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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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I was listening yesterday to a discussion on R4 about the
difficulties of getting insurance fro properties susceptible to flooding. One woman said she had been able to get insuarnce because of a government scheme, but only with an excess of £10,000. Others had been unable to get any cover at all, or to seel their houses because prospective buyers cannot get a mortgage. There was a proposal to spread the risk by treating all properties the same and spread the risk, so that the 2% who regularly suffer from flooding would be able to get cover. So, for example, someone who is buying contents insurance for a tenth-floor flat in a block built half-way up a hill would have to pay £3 extra on their premium to cover the flood risk for people in houses that get flooded. (OT - if they can agree to pool the risk of flooding over all properties over the whole country, the logical next step would be to pool the risk of car insurance over all drivers, so that careful and responsible drivers who live in quite country areas and keep a modest saloon in a garage would pay the same as careless and irresponsible boy racers who keep expensive models parked on the street; or to pool health risks so that people with heart problems would pay the same for travel insurance as young healthy people.) It seems to me that the people who should be paying for the flood damage are the developers who build on flood plains, haughs, watermeadows, inches, whatever you like to call them, and the local authorities who give planning permission for such developments. That would not help people in older properties that get flooded, but at least it would place the blame squarely where it belongs as far as new building is concerned. It would also be a powerful disincentive to future building on flood-prone land. Anne Several metres above the floodplain of the River Spey |
#2
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On Thursday, 28 February 2013 12:33:50 UTC, Anne Burgess wrote:
It seems to me that the people who should be paying for the flood damage are the developers who build on flood plains, haughs, watermeadows, inches, whatever you like to call them, and the local authorities who give planning permission for such developments. The other issue are the guidelines to which development is restricted. In these shifting times where (through anthropogenic means or otherwise) the climate is changing, if you don't allow construction, say, anywhere near the 50-year flood return period floodplain, then what exactly does this floodplain look like given that extreme rainfall seems to be one of the more likely bi-products of a broadly warming atmosphere. The sensitivity of extremes (e.g. 50-year rainfall) in a changing climate can be much more volatile than numbers such as the average annual rainfall. Do we build outside the current floodplain or build outside the floodplain based on a future climate where flooding would be more likely? I was at a research meeting recently that has been started by the Natural Environment Research Council that is trying to understand the uncertainties around such numbers. Very interesting it was, too! Richard |
#3
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On 28/02/2013 12:55, Richard Dixon wrote:
On Thursday, 28 February 2013 12:33:50 UTC, Anne Burgess wrote: It seems to me that the people who should be paying for the flood damage are the developers who build on flood plains, haughs, watermeadows, inches, whatever you like to call them, and the local authorities who give planning permission for such developments. Plenty of development seems to be on land that no local would dream of buying a house on because they know it is prone to winter flooding. Incomers stand no chance in this game and only find out that their nice new home in a development on the edge of town is built on a dish of clay that has flooded in wet winters ever since anyone can remember. 2012 has been particularly bad for excessive summer rain. The other issue are the guidelines to which development is restricted. In these shifting times where (through anthropogenic means or otherwise) the climate is changing, if you don't allow construction, say, anywhere near the 50-year flood return period floodplain, then what exactly does this floodplain look like given that extreme rainfall seems to be one of the more likely bi-products of a broadly warming atmosphere. The sensitivity of extremes (e.g. 50-year rainfall) in a changing climate can be much more volatile than numbers such as the average annual rainfall. Do we build outside the current floodplain or build outside the floodplain based on a future climate where flooding would be more likely? You also have to do something about everybody concreting over their garden so that when there is a sudden rain squall it doesn't all immediately go down the drains as instant flash flood run off. Countries that are used to monsoon rains tend to have large storm drains for rainwater that are almost dry when not in use. Even being on a hill is no defence. When the Newcastle storms occurred last year my wife's works buildings took a direct hit when the metro line flooded then its embankment breached and dumped many thousands of gallons of mud down the hill and straight through their building. I was at a research meeting recently that has been started by the Natural Environment Research Council that is trying to understand the uncertainties around such numbers. Very interesting it was, too! I think the builders and planners should carry the can for some of the more stupid new builds that are smack bang in line for flooding. It is much harder where some flood management scheme has made a new problem for another existing community up or down stream. Basically water will find its own level and if there is enough of it you are in trouble. Flood plains developed for a purpose - to hold large volumes of excess river water during winter storms. Help to ameliorate flooding should be offered to those in bad positions to try and mitigate their flood risk, but some locations are untenable. Maybe 3 strikes and you are out policy should apply to flooded houses... I am no fan of the idea that everybody should have to contribute to a fund so that people who live in locations with insane levels of risk can get subsidised insurance. Market forces should operate on this. -- Regards, Martin Brown |
#4
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On Thu, 28 Feb 2013 13:32:46 +0000, Martin Brown wrote:
