"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message news:...
I expect a yellow warning will be issued tomorrow for torrential rain.


Auto forecast (global ukmo model) today (thurs) is going for it, eg,
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...st/haytor-vale

I'd be surprised if a yellow heads up were not issued today.

Ex Nadine will be influencing developments in Biscay this weekend. Couple
that with a trough extending SE from Iceland, the ingredients are there
for an interesting cyclogenesis in the SW of England. Warm moist tropical
air will be entrained with some mid-level instability leading to
torrential downpours and possibly localised strong winds, although I think
the main emphasis will be on the rain during Sunday and Monday.

Models are oscillating at present and any low may yet stay to the south of
the UK but with an upper trough extending from the NW I think the writing
is on the wall for some severe weather!

Latest FAX output from Exeter is threatening.

Note 06Z GFS even brings ex Nadine herself into the UK on Tuesday, not
sure about that, but if it happens it could be very nasty.


Backtracked as expected, but a close call still, if Nadine gets on forward
side of longwave upper trough it could still happen on Tuesday. Another
scenario is that we may get an elongated cold front with waves running up it
into UK, potential for very high rainfall totals in that one too.
Have to write my weekly forecast soon, I think the emphasis next week will
be on WET :-)

OK off out now to enjoy the sunshine while I can LOL.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
---------------------------------------------

On 20/09/2012 09:14, Dartmoor Will wrote:

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message news:...
I expect a yellow warning will be issued tomorrow for torrential rain.


Auto forecast (global ukmo model) today (thurs) is going for it, eg,
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...st/haytor-vale

I'd be surprised if a yellow heads up were not issued today.

Ex Nadine will be influencing developments in Biscay this weekend.
Couple that with a trough extending SE from Iceland, the ingredients
are there for an interesting cyclogenesis in the SW of England. Warm
moist tropical air will be entrained with some mid-level instability
leading to torrential downpours and possibly localised strong winds,
although I think the main emphasis will be on the rain during Sunday
and Monday.

Models are oscillating at present and any low may yet stay to the
south of the UK but with an upper trough extending from the NW I think
the writing is on the wall for some severe weather!

Latest FAX output from Exeter is threatening.

Note 06Z GFS even brings ex Nadine herself into the UK on Tuesday, not
sure about that, but if it happens it could be very nasty.


Backtracked as expected, but a close call still, if Nadine gets on
forward side of longwave upper trough it could still happen on Tuesday.
Another scenario is that we may get an elongated cold front with waves
running up it into UK, potential for very high rainfall totals in that
one too.
Have to write my weekly forecast soon, I think the emphasis next week
will be on WET :-)

OK off out now to enjoy the sunshine while I can LOL.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
---------------------------------------------

Perhaps you could fight back by making your new wall a dry stone wall. ;-)

--
Howard Neil

"Howard Neil" wrote in message
o.uk...
On 20/09/2012 09:14, Dartmoor Will wrote:

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message news:...
I expect a yellow warning will be issued tomorrow for torrential rain.


Auto forecast (global ukmo model) today (thurs) is going for it, eg,
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...st/haytor-vale

I'd be surprised if a yellow heads up were not issued today.

Ex Nadine will be influencing developments in Biscay this weekend.
Couple that with a trough extending SE from Iceland, the ingredients
are there for an interesting cyclogenesis in the SW of England. Warm
moist tropical air will be entrained with some mid-level instability
leading to torrential downpours and possibly localised strong winds,
although I think the main emphasis will be on the rain during Sunday
and Monday.

Models are oscillating at present and any low may yet stay to the
south of the UK but with an upper trough extending from the NW I think
the writing is on the wall for some severe weather!

Latest FAX output from Exeter is threatening.

Note 06Z GFS even brings ex Nadine herself into the UK on Tuesday, not
sure about that, but if it happens it could be very nasty.


Backtracked as expected, but a close call still, if Nadine gets on
forward side of longwave upper trough it could still happen on Tuesday.
Another scenario is that we may get an elongated cold front with waves
running up it into UK, potential for very high rainfall totals in that
one too.
Have to write my weekly forecast soon, I think the emphasis next week
will be on WET :-)

OK off out now to enjoy the sunshine while I can LOL.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
---------------------------------------------

Perhaps you could fight back by making your new wall a dry stone wall. ;-)


LOL. If only I had those skills Howard!

Will
--

On 20/09/2012 09:25, Dartmoor Will wrote:

"Howard Neil" wrote in message
o.uk...
On 20/09/2012 09:14, Dartmoor Will wrote:

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message news:...
I expect a yellow warning will be issued tomorrow for torrential rain.


Auto forecast (global ukmo model) today (thurs) is going for it, eg,
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...st/haytor-vale

I'd be surprised if a yellow heads up were not issued today.

