uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old August 15th 14, 10:32 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2005
Posts: 6,777
Default 12 to 19 August 2014. Full Moon 11:25

15 August 2014 and the blocking Low in the Atlantic has given up the game. It is being replaced by a large unsteady North Atlantic High, so far in free flow. Nobody knows where they come from.

Actually they come from North America the question is: How?

What makes a piece break off the anticyclones in the mid-Pacific and travel up through Canada to Greenland where it drops of and heads back to the latitude it comes from?

For over a week we have been able to see that conditions in the subtropics have been ideal for the generation of tropical storms and the GOES imagery for them indicates they are direct descendants of the Hadley Cell.

Why they don't turn into Ferrel Cells in the time honoured way is something to do with the declinations of the moon. We will see more of the process over the next summer as the 18 year cycle peaks with minimal declinations of the moon peaking or not (as is the case here) next January:
http://astropixels.com/ephemeris/moo...l2001year.html

Today there are no hurricanes or typhoons or whatever. The remnants of Julio and Karina and that's it for a few days. What will be interesting is what occurs with the anticyclone. This is an anticyclonic lunar phase. So far the number of people killed in floods around the world has been fairly high.

Oddly reports from one place after another is more apt. A saying from the Gospels. Jesus was referring to earthquake forecasts but with floods the forecasts should be for volcanoes.

In Glorious Technicolor the lack of wind shear continues:
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/

The number of Low on the NAEFS chart remains for the duration of this spell but it is lacklustre. So just tornadic stuff then?
Wish I could say.

The behaviour of the Australian chart is unusual, possibly extra-ordinary as a large line storm shows up towards the end of it. Probably related to the traces of all those tropical storms now in extra-tropical waters:
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...Refresh+ View

Just lately the anticyclones have been escaping south of the surrounding continents just as in the good old days but from Saturday night when two cyclones on the eastern coast of Antarctica hit shore (8o and 150 east) and the overall picture switches to a large triagle surrounding Antarctica.

Obviously more tropical cyclones are in that picture but the resulting gap between shore and the bulk of the action make me think of tornadoe/volcanoes. Possibly something I haven't thought of.

But the spell following is tornadic so it is best to just wait and see rather than say today this and tomorrow that...

Or not, as the case may be.

  #2   Report Post  
Old August 15th 14, 02:12 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2005
Posts: 6,777
Default 12 to 19 August 2014. Full Moon 11:25

On Friday, 15 August 2014 11:32:20 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
1
The number of Lows on the NAEFS chart remains for the duration of this spell but it is lacklustre. So just tornadic stuff then?

Wish I could say.

http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/requests/...1370.24151.gif
Or:

http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/requests/...1401.24809.tar
for the more sensible, shows an interesting development in the cyclone on its way to Hawaii later in the week. Note too the old stuff causing a large block in the Gulf of Alaska at the same time.

These things double up in the North Atlantic. But tend to follow the North American weather for the obvious reason that a lot of it has to go through there first. It's got a lot to say about the formation of primary tropical disturbances foreshadowing much more powerful tropical storms shortly after..

But I am not sure exactly what that is. Something to do with spell completion I imagine. Sometimes it is a superstorm and sometimes it is a large earthquake ...and quite likely it could also be a VEI incident instead. I imagine that latter would depend on the number of concurrent storms.

Whichever way, it is both astonishingly simple, hideously complex and endlessly fascinating.

  #3   Report Post  
Old August 15th 14, 08:23 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2005
Posts: 6,777
Default 12 to 19 August 2014. Full Moon 11:25 where is Dawlish when he is needed?

I can do this stuff in my sleep. As is obvious to anyone who ever reads my stuff. So far according to Google there have been 8 views. Some of them mine no doubt.

Anyway this is a correction:

Jul 12 11:25 Jul 19 02:08
Jul 26 22:42 Aug 4 00:50 Aug 10 18:09 Aug 17 12:26

http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phases2001.html

What I had to say about the charts is still as good as it ever was... not all that good maybe but at least I made an effort. I was prompted -by comment on someone else's thread, to contemplate volcanoes and that woke me up. When the weather closes in and it gets cold, that is a signal of heightened volcanic activity.

Aug 10th and 17th are both lunar spells that are likely to lead to such activity. Don't ask me why (I only just woke up.) 18:09 and 12:26 (at any date) signal a relaxation of counter-currents that means increased vorticity or instability. I am never sure which weather term to use since I consider them both wrong.

