I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the current
forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.

What can go wrong ?
--
Phil
Guildford

On Feb 3, 8:44*pm, Phil Layton wrote:
I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the current
forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.

What can go wrong ?
--
Indeed!!!

"Phil Layton" wrote in message
...
I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the current
forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.

I'm expecting 2-3 inches here tomorrow afternoon followed by
a relatively brief period of sleet/rain before the front clears and
everything freezes over again.

What can go wrong ?

Somebody on a weather newsgroup tempting fate
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

On Fri, 3 Feb 2012 20:55:03 -0000, Col wrote:

I'm expecting 2-3 inches here tomorrow afternoon followed by
a relatively brief period of sleet/rain before the front clears and
everything freezes over again.

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

I will be just down the road in Wigan. If that gets cancelled I hope
they do it sooner rather than later, the amber alert doesn't start
until 1200 though.

--
Cheers Dave.
Nr Garrigill, Cumbria. 421m ASL.

In article ,
Phil Layton writes:
I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the
current forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.

What can go wrong ?


The "10cms" is very much an upper limit, I think. Looking at the 12Z NAE
and GFS runs, from their predictions for "Snow accu." at 6am on Sunday
it looks to me as if we may not get more than a centimetre or two of
probably rather wet snow in our part of Surrey:

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts

with the deepest accumulations being in northern England and East
Anglia. But of course it's very much on a knife-edge and could well
change again.
--
John Hall
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism
by those who have not got it."
George Bernard Shaw

On Feb 3, 8:55*pm, "Col" wrote:
"Phil Layton" wrote in message

...

I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the current
forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.

I'm expecting 2-3 inches here tomorrow afternoon followed by
a relatively brief period of sleet/rain before the front clears and
everything freezes over again.

What can go wrong ?

Somebody on *a weather newsgroup tempting fate
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

I have about a dozen toys lined up to throw at the tele LOL

Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
"Weathr Home & Abroad"

On Feb 3, 9:24*pm, "Keith (Southend)G"
wrote:
On Feb 3, 8:55*pm, "Col" wrote:









"Phil Layton" wrote in message

...

I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the current
forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.

I'm expecting 2-3 inches here tomorrow afternoon followed by
a relatively brief period of sleet/rain before the front clears and
everything freezes over again.

What can go wrong ?

Somebody on *a weather newsgroup tempting fate
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

I have about a dozen toys lined up to throw at the tele LOL

Keith (Southend)http://www.southendweather.net
"Weathr Home & Abroad"

You are tempting fate. It would help more if you took off those
runners and put the wheels back on your pram!

Cheers, Alastair.

On 03/02/12 20:44, Phil Layton wrote:
I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the current
forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.

What can go wrong ?

I will be putting the winter tyres on the mountain bike tomorrow
afternoon, that'll kill it off :-).

On Feb 3, 9:24*pm, John Hall wrote:
In article ,
*Phil Layton writes:

I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the
current forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.

What can go wrong ?

The "10cms" is very much an upper limit, I think. Looking at the 12Z NAE
and GFS runs, from their predictions *for "Snow accu." at 6am on Sunday
it looks to me as if we may not get more than a centimetre or two of
probably rather wet snow in our part of Surrey:

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts

with the deepest accumulations being in northern England and East
Anglia. But of course it's very much on a knife-edge and could well
change again.
--
John Hall
* * * * * * *"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism
* * * * * * * by those who have not got it."
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * George Bernard Shaw

I have to admit I never get too excited about any possible snow from
the west down here as fronts from the west force the wind into an
unfavourable (maritime) direction meaning a pre-precipitation thaw
tends to invariably occur. I don't think I can recall a single decent
snowy episode from the west in 30 years of living in southern England.
All decent snow seems to have come on fronts or troughs from the north
or east.

Nick

John Hall wrote:
In article ,
Phil Layton writes:
I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the
current forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.

What can go wrong ?


The "10cms" is very much an upper limit, I think. Looking at the 12Z NAE
and GFS runs, from their predictions for "Snow accu." at 6am on Sunday
it looks to me as if we may not get more than a centimetre or two of
probably rather wet snow in our part of Surrey:

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts

with the deepest accumulations being in northern England and East
Anglia. But of course it's very much on a knife-edge and could well
change again.
-------------------------------
I'm guessing at 5cm here here but who knows? It would be nice for the
grandkids to get one sledging day at least, this winter.
Dave