I'm dissapointed that the TV forecasts havent mentioned the possibility
of snow on the mountains to the north of the low?


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Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG

Hi Will,

Thanks for the postings on the current situation.

I have had no time to look at the TV forecasts due to a three day old baby
(trying to convince the wife we should call her Gale.

I had a phone call from the tree surgeon we have asked to cut down a conifer
and he is planning to come tomorrow afternoon. This was Saturday and I
didn't ask if he has seen the weather warnings.

What do you think his chances are tomorrow afternoon for this area.

Many thanks



Chris
Kempston, Bedford, Bedfordshire

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"Will" wrote in message
...

Victor West wrote in message ...
Thanks Will.
Do you think the track, or intensity, of the low will have any bearing on
whether we see any colder weather later in the week?

Victor


Victor, I haven't had chance to think it through I'm afraid. You'll
understand
I'm more concerned with the next 24-48 hours than further ahead.

Will.
--

Chris, tomorrow afternoon is in the "sting jet" time window for Bedfordshire so
it could be very gusty then. Having said that it is possible that the low may
track right over you and you would then escape the worst of the wind, however,
it is likely to be raining hard so that may put him off as well.

ATB,

