**Excellent agreement tonight for a SW flow around the northern limb of a high pressure and wonderful springlike weather for many at T+240. The only area which may well not benefit from this dry and mild weather is the NW of Scotland. **

Crossed fingers for this one. Wouldn't it be perfick!

In message ,
Dawlish writes
**Excellent agreement tonight for a SW flow around the northern limb of
a high pressure and wonderful springlike weather for many at T+240. The
only area which may well not benefit from this dry and mild weather is
the NW of Scotland. **

Crossed fingers for this one. Wouldn't it be perfick!

This morning's ECM has reverted to what's been it's preferred solution
in recent runs, of what looks like a distinctly chilly north-easterly
over the south-east (though not quite as cold or over as large an area
as in some recent runs).
--
I'm not paid to implement the recognition of irony.
(Taken, with the author's permission, from a LiveJournal post)

On Friday, February 27, 2015 at 10:53:21 AM UTC, John Hall wrote:
In message ,
Dawlish writes
**Excellent agreement tonight for a SW flow around the northern limb of
a high pressure and wonderful springlike weather for many at T+240. The
only area which may well not benefit from this dry and mild weather is
the NW of Scotland. **

Crossed fingers for this one. Wouldn't it be perfick!

This morning's ECM has reverted to what's been it's preferred solution
in recent runs, of what looks like a distinctly chilly north-easterly
over the south-east (though not quite as cold or over as large an area
as in some recent runs).
--
I'm not paid to implement the recognition of irony.
(Taken, with the author's permission, from a LiveJournal post)

Models perhaps swinging back to the 'very mild' output of 2 days ago. 12z gfs showing 16C in the SW! Peachy! Hope it achieves outcome. 00z ECM very mild too.

In message ,
Dawlish writes
On Friday, February 27, 2015 at 10:53:21 AM UTC, John Hall wrote:
In message ,
Dawlish writes
**Excellent agreement tonight for a SW flow around the northern limb of
a high pressure and wonderful springlike weather for many at T+240. The
only area which may well not benefit from this dry and mild weather is
the NW of Scotland. **

Crossed fingers for this one. Wouldn't it be perfick!

This morning's ECM has reverted to what's been it's preferred solution
in recent runs, of what looks like a distinctly chilly north-easterly
over the south-east (though not quite as cold or over as large an area
as in some recent runs).

Models perhaps swinging back to the 'very mild' output of 2 days ago.
12z gfs showing 16C in the SW! Peachy! Hope it achieves outcome. 00z
ECM very mild too.

Yes, yesterday's 12Z ECM was also mild. Looks like yesterday's 0Z ECM
might have been the last cold run for quite a while.
--
I'm not paid to implement the recognition of irony.
(Taken, with the author's permission, from a LiveJournal post)

On Saturday, February 28, 2015 at 6:53:15 PM UTC, John Hall wrote:
In message ,
Dawlish writes
On Friday, February 27, 2015 at 10:53:21 AM UTC, John Hall wrote:
In message ,
Dawlish writes
**Excellent agreement tonight for a SW flow around the northern limb of
a high pressure and wonderful springlike weather for many at T+240. The
only area which may well not benefit from this dry and mild weather is
the NW of Scotland. **

Crossed fingers for this one. Wouldn't it be perfick!

This morning's ECM has reverted to what's been it's preferred solution
in recent runs, of what looks like a distinctly chilly north-easterly
over the south-east (though not quite as cold or over as large an area
as in some recent runs).

Models perhaps swinging back to the 'very mild' output of 2 days ago.
12z gfs showing 16C in the SW! Peachy! Hope it achieves outcome. 00z
ECM very mild too.

Yes, yesterday's 12Z ECM was also mild. Looks like yesterday's 0Z ECM
might have been the last cold run for quite a while.
--
I'm not paid to implement the recognition of irony.
(Taken, with the author's permission, from a LiveJournal post)

Wish it was nailed on at 8 days mind........*))

On Saturday, February 28, 2015 at 8:17:59 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Saturday, February 28, 2015 at 6:53:15 PM UTC, John Hall wrote:
In message ,
Dawlish writes
On Friday, February 27, 2015 at 10:53:21 AM UTC, John Hall wrote:
In message ,
Dawlish writes
**Excellent agreement tonight for a SW flow around the northern limb of
a high pressure and wonderful springlike weather for many at T+240. The
only area which may well not benefit from this dry and mild weather is
the NW of Scotland. **

Crossed fingers for this one. Wouldn't it be perfick!

This morning's ECM has reverted to what's been it's preferred solution
in recent runs, of what looks like a distinctly chilly north-easterly
over the south-east (though not quite as cold or over as large an area
as in some recent runs).

Models perhaps swinging back to the 'very mild' output of 2 days ago.
12z gfs showing 16C in the SW! Peachy! Hope it achieves outcome. 00z
ECM very mild too.

Yes, yesterday's 12Z ECM was also mild. Looks like yesterday's 0Z ECM
might have been the last cold run for quite a while.
--
I'm not paid to implement the recognition of irony.
(Taken, with the author's permission, from a LiveJournal post)

Wish it was nailed on at 8 days mind........*))

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

I do hope it stays. It'll help to start to ease away the memory of winter.

PS Bet some lowland areas see snow (again, for some; not for all - none lay here, though I did see some flakes in the rain, twice!) before the summer!

On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts.. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February..

Col

On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:54:03 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

Little doubt now that the building NE of the Azores high will produce mild and properly springlike weather this weekend. Really looking forward to it to the point, where I'll feel put out if I don't get it!

On Monday, March 2, 2015 at 3:24:00 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:54:03 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:35:38 AM UTC, wrote:
On Sunday, March 1, 2015 at 9:23:53 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:

Looking very mild and rather excellent next weekend on the current charts. The first taste of spring for many, if they achieve outcome. How mild? A possibility of the UK date record of 15.9C being threatened if the 00z gfs chart is the one we see in a week's time. I'm not saying that's what will happen, but the likelihood of having dry and warmer than average weather on March 8th sits at higher than 80% ATM and IMO.

The date record for 8th March is 21.1°C.
http://www.torro.org.uk/site/hightempsyear.php

Have you perhaps looked at the wrong month, it is 15.9°C for 8th February.

Col

Well, it would have potentially threatened the date record, if the date record had been 15.9C, but as Col correctly points out, the record is in fact 21.1C. ☺�☺� Sorry! note to self; read the actual data properly!!!)

Still looking peachy, ATM!

Little doubt now that the building NE of the Azores high will produce mild and properly springlike weather this weekend. Really looking forward to it to the point, where I'll feel put out if I don't get it!

I certainly hope so.
There were near-blizzard like conditions here this morning, just another day or so of cold,windy weather then something genuinely 'springlike'.

Col