There will be a price to pay for such a buxom storm on Easter Monday.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif


http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...12_096_ECM.gif

Gale force gusts at the very least.
An equinoctial gale, albeit it a few days late.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon

On Thursday, March 24, 2016 at 8:07:40 PM UTC, Len Wood wrote:
There will be a price to pay for such a buxom storm on Easter Monday.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif


http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...12_096_ECM.gif

Gale force gusts at the very least.
An equinoctial gale, albeit it a few days late.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon

When does the naming season end and the new one beggin?

On Thursday, 24 March 2016 20:07:40 UTC, Len Wood wrote:
There will be a price to pay for such a buxom storm on Easter Monday.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif


http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...12_096_ECM.gif

Gale force gusts at the very least.
An equinoctial gale, albeit it a few days late.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon

That link goes to the chart for 12h Tuesday. For 12h Monday try this:
http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm and scroll down.
GFS has 35 kt mean over SE England.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.

On Friday, March 25, 2016 at 4:45:57 AM UTC, Tudor Hughes wrote:
On Thursday, 24 March 2016 20:07:40 UTC, Len Wood wrote:
There will be a price to pay for such a buxom storm on Easter Monday.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif


http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...12_096_ECM.gif

Gale force gusts at the very least.
An equinoctial gale, albeit it a few days late.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon

That link goes to the chart for 12h Tuesday. For 12h Monday try this:
http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm and scroll down.
GFS has 35 kt mean over SE England.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.

The Atlantic swell forecast is interesting. Katie is too fast moving a feature to develop a big swell completely in her own right, but runs over a large swell created by a preceding feature and is forecast to produce something big.

This shows the development rather well. Sunday 3am shows the pre existing large swell to the SW of Ireland. Run the sequence forward and the swell is re-invigorated by Katie.

Other models suggest the really big swell could hit Cornwall, however switch to the 'period' forecast' and it doesn't look like being too powerful, limited fetch & period.

It's been pretty big the last 2 days, though much smaller this morning.

Graham
Penzance

On Friday, March 25, 2016 at 9:25:57 AM UTC, Graham Easterling wrote:
On Friday, March 25, 2016 at 4:45:57 AM UTC, Tudor Hughes wrote:
On Thursday, 24 March 2016 20:07:40 UTC, Len Wood wrote:
There will be a price to pay for such a buxom storm on Easter Monday.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif


http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...12_096_ECM.gif

Gale force gusts at the very least.
An equinoctial gale, albeit it a few days late.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon

That link goes to the chart for 12h Tuesday. For 12h Monday try this:
http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm and scroll down.
GFS has 35 kt mean over SE England.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.

The Atlantic swell forecast is interesting. Katie is too fast moving a feature to develop a big swell completely in her own right, but runs over a large swell created by a preceding feature and is forecast to produce something big.

This shows the development rather well. Sunday 3am shows the pre existing large swell to the SW of Ireland. Run the sequence forward and the swell is re-invigorated by Katie.

Other models suggest the really big swell could hit Cornwall, however switch to the 'period' forecast' and it doesn't look like being too powerful, limited fetch & period.

It's been pretty big the last 2 days, though much smaller this morning.

Graham
Penzance

Run the sequence forward and the swell is re-invigorated by Katie.
The missing link! http://magicseaweed.com/UK-Ireland-MSW-Surf-Charts/1/

Graham

On 24/03/2016 20:07, Len Wood wrote:
There will be a price to pay for such a buxom storm on Easter Monday.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif


http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...12_096_ECM.gif

Gale force gusts at the very least.
An equinoctial gale, albeit it a few days late.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon


Temproal and geographic spread for this complex low, so Big Katie or
Katie1,Katie2, Katie3 etc?

On Friday, 25 March 2016 09:52:37 UTC, Graham Easterling wrote:
On Friday, March 25, 2016 at 9:25:57 AM UTC, Graham Easterling wrote:
On Friday, March 25, 2016 at 4:45:57 AM UTC, Tudor Hughes wrote:
On Thursday, 24 March 2016 20:07:40 UTC, Len Wood wrote:
There will be a price to pay for such a buxom storm on Easter Monday.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif


http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...12_096_ECM.gif

Gale force gusts at the very least.
An equinoctial gale, albeit it a few days late.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon

That link goes to the chart for 12h Tuesday. For 12h Monday try this:
http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm and scroll down.
GFS has 35 kt mean over SE England.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.

The Atlantic swell forecast is interesting. Katie is too fast moving a feature to develop a big swell completely in her own right, but runs over a large swell created by a preceding feature and is forecast to produce something big.

This shows the development rather well. Sunday 3am shows the pre existing large swell to the SW of Ireland. Run the sequence forward and the swell is re-invigorated by Katie.

Other models suggest the really big swell could hit Cornwall, however switch to the 'period' forecast' and it doesn't look like being too powerful, limited fetch & period.

It's been pretty big the last 2 days, though much smaller this morning.

Run the sequence forward and the swell is re-invigorated by Katie.

or something else:

The missing link! http://magicseaweed.com/UK-Ireland-MSW-Surf-Charts/1/

For a less linear solution this SSP is the best one:
Notice how the one for the 28th devolves and read between the lines.

Take a look at the run issued on the 23rd.

On Friday, 25 March 2016 12:40:40 UTC, N_Cook wrote:
On 24/03/2016 20:07, Len Wood wrote:
There will be a price to pay for such a buxom storm on Easter Monday.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif


http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...12_096_ECM.gif

Gale force gusts at the very least.
An equinoctial gale, albeit it a few days late.

Temporal and geographic spread for this complex low,
so Big Katie or Katie1,Katie2, Katie3 etc?

I don't know what you mean by temporal but the front goes to Cape Rojo in Mexico at the time of writing:
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/?...select6=Script

"+map cape rojo mexico"

"As one of the few protruding features on this part of the coast, it may be regarded as the boundary between the western coasts of the Bay of Campeche and the Gulf of Mexico proper, and is frequently used by the authorities as a breakpoint for tropical cyclone warnings and watches."

On Monday, March 28, 2016 at 2:42:45 AM UTC+2, Weatherlawyer wrote:
http://www.spaceweather.com/

Storm Katie is known as storm Jeanne here in France. Confused? You should be!

On Thursday, 24 March 2016 20:07:40 UTC, Len Wood wrote:
There will be a price to pay for such a buxom storm on Easter Monday.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif


http://meteocentre.com/models/compar...12_096_ECM.gif

Gale force gusts at the very least.
An equinoctial gale, albeit it a few days late.

Len
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Katie was in a hurry and raced through. A real teaser.
SSW 38 knots gusting 55 knots at 0200 BST
8 to 12 ft swell now. A bit blown out.

Not much good for the holidaying surf dudes.

Len
Wembury

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