uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

 
 
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Old May 6th 11, 09:07 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Forecast: slow-moving low pressure over the UK at T+240 on 16/05.Unsettled weather.

That's enough for me. Agreement and consistency enough to give an 80%
chance of this forecast achieving outcome.

**At T240 on 16/05, the UK weather will be dominated by a slow-moving
low pressure system. Unsettled weather will predominate and the
"drought" will have been well broken in many areas. Indeed, some areas
will be hoping for some drier weather by then. Temperatures will
probably be close to average, but that will depend on the exact
location of the low. It could turn cooler, with a risk of late frosts
in the NE if the low is centred over the North Sea and skies clear for
any time at night, but daytine temperatures will rise quickly in any
sunshine.**

The situation is still blocked, but I see our recent, anticyclonic
pattern shifting eastwards, to leave the UK under much cloudier skies,
with a jet to the south of the UK. No great warmth at 10 days.
 
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