Isn't a spell where the activities of an Hadley cell go straight to video a stable set up?

Someone go around to Paul Garvey's and help him get his head out. The rest of you continue on your own merry ways. (Fancy you all being as useless as....)

  #4   Report Post  
Old August 16th 14, 10:42 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2005
Posts: 6,777
Default 12 to 19 August 2014. Full Moon 11:25 where is Dawlish when he is needed?

On Friday, 15 August 2014 21:23:52 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Anyway this is a correction:

Jul 12 11:25 Jul 19 02:08
Jul 26 22:42 Aug 4 00:50 Aug 10 18:09 Aug 17 12:26

http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phases2001.html

What I had to say about the charts is still as good as it ever was... not all that good maybe but...


18:00 22 August 2014 (t+150)
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...Refresh+ View

Three deep black Cs approaching Antarctica two of them ominous, a lot of tropical stuff in the mix up to then. I have no idea what happens next except to say that it will be interesting, whatever that means.
  #5   Report Post  
Old August 17th 14, 09:51 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2005
Posts: 6,777
Default 12 to 19 August 2014. Full Moon 11:25 where is Dawlish when he is needed?

On Saturday, 16 August 2014 23:42:03 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

18:00 22 August 2014 (t+150)

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...Refresh+ View

Three deep black Cs approaching Antarctica two of them ominous, a lot of tropical stuff in the mix up to then. I have no idea what happens next except to say that it will be interesting, whatever that means.


Butterfled by the look of it today.

The NAEFS (http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/cartes_e.html) begins a period where three Highs dominate. And of course with my head for weather charts I have completely forgotten the implications. Volcanism?

If black were the new red I'd say the BoM was livid with straight line storms so I am going for the safe one and say that it also shows an abundance of tropical storms precede whatever so maybe they are Atlantic signals that intend to make life miserable in the House.

No carbon dioxide was hurt in any of these graphics.



  #6   Report Post  
Old August 19th 14, 10:43 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2005
Posts: 6,777
Default 12 to 19 August 2014. Full Moon 11:25 where is Dawlish when he is needed?

On Sunday, 17 August 2014 10:52:37 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Saturday, 16 August 2014 23:42:03 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:



18:00 22 August 2014 (t+150)




http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...Refresh+ View




Three deep black Cs approaching Antarctica two of them ominous, a lot of tropical stuff in the mix up to then. I have no idea what happens next except to say that it will be interesting, whatever that means.




Butterfled by the look of it today.



The NAEFS (http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/cartes_e.html) begins a period where three Highs dominate. And of course with my head for weather charts I have completely forgotten the implications. Volcanism?



If black were the new red I'd say the BoM was livid with straight line storms so I am going for the safe one and say that it also shows an abundance of tropical storms precede whatever so maybe they are Atlantic signals that intend to make life miserable in the House.



No carbon dioxide was hurt in any of these graphics.


The decay of a tropical storm brings either a quake f such magnitude that all smaller quakes are blanked on every seismometer in the world or we get swarms.

http://weathercharts.wordpress.com/2...akes-from-sed/

The number of swarms is effaced by the magnitude of one of them in the recent case the only swarm to appear on the front page of SED was the Iranian set.

We can't tell for sure what other swarms were taking place but we can see that certain regions in the blind spot have had minor local stuff. Notably in this spell there was or is an ongoing swarm at a volcano in Iceland.

They are not on the front page of SED because they don't register quakes of less that 4 Mag. But the fingerprint on every register in the world will be slightly different because of these minor swarms. Who knows that larger quakes have not been missed in the process?

Their flesh will rot while they are still standing on their feet, their eyes will rot in their sockets.

I don't think he was discussing Ebola any more that it applies to literal Jerusalem -which is Palestinian these days. (Despite what Briatain and the USA would make you believe.)


Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
13 Jun 2014. Full moon at 04:11 Weatherlawyer uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 6 June 17th 14 05:59 PM
full moon flybywire uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 4 April 3rd 07 05:38 PM
August's full moon Yannis uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 2 August 10th 06 08:08 PM
(slightly OT) Full Moon Pictures Les Crossan uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 November 15th 05 03:58 PM


All times are GMT. The time now is 11:46 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017