme.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Looking like high pressure will dominate our weather at T240 and will keep the cold to out east. |
Forecast: cool UK conditions with an Atlantic high at T240 onFriday 4th March.
On Feb 26, 8:39*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 26, 11:04*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 26, 8:41*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 25, 5:56*pm, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 25, 9:57*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 24, 8:14*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 23, 10:53*am, Dawlish wrote: On Feb 22, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote: The 12z ECM is enough for me. **on 4th March, at T240, an anticyclone will be centred in the Atlantic to our west. It will produce a cool NW, or a cold northerly flow and temperatures in the UK will be generally below average. Snow is quite possible over the hills of northern Britain and there will be night frosts in many areas, if skies clear.** A cool start to March. Looking the same this morning, but the gfs does keep kicking out these very cold operationals, doesn't it? The 06z is a classic example. I don't think there's a chance of that being anywhere near the ensemble mean at 10 days. The ECM is where I think we'll be in 9 days. Certainly looking cool into March, but that gfs 00z is again a cold outlier. I wouldn't set store by the gfs operational at present, but the ECM has stayed closer to the ensemble mean and is probably the closest to what conditions will be at 10 days - an anticyclone will build toward us then retrogress, allowing a colder feed of air during the first week of March.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - All sorts of possibilities for cold on those charts, however, both the 00z ECM and the 00z gfs keep a very cold plunge to our east at T240 and the UK in a cool northerly flow - probably mainly dry but with night frosts and wintry showers for the hills. Chances of some significant March cold can't be ruled out though.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 12z gfs continues the theme of keeping a cold plunge to out east at 10 days.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Could be an extended period with an Atlantic high influencing our weather. bright, cool and at times showery, with wintriness over the hills, from now out into the second week of March with those charts. Agreement and consistency, almost enough to extend my forecast.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - 06z gfs continues the theme.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Looking like high pressure will dominate our weather at T240 and will keep the cold to out east.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Hints that the high pressure might just move along the progressive bus on this morning's ECM, allowing in some milder air at T240 - but it's very obvious now that the cold will miss us to the east. over the next 10 days. We'll be left with lots of sunny and mainly dry weather. Spring; albeit a coolish start. |
| All times are GMT. The time now is 12:12 PM. |
|
Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2006 WeatherBanter.co.uk