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Old February 13th 16, 06:24 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

I pose it as a question, but would the synoptic situation that we've had over the past 24 hours have submerged southern England in a blanket of snow 20+ years ago? We've now got fairly strong north-easterlies and cold rain at the most, over England.

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Old February 13th 16, 06:26 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

Over *lowland* England. 😀😀
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Old February 13th 16, 09:07 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

dawlish Wrote in message:
I pose it as a question, but would the synoptic situation that we've had over the past 24 hours have submerged southern England in a blanket of snow 20+ years ago? We've now got fairly strong north-easterlies and cold rain at the most, over England.

No, as the continent is not cold. You have an Easterly that is 36
hours old, and the presssure pattern that caused the easterly
originated over the SW Approaches and propogated eastwards. An
identical synoptic situation 20 years ago would've had an
identical effect, all other things being equal.

--
Freddie
Pontesbury
Shropshire
102m AMSL
http://www.hosiene.co.uk/weather/
http://twitter.com/PontesburyWx for hourly reports


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Old February 13th 16, 09:19 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

On 13/02/2016 19:58, Freddie wrote:
dawlish Wrote in message:
I pose it as a question, but would the synoptic situation that we've had over the past 24 hours have submerged southern England in a blanket of snow 20+ years ago? We've now got fairly strong north-easterlies and cold rain at the most, over England.

No, as the continent is not cold. You have an Easterly that is 36
hours old, and the presssure pattern that caused the easterly
originated over the SW Approaches and propogated eastwards. An
identical synoptic situation 20 years ago would've had an
identical effect, all other things being equal.


I think the difference 20 years ago is the near continent would have
been much colder and we would be looking at temperatures hovering around
zero today. The ice has retreated much further north and east a bit like
all the glaciers have retreated higher up the mountains.

--
Keith (Southend)
"Weather Home & Abroad"
http://www.southendweather.net
Twitter:@SS9Weatherman
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Old February 13th 16, 09:23 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

On Saturday, 13 February 2016 19:58:16 UTC, Freddie wrote:
dawlish Wrote in message:
I pose it as a question, but would the synoptic situation that we've had over the past 24 hours have submerged southern England in a blanket of snow 20+ years ago? We've now got fairly strong north-easterlies and cold rain at the most, over England.

No, as the continent is not cold. You have an Easterly that is 36
hours old, and the presssure pattern that caused the easterly
originated over the SW Approaches and propogated eastwards. An
identical synoptic situation 20 years ago would've had an
identical effect, all other things being equal.

--
Freddie
Pontesbury
Shropshire
102m AMSL
http://www.hosiene.co.uk/weather/
http://twitter.com/PontesburyWx for hourly reports


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Think people forget that at least in London in the sixties and seventies, without checking the records, that every winter was settled snow fall or snowfall. I remember in 1980/81 that being a very mild non eventful winter in the SE. Actually it was just before Christmas 1980 I read a small article in the Telegraph about a company called 'Weather Action' and their spokesman a Mr Piers Corbin predicting an exceptionally bitter winter. Of course it didn't happen.


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Old February 13th 16, 09:35 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

On Saturday, 13 February 2016 21:19:34 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
On 13/02/2016 19:58, Freddie wrote:
dawlish Wrote in message:
I pose it as a question, but would the synoptic situation that we've had over the past 24 hours have submerged southern England in a blanket of snow 20+ years ago? We've now got fairly strong north-easterlies and cold rain at the most, over England.

No, as the continent is not cold. You have an Easterly that is 36
hours old, and the presssure pattern that caused the easterly
originated over the SW Approaches and propogated eastwards. An
identical synoptic situation 20 years ago would've had an
identical effect, all other things being equal.


I think the difference 20 years ago is the near continent would have
been much colder and we would be looking at temperatures hovering around
zero today. The ice has retreated much further north and east a bit like
all the glaciers have retreated higher up the mountains.

