**Forecast: dry and warmer than average weather for much of theUK at T+240, on 8th March**
 

On Monday, 2 March 2015 15:24:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:54:03 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

Little doubt now that the building NE of the Azores high will produce mild and properly springlike weather this weekend. Really looking forward to it to the point, where I'll feel put out if I don't get it!

You dun 'arf talk some useless ****

**Forecast: dry and warmer than average weather for much of theUK at T+240, on 8th March**
 

On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 5:48:28 PM UTC, wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 3:24:00 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:54:03 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

Little doubt now that the building NE of the Azores high will produce mild and properly springlike weather this weekend. Really looking forward to it to the point, where I'll feel put out if I don't get it!

I certainly hope so.
There were near-blizzard like conditions here this morning, just another day or so of cold,windy weather then something genuinely 'springlike'.

Col

And then, yesterday, 6 days in, this forecast began to slowly implode. The high pressure is now showing - on all models - slipping away SE, allowing a front to bring rain to many areas on Sunday!

**Forecast: dry and warmer than average weather for much of theUK at T+240, on 8th March**
 

On Thursday, March 5, 2015 at 8:30:29 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 5:48:28 PM UTC, wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 3:24:00 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:54:03 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

Little doubt now that the building NE of the Azores high will produce mild and properly springlike weather this weekend. Really looking forward to it to the point, where I'll feel put out if I don't get it!

I certainly hope so.
There were near-blizzard like conditions here this morning, just another day or so of cold,windy weather then something genuinely 'springlike'.

Col

And then, yesterday, 6 days in, this forecast began to slowly implode. The high pressure is now showing - on all models - slipping away SE, allowing a front to bring rain to many areas on Sunday!

A forecast which the models were showing would be accurate right to only T+120, then between then and T+96, the models began showing the high slipping away SE. Today we have the introduction of cloud and rain on a cold front, instead of the sunny and warm weather I was rather hopng for.

An odd and interesting development throughout the week, but the forecast is clearly wrong. It does highlight the difficulties of forecasting at this distance.

**Forecast: dry and warmer than average weather for much of theUK at T+240, on 8th March**
 

On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 7:15:20 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, March 5, 2015 at 8:30:29 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 5:48:28 PM UTC, wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 3:24:00 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:54:03 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

Little doubt now that the building NE of the Azores high will produce mild and properly springlike weather this weekend. Really looking forward to it to the point, where I'll feel put out if I don't get it!

I certainly hope so.
There were near-blizzard like conditions here this morning, just another day or so of cold,windy weather then something genuinely 'springlike'.

Col

And then, yesterday, 6 days in, this forecast began to slowly implode. The high pressure is now showing - on all models - slipping away SE, allowing a front to bring rain to many areas on Sunday!

A forecast which the models were showing would be accurate right to only T+120, then between then and T+96, the models began showing the high slipping away SE. Today we have the introduction of cloud and rain on a cold front, instead of the sunny and warm weather I was rather hopng for.

An odd and interesting development throughout the week, but the forecast is clearly wrong. It does highlight the difficulties of forecasting at this distance.

It was disappointing that the predicted springlike conditions got downgraded like they did but the one consolation is that the one good day most of us got landed at the weekend. After a rather cloudy start yesterday was really quite glorious with sun feeling genuinely warm.
Light rain & drizzle now. Ah well....

Col

**Forecast: dry and warmer than average weather for much of theUK at T+240, on 8th March**
 

On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 7:26:54 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 7:15:20 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, March 5, 2015 at 8:30:29 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 5:48:28 PM UTC, wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 3:24:00 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:54:03 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome.. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

Little doubt now that the building NE of the Azores high will produce mild and properly springlike weather this weekend. Really looking forward to it to the point, where I'll feel put out if I don't get it!

I certainly hope so.
There were near-blizzard like conditions here this morning, just another day or so of cold,windy weather then something genuinely 'springlike'..

Col

And then, yesterday, 6 days in, this forecast began to slowly implode.. The high pressure is now showing - on all models - slipping away SE, allowing a front to bring rain to many areas on Sunday!

A forecast which the models were showing would be accurate right to only T+120, then between then and T+96, the models began showing the high slipping away SE. Today we have the introduction of cloud and rain on a cold front, instead of the sunny and warm weather I was rather hopng for.

An odd and interesting development throughout the week, but the forecast is clearly wrong. It does highlight the difficulties of forecasting at this distance.