Ex Nadine will be influencing developments in Biscay this weekend.
Couple that with a trough extending SE from Iceland, the ingredients
are there for an interesting cyclogenesis in the SW of England. Warm
moist tropical air will be entrained with some mid-level instability
leading to torrential downpours and possibly localised strong winds,
although I think the main emphasis will be on the rain during Sunday
and Monday.

Models are oscillating at present and any low may yet stay to the
south of the UK but with an upper trough extending from the NW I think
the writing is on the wall for some severe weather!

Latest FAX output from Exeter is threatening.

Note 06Z GFS even brings ex Nadine herself into the UK on Tuesday, not
sure about that, but if it happens it could be very nasty.


Backtracked as expected, but a close call still, if Nadine gets on
forward side of longwave upper trough it could still happen on Tuesday.
Another scenario is that we may get an elongated cold front with waves
running up it into UK, potential for very high rainfall totals in that
one too.
Have to write my weekly forecast soon, I think the emphasis next week
will be on WET :-)

OK off out now to enjoy the sunshine while I can LOL.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
---------------------------------------------

Perhaps you could fight back by making your new wall a dry stone wall.
;-)


LOL. If only I had those skills Howard!

Will
--


You could gain them:-

http://shop.tcv.org.uk/shop/category?l=level1;lid=19

Or just buy a book:-

http://shop.tcv.org.uk/shop/stock?l=...lid=59;sid=948

--
Howard Neil

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message
...

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message news:...
I expect a yellow warning will be issued tomorrow for torrential rain.


Auto forecast (global ukmo model) today (thurs) is going for it, eg,
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...st/haytor-vale

I'd be surprised if a yellow heads up were not issued today.

Ex Nadine will be influencing developments in Biscay this weekend. Couple
that with a trough extending SE from Iceland, the ingredients are there
for an interesting cyclogenesis in the SW of England. Warm moist tropical
air will be entrained with some mid-level instability leading to
torrential downpours and possibly localised strong winds, although I
think the main emphasis will be on the rain during Sunday and Monday.

Models are oscillating at present and any low may yet stay to the south
of the UK but with an upper trough extending from the NW I think the
writing is on the wall for some severe weather!

Latest FAX output from Exeter is threatening.

Note 06Z GFS even brings ex Nadine herself into the UK on Tuesday, not
sure about that, but if it happens it could be very nasty.


Backtracked as expected, but a close call still, if Nadine gets on forward
side of longwave upper trough it could still happen on Tuesday. Another
scenario is that we may get an elongated cold front with waves running up
it into UK, potential for very high rainfall totals in that one too.
Have to write my weekly forecast soon, I think the emphasis next week will
be on WET :-)

OK off out now to enjoy the sunshine while I can LOL.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)

Since August 5th we here in sunny Woodford Green have had barely 20mm of
rain,and it's becoming very dry indeed,so a good soaking on Sunday or Monday
or Tuesday would be very welcome ,as Will would say ,bring it on !

RonB


---------------------------------------------

"ron button" wrote in message
...

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message
...

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message news:...
I expect a yellow warning will be issued tomorrow for torrential rain.


Auto forecast (global ukmo model) today (thurs) is going for it, eg,
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...st/haytor-vale

I'd be surprised if a yellow heads up were not issued today.

Ex Nadine will be influencing developments in Biscay this weekend.
Couple that with a trough extending SE from Iceland, the ingredients are
there for an interesting cyclogenesis in the SW of England. Warm moist
tropical air will be entrained with some mid-level instability leading
to torrential downpours and possibly localised strong winds, although I
think the main emphasis will be on the rain during Sunday and Monday.

Models are oscillating at present and any low may yet stay to the south
of the UK but with an upper trough extending from the NW I think the
writing is on the wall for some severe weather!

Latest FAX output from Exeter is threatening.

Note 06Z GFS even brings ex Nadine herself into the UK on Tuesday, not
sure about that, but if it happens it could be very nasty.


Backtracked as expected, but a close call still, if Nadine gets on
forward side of longwave upper trough it could still happen on Tuesday.
Another scenario is that we may get an elongated cold front with waves
running up it into UK, potential for very high rainfall totals in that
one too.
Have to write my weekly forecast soon, I think the emphasis next week
will be on WET :-)

OK off out now to enjoy the sunshine while I can LOL.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)

Since August 5th we here in sunny Woodford Green have had barely 20mm of
rain,and it's becoming very dry indeed,so a good soaking on Sunday or
Monday or Tuesday would be very welcome ,as Will would say ,bring it on !


GFS 06Z is looking peachy!

Will
--

Dartmoor Will wrote:

"ron button" wrote in message
...