--
Keith (Southend)
"Weather Home & Abroad"
http://www.southendweather.net
Twitter:@SS9Weatherman





Its weather patterns , that's all again I remember the fantastic winter of 78/79 where after the initial very cold post Christmas and new year period with widespread snow that shortly after we had a low producing and easterly but it was just sleet and rain. Global temps since then according to the AMSU satellite data have risen by about .5 Celsius I don't think that would trump weather patterns. If its being suggested its purely down to AGW we would then have to explain this


http://news.yahoo.com/mayor-urges-ex...040122658.html
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Old February 13th 16, 09:51 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

In message ,
Lawrence Jenkins writes
Think people forget that at least in London in the sixties and
seventies, without checking the records, that every winter was settled
snow fall or snowfall. I remember in 1980/81 that being a very mild
non eventful winter in the SE. Actually it was just before Christmas
1980 I read a small article in the Telegraph about a company called
'Weather Action' and their spokesman a Mr Piers Corbin predicting an
exceptionally bitter winter. Of course it didn't happen.


I remember a spell of almost snowless winters where I live (only thirty
miles from London) that lasted from 1970-1 until 1975-6 inclusive. My
memory is borne out by this site:

http://www.neforum2.co.uk/ferryhillw.../bonacina.html

It's true that most winters in the 1960s had snow, but I think in
lowland southern England runs of almost snowless winters have always
occurred from time to time. For example there was 1902-3 to 1905-6. Our
current run is only up to three winters (assuming this winter remains
largely snowless).
--
John Hall
"Honest criticism is hard to take,
particularly from a relative, a friend,
an acquaintance, or a stranger." Franklin P Jones
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Old February 13th 16, 10:27 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

On 13/02/2016 21:19, Keith (Southend) wrote:
On 13/02/2016 19:58, Freddie wrote:
dawlish Wrote in message:
I pose it as a question, but would the synoptic situation that we've
had over the past 24 hours have submerged southern England in a
blanket of snow 20+ years ago? We've now got fairly strong
north-easterlies and cold rain at the most, over England.

No, as the continent is not cold. You have an Easterly that is 36
hours old, and the presssure pattern that caused the easterly
originated over the SW Approaches and propogated eastwards. An
identical synoptic situation 20 years ago would've had an
identical effect, all other things being equal.


I think the difference 20 years ago is the near continent would have
been much colder and we would be looking at temperatures hovering around
zero today. The ice has retreated much further north and east a bit like
all the glaciers have retreated higher up the mountains.

----------------------------------------------------------------------
I think Freddie is right but so are you. The two are not mutually
exclusive. There is no question that the North Sea is rarely as cold in
February as it used to be and the Baltic freezes much less. Has to have
an effect as air passes over it.
Dave
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Old February 14th 16, 03:07 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

"Keith (Southend)" Wrote in message:
On 13/02/2016 19:58, Freddie wrote:
dawlish Wrote in message:
I pose it as a question, but would the synoptic situation that we've had over the past 24 hours have submerged southern England in a blanket of snow 20+ years ago? We've now got fairly strong north-easterlies and cold rain at the most, over England.

No, as the continent is not cold. You have an Easterly that is 36
hours old, and the presssure pattern that caused the easterly
originated over the SW Approaches and propogated eastwards. An
identical synoptic situation 20 years ago would've had an
identical effect, all other things being equal.


I think the difference 20 years ago is the near continent would have
been much colder and we would be looking at temperatures hovering around
zero today. The ice has retreated much further north and east a bit like
all the glaciers have retreated higher up the mountains.

--
Keith (Southend)
"Weather Home & Abroad"
http://www.southendweather.net
Twitter:@SS9Weatherman


If we had a similar run of weather 20 years ago as we had now,
then it wouldn't have been much colder. That's what I meant by
all other things being equal.

--
Freddie
Pontesbury
Shropshire
102m AMSL
http://www.hosiene.co.uk/weather/
http://twitter.com/PontesburyWx for hourly reports


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Old February 14th 16, 04:48 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Channel lows ain't what they used to be?

On Saturday, 13 February 2016 19:58:16 UTC, Freddie wrote:
dawlish Wrote in message:
I pose it as a question, but would the synoptic situation that we've had over the past 24 hours have submerged southern England in a blanket of snow 20+ years ago? We've now got fairly strong north-easterlies and cold rain at the most, over England.

No, as the continent is not cold. You have an Easterly that is 36
hours old, and the presssure pattern that caused the easterly
originated over the SW Approaches and propogated eastwards. An
identical synoptic situation 20 years ago would've had an
identical effect, all other things being equal.

--
Freddie


Yes, it's not An Easterly as we know and love, well, some people. The air in it has been lurking not too far from these islands and doesn't come from anything like far enough east to be seriously cold. Having said that, the North Sea and near continent are a little warmer than normal.

Tudor Hughes.


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