It was disappointing that the predicted springlike conditions got downgraded like they did but the one consolation is that the one good day most of us got landed at the weekend. After a rather cloudy start yesterday was really quite glorious with sun feeling genuinely warm.
Light rain & drizzle now. Ah well....

Col

Yup. Ah well!

Just driven back from Plymouth where we had rain. Rain too, as we passed south of Dartmoor and over the Haldon Hills, but dry in Dawlish and the sun is just coming out. *)) 13C too. So much better down here on the coastal lowlands to the east of the high ground. A different climate.

**Forecast: dry and warmer than average weather for much of theUK at T+240, on 8th March**
 

On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 2:22:01 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 7:26:54 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 7:15:20 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, March 5, 2015 at 8:30:29 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 5:48:28 PM UTC, wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 3:24:00 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:54:03 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

Little doubt now that the building NE of the Azores high will produce mild and properly springlike weather this weekend. Really looking forward to it to the point, where I'll feel put out if I don't get it!

I certainly hope so.
There were near-blizzard like conditions here this morning, just another day or so of cold,windy weather then something genuinely 'springlike'.

Col

And then, yesterday, 6 days in, this forecast began to slowly implode. The high pressure is now showing - on all models - slipping away SE, allowing a front to bring rain to many areas on Sunday!

A forecast which the models were showing would be accurate right to only T+120, then between then and T+96, the models began showing the high slipping away SE. Today we have the introduction of cloud and rain on a cold front, instead of the sunny and warm weather I was rather hopng for.

An odd and interesting development throughout the week, but the forecast is clearly wrong. It does highlight the difficulties of forecasting at this distance.

It was disappointing that the predicted springlike conditions got downgraded like they did but the one consolation is that the one good day most of us got landed at the weekend. After a rather cloudy start yesterday was really quite glorious with sun feeling genuinely warm.
Light rain & drizzle now. Ah well....

Col

Yup. Ah well!

Just driven back from Plymouth where we had rain. Rain too, as we passed south of Dartmoor and over the Haldon Hills, but dry in Dawlish and the sun is just coming out. *)) 13C too. So much better down here on the coastal lowlands to the east of the high ground. A different climate.

Cold front cleared here and now well broken cloud, though chilly at 6.3°C.
Some good news though, my first daffodil is flowering, I don't keep formal records of this but I think this is pretty early.

Col

**Forecast: dry and warmer than average weather for much of theUK at T+240, on 8th March**
 

On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 3:12:47 PM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 2:22:01 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 7:26:54 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 8, 2015 at 7:15:20 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, March 5, 2015 at 8:30:29 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 5:48:28 PM UTC, wrote:
On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 3:24:00 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:54:03 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

Little doubt now that the building NE of the Azores high will produce mild and properly springlike weather this weekend. Really looking forward to it to the point, where I'll feel put out if I don't get it!

I certainly hope so.
There were near-blizzard like conditions here this morning, just another day or so of cold,windy weather then something genuinely 'springlike'.

Col

And then, yesterday, 6 days in, this forecast began to slowly implode. The high pressure is now showing - on all models - slipping away SE, allowing a front to bring rain to many areas on Sunday!

A forecast which the models were showing would be accurate right to only T+120, then between then and T+96, the models began showing the high slipping away SE. Today we have the introduction of cloud and rain on a cold front, instead of the sunny and warm weather I was rather hopng for.

An odd and interesting development throughout the week, but the forecast is clearly wrong. It does highlight the difficulties of forecasting at this distance.

It was disappointing that the predicted springlike conditions got downgraded like they did but the one consolation is that the one good day most of us got landed at the weekend. After a rather cloudy start yesterday was really quite glorious with sun feeling genuinely warm.
Light rain & drizzle now. Ah well....

Col

Yup. Ah well!

Just driven back from Plymouth where we had rain. Rain too, as we passed south of Dartmoor and over the Haldon Hills, but dry in Dawlish and the sun is just coming out. *)) 13C too. So much better down here on the coastal lowlands to the east of the high ground. A different climate.

Cold front cleared here and now well broken cloud, though chilly at 6.3°C.
Some good news though, my first daffodil is flowering, I don't keep formal records of this but I think this is pretty early.

Col

My first daffodil flowered before Christmas!! The garden is now full of them.

**Forecast: dry and warmer than average weather for much of the UK at T+240, on 8th March**
 

My first daffodil flowered before Christmas!! The garden is now full of
them.

Lucky you, mine are not even close:)
Gorgeous one day wonder yesterday (15c) back to wet and cold today but it
did turn brighter by mid afternoon.

Graham (Weston Coyney)