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message
...

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message news:...
I expect a yellow warning will be issued tomorrow for torrential rain.


Auto forecast (global ukmo model) today (thurs) is going for it, eg,
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...st/haytor-vale

I'd be surprised if a yellow heads up were not issued today.

Ex Nadine will be influencing developments in Biscay this weekend.
Couple that with a trough extending SE from Iceland, the ingredients
are there for an interesting cyclogenesis in the SW of England. Warm
moist tropical air will be entrained with some mid-level instability
leading to torrential downpours and possibly localised strong winds,
although I think the main emphasis will be on the rain during Sunday
and Monday.

Models are oscillating at present and any low may yet stay to the
south of the UK but with an upper trough extending from the NW I
think the writing is on the wall for some severe weather!

Latest FAX output from Exeter is threatening.

Note 06Z GFS even brings ex Nadine herself into the UK on Tuesday,
not sure about that, but if it happens it could be very nasty.


Backtracked as expected, but a close call still, if Nadine gets on
forward side of longwave upper trough it could still happen on
Tuesday. Another scenario is that we may get an elongated cold front
with waves running up it into UK, potential for very high rainfall
totals in that one too.
Have to write my weekly forecast soon, I think the emphasis next week
will be on WET :-)

OK off out now to enjoy the sunshine while I can LOL.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)

Since August 5th we here in sunny Woodford Green have had barely 20mm
of rain,and it's becoming very dry indeed,so a good soaking on Sunday
or Monday or Tuesday would be very welcome ,as Will would say ,bring
it on !


GFS 06Z is looking peachy!

Will
---------------------------
Ron beat me to it. Just 10mm here in the last month and as is the way in
these parts ground starting to crack and grass yellowing.
Dave, S.Essex

On Sep 20, 11:25*am, "Dartmoor Will"
wrote:
"ron button" wrote in message

...







"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message
...

"Dartmoor Will" wrote in message news:...
I expect a yellow warning will be issued tomorrow for torrential rain.

Auto forecast (global ukmo model) today (thurs) is going for it, eg,
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...st/haytor-vale

I'd be surprised if a yellow heads up were not issued today.

Ex Nadine will be influencing developments in Biscay this weekend.
Couple that with a trough extending SE from Iceland, the ingredients are
there for an interesting cyclogenesis in the SW of England. Warm moist
tropical air will be entrained with some mid-level instability leading
to torrential downpours and possibly localised strong winds, although I
think the main emphasis will be on the rain during Sunday and Monday.

Models are oscillating at present and any low may yet stay to the south
of the UK but with an upper trough extending from the NW I think the
writing is on the wall for some severe weather!

Latest FAX output from Exeter is threatening.

Note 06Z GFS even brings ex Nadine herself into the UK on Tuesday, not
sure about that, but if it happens it could be very nasty.

Backtracked as expected, but a close call still, if Nadine gets on
forward side of longwave upper trough it could still happen on Tuesday..
Another scenario is that we may get an elongated cold front with waves
running up it into UK, potential for very high rainfall totals in that
one too.
Have to write my weekly forecast soon, I think the emphasis next week
will be on WET :-)

OK off out now to enjoy the sunshine while I can LOL.

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)

Since August 5th we here in sunny Woodford Green have had barely 20mm of
rain,and it's becoming very dry indeed,so a good soaking on Sunday or
Monday or Tuesday would be very welcome ,as Will would say ,bring it on !

GFS 06Z is looking peachy!

Will
--- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

I have looked but I cannot find the word 'peachy' in the Met Glossary.

:-(

Len
Wembury

--------------------------
Ron beat me to it. Just 10mm here in the last month and as is the way in
these parts ground starting to crack and grass yellowing.


You doing well Dave,
Since August 1st we've had over 150mm including 22mm this week!!
Well over 100mm for each of the so called summer months (413mm in total)
and over 40 mm so far for this month, so I for one am sick of the damn
stuff.
Whatever happened to the warm dry September, the last week as been anything
but warm & dry here.

Graham (North Staffs)

On 22/09/12 00:23, Graham wrote:


--------------------------
Ron beat me to it. Just 10mm here in the last month and as is the way in
these parts ground starting to crack and grass yellowing.


You doing well Dave,
Since August 1st we've had over 150mm including 22mm this week!!
Well over 100mm for each of the so called summer months (413mm in total)
and over 40 mm so far for this month, so I for one am sick of the damn
stuff.
Whatever happened to the warm dry September, the last week as been anything
but warm & dry here.

Graham (North Staffs)



It was you that had an incredibly dull summer as well IIRC.

In contrast to the summer, September has been dry here in Sussex/Surrey.
Hardly any significant rain in the last three weeks.