Can be found here

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/15765897

On 17/11/11 21:20, Len Wood wrote:
Can be found here

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/15765897

It would have been nice, if they are going to quote seasonal forecasts,
to have perhaps quoted the Tropical Storm Risk and/or Met Office
forecasts as well, just to give some acknowledgement to UK based efforts.

It would have also been good if they had got the storm count correct.
There have been 18 named storms so far, not 19. If their intention was
to include tropical depressions then they are not comparing like with
like when comparing with the NOAA forecast as they forecast numbers of
named storms only.

"Adam Lea" wrote in message
...
On 17/11/11 21:20, Len Wood wrote:
Can be found here

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/15765897

It would have been nice, if they are going to quote seasonal forecasts, to
have perhaps quoted the Tropical Storm Risk and/or Met Office forecasts as
well, just to give some acknowledgement to UK based efforts.

It would have also been good if they had got the storm count correct.
There have been 18 named storms so far, not 19. If their intention was to
include tropical depressions then they are not comparing like with like
when comparing with the NOAA forecast as they forecast numbers of named
storms only.

Similarly, someone might know the letter 'S' to be the 19th letter of
the alphabet (having reached T/S 'Sean') and then either forgetting
or not realising that the letter 'Q' is skipped.

You're absolutely right, the North Atlantic Basin tally stands at 18.
Bear in mind that each season doesn't end until 30th Nov and since
named storms know no boundaries, they can form in December, so
the total for 2011 may yet reach 19.

Nigel

On 18/11/11 20:18, Nigel Paice wrote:
"Adam wrote in message
...
On 17/11/11 21:20, Len Wood wrote:
Can be found here

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/15765897

It would have been nice, if they are going to quote seasonal forecasts, to
have perhaps quoted the Tropical Storm Risk and/or Met Office forecasts as
well, just to give some acknowledgement to UK based efforts.

It would have also been good if they had got the storm count correct.
There have been 18 named storms so far, not 19. If their intention was to
include tropical depressions then they are not comparing like with like
when comparing with the NOAA forecast as they forecast numbers of named
storms only.

Similarly, someone might know the letter 'S' to be the 19th letter of
the alphabet (having reached T/S 'Sean') and then either forgetting
or not realising that the letter 'Q' is skipped.

You're absolutely right, the North Atlantic Basin tally stands at 18.
Bear in mind that each season doesn't end until 30th Nov and since
named storms know no boundaries, they can form in December, so
the total for 2011 may yet reach 19.

Nigel



One or two of the dynamical models were developing a tropical or
subtropical cyclone in the subtropical Atlantic over the next few days.
NHC currently has a 20% chance of storm genesis. In addition there is a
50% chance that a storm will develop in the East Pacific basin, a rare
event for this time of year.

On Nov 19, 12:37*am, Adam Lea wrote:
On 18/11/11 20:18, Nigel Paice wrote:



"Adam *wrote in message
...
On 17/11/11 21:20, Len Wood wrote:
Can be found here

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/15765897

It would have been nice, if they are going to quote seasonal forecasts, to
have perhaps quoted the Tropical Storm Risk and/or Met Office forecasts as
well, just to give some acknowledgement to UK based efforts.

It would have also been good if they had got the storm count correct.
There have been 18 named storms so far, not 19. If their intention was to
include tropical depressions then they are not comparing like with like
when comparing with the NOAA forecast as they forecast numbers of named
storms only.

Similarly, someone might know the letter 'S' to be the 19th letter of
the alphabet (having reached T/S 'Sean') and then either forgetting
or not realising that the letter 'Q' is skipped.

You're absolutely right, the North Atlantic Basin tally stands at 18.
Bear in mind that each season doesn't end until 30th Nov and since
named storms know no boundaries, they can form in December, so
the total for 2011 may yet reach 19.

Nigel

One or two of the dynamical models were developing a tropical or
subtropical cyclone in the subtropical Atlantic over the next few days.
NHC currently has a 20% chance of storm genesis. In addition there is a
50% chance that a storm will develop in the East Pacific basin, a rare
event for this time of year.

I must say I prefer your website to most others doing that. Eric
Habich's site seems so overloaded these days it is almost unreadable.

I can't seem to get into the MetO page. Someone aught to tell them not
to hamstring the stuff offered to non payers.
(Some of us are of the opinion we gave at the tax office but that is
besides the point.)

I was very unhappy with the forecast your site gave earlier in the
year. But the coverage was very good.

Well done.

A small tip with intensities, when the time of the lunar phase is on
the hour the N Atlantic is likely to be positive. On the half hour
negative.

With times of 0; 1; 3, and 5 the NAO is again likely to be positive.
But of course such sequences lend themselves to blocking.

With positive spells the intensity of systems is by definition largest.