I am no fan of the idea that everybody should have to contribute to a fund so that people who live in locations with insane levels of risk can get subsidised insurance. Market forces should operate on this. +1 For people moving in it's their choice, they take the risk. If there aren't any insurance companies prepared to share that risk with them perhaps that ought to be a bit of a hint. In this day and age there is no excuse for anyone saying they didn't know their property was in a flood risk area. Fairly detailed maps are available on the EA's website. Those that have been living in a flood area for a while and are now caught by the insurance companies reassessing the risks could do with some support. Perhaps the premiums on policies that have been held for more than 5 years(*) are only allowed to increase in line with general buildings premium increases. Some may well end up stuck being unable to sell. Not sure what can be done about that. There ought to be some come back on the developers and the councils for allowing the development. (*) Or the owner can show that there has been continuos insurance in place for 5 years and the premiums paid. -- Cheers Dave. Nr Garrigill, Cumbria. 421m ASL. |
#5
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On Feb 28, 4:51*pm, "Dave Liquorice"
wrote: On Thu, 28 Feb 2013 13:32:46 +0000, Martin Brown wrote: I am no fan of the idea that everybody should have to contribute to a fund so that people who live in locations with insane levels of risk can get subsidised insurance. Market forces should operate on this. +1 For people moving in it's their choice, they take the risk. If there aren't any insurance companies prepared to share that risk with them perhaps that ought to be a bit of a hint. In this day and age there is no excuse for anyone saying they didn't know their property was in a flood risk area. Fairly detailed maps are available on the EA's website. Those that have been living in a flood area for a while and are now caught by the insurance companies reassessing the risks could do with some support. Perhaps the premiums on policies that have been held for more than 5 years(*) are only allowed to increase in line with general buildings premium increases. Some may well end up stuck being unable to sell. Not sure what can be done about that. There ought to be some come back on the developers and the councils for allowing the development. (*) Or the owner can show that there has been continuos insurance in place for 5 years and the premiums paid. So what exactly do we elect local councils for and why do people willing to risk a millstone around their necks for 20 to 30 years HAVE to get a solicitor to do their search for them? Wouldn't one suppose such ardently local and well respecteds "know what is going on". Or should we take laws into our own hands as the Afghanis and Iraqis are finding that they have to do, in order that in seeking revenge, they provide a prophylactic against such strains of humanity? |
#6
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On Thursday, February 28, 2013 12:55:33 PM UTC, Richard Dixon wrote:
On Thursday, 28 February 2013 12:33:50 UTC, Anne Burgess wrote: It seems to me that the people who should be paying for the flood damage are the developers who build on flood plains, haughs, watermeadows, inches, whatever you like to call them, and the local authorities who give planning permission for such developments. The other issue are the guidelines to which development is restricted. In these shifting times where (through anthropogenic means or otherwise) the climate is changing, if you don't allow construction, say, anywhere near the 50-year flood return period floodplain, then what exactly does this floodplain look like given that extreme rainfall seems to be one of the more likely bi-products of a broadly warming atmosphere. The sensitivity of extremes (e.g. 50-year rainfall) in a changing climate can be much more volatile than numbers such as the average annual rainfall.. Do we build outside the current floodplain or build outside the floodplain based on a future climate where flooding would be more likely? I was at a research meeting recently that has been started by the Natural Environment Research Council that is trying to understand the uncertainties around such numbers. Very interesting it was, too! How far back did the research go, Richard? From the point of view of my locality here in east London I've often wondered how much consideration local Victorian and Edwardian developers gave to the observations of Luke Howard in The Climate of London. On February 26th 1809, he mentions that the river Lea (which flows into the Thames) was "above a mile in width". If that were to happen today it would inundate a lot of east Bow, west Stratford and the Olympic Park. And this happened after a fairly average year rainfall wise. |
#7
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In article ,
Anne Burgess writes: snip There was a proposal to spread the risk by treating all properties the same and spread the risk, so that the 2% who regularly suffer from flooding would be able to get cover. So, for example, someone who is buying contents insurance for a tenth-floor flat in a block built half-way up a hill would have to pay £3 extra on their premium to cover the flood risk for people in houses that get flooded. That seems to go against the whole principle of insurance. Surely insurance companies shouldn't be expected to become an agent of the DSS. -- John Hall "Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong." Oscar Wilde |
#8
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On 28/02/2013 12:33, Anne Burgess wrote:
It seems to me that the people who should be paying for the flood damage are the developers who build on flood plains, haughs, watermeadows, inches, whatever you like to call them, and the local authorities who give planning permission for such developments. That would not help people in older properties that get flooded, but at least it would place the blame squarely where it belongs as far as new building is concerned. It would also be a powerful disincentive to future building on flood-prone land. You are assuming that the houses that have been flooded recently were built on a flood plain. Around here, that has not been true. The house I live in now is on the flood plain of the River Otter but has never been flooded. What changed with the rainfall events of July, November & December 2012 was that houses which had never previously flooded were inundated by surface water. The village of Feniton was badly flooded and yet it is nowhere near a river, and is on a slight hill well above any watercourses. The reason for it flooding was run-off from nearby fields due to soils being waterlogged. Intensive farming methods and soil compaction are likely to be behind the reasons why. It also proved that many houses are more at risk of flooding than you would have originally believed, and that the reasons are often more complicated than just 'being on the flood plain'. -- Nick G Otter Valley, Devon 20 m amsl http://www.ottervalley.co.uk |
#9
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That would not help people in older properties that get
flooded, but at least it would place the blame squarely where it belongs as far as new building is concerned. It would also be a powerful disincentive to future building on flood-prone land. You are assuming that the houses that have been flooded recently were built on a flood plain. No. Read what I said in the above paragraph: "That would not help people in older properties that get flooded". You can substitute 'th' for 'ld' if it makes it clearer. Anne |
#10
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On 28/02/2013 12:33, Anne Burgess wrote:
I was listening yesterday to a discussion on R4 about the difficulties of getting insurance fro properties susceptible to flooding. One woman said she had been able to get insuarnce because of a government scheme, but only with an excess of £10,000. Others had been unable to get any cover at all, or to seel their houses because prospective buyers cannot get a mortgage. There was a proposal to spread the risk by treating all properties the same and spread the risk, so that the 2% who regularly suffer from flooding would be able to get cover. So, for example, someone who is buying contents insurance for a tenth-floor flat in a block built half-way up a hill would have to pay £3 extra on their premium to cover the flood risk for people in houses that get flooded. (OT - if they can agree to pool the risk of flooding over all properties over the whole country, the logical next step would be to pool the risk of car insurance over all drivers, so that careful and responsible drivers who live in quite country areas and keep a modest saloon in a garage would pay the same as careless and irresponsible boy racers who keep expensive models parked on the street; or to pool health risks so that people with heart problems would pay the same for travel insurance as young healthy people.) It seems to me that the people who should be paying for the flood damage are the developers who build on flood plains, haughs, watermeadows, inches, whatever you like to call them, and the local authorities who give planning permission for such developments. That would not help people in older properties that get flooded, but at least it would place the blame squarely where it belongs as far as new building is concerned. It would also be a powerful disincentive to future building on flood-prone land. Anne Several metres above the floodplain of the River Spey It's not only flood planes that suffer. The flash flood in Boscastle in 2004 really showed what was possible elsewhere. The trouble is, once a property has been flooded, either due to weather or accident, the property is flagged by the insurance companies and will be classed "at risk" regardless of the cause or its position. I came very close to that situation in 1997 (a year before the notorious Easter Floods), a couple of years after buying this house, through no fault of my own, or the position of my house, but due to the abject stupidity of a new neighbour. I live on top of a hill, on relatively flat land, but my neighbours garden had been built up to a couple of inches higher than mine. Previous occupants of my house hadn't done the situation any favours by building up their (my) garden to almost level with the damp proof course. The neighbours then decided to pave the whole of their back garden, laying the slabs on top of the existing garden, making no provision for drainage whatsoever. One afternoon in August 1997 Northampton suffered one of the worst thunder storms it had ever experienced, and due to flooding at work, we finished early and I drove home during the worst of it. On opening the back door, I found water pouring off their garden onto mine, and the level was already up to the top of the door plate. Another eight of an inch and water would have been in the house. I went out immediately and smashed a hole into the down pipe off the roof, which allowed the water to start escaping down into the surface drainage system. Took a long time because the two houses further down the block were also at risk. The following year I remodelled my garden, dropping the first 12 feet from the house down 6 inches, and working with the neighbours on the other side, I installed a land drain across the back of all three properties, feeding it into the down pipe, the only one on the block and thankfully in my garden. (Confronting the other neighbour about their lack of drainage, I was told to F.O. Nice. They obviously didn't get included in the new drainage system.) Since then, despite water pouring off their garden on a regular basis, the rest of us have had no further problems. But if that water had entered my house, there would have been nothing I could have done, but my insurance would have suffered by my house being flagged "at risk". My insurance company asks if my house is more than 400 metres from any water course such as a river. I can honestly answer "Yes". In addition to that it is some 30 metres above the Billing Brook, nearly a kilometre away. Why should I be permanently penalised if my house had been flooded that day? The people of Boscastle are probably already asking themselves that question. Something needs to be done about flood insurance. What, I don't know. But I do think Central Government have to shoulder some of the blame and cost. Currently, Northamptonshire is under government orders to build over 50,000 new properties by 2026. But the majority of land specified for this development is on flood planes, inevitable since so much of the county is in the vicinity of the River Nene, a river that is already notorious for flooding. And having already covered the whole of Upton Flats on the outskirts of Northampton with houses, a large swathe of natural flood plane no longer exists, putting properties further up- and down-stream at risk. And Northamptonshire is not the only county under this obligation. Government policy on house provision HAS to change, not only to protect new developments from flooding, but existing properties too. And as a foot note to this lot, most of the land either side of the River Nene from Weedon west of Northampton down to Peterborough in the east, a distance of over 55 miles, is still under water from the deluge just before Christmas. jim, Northampton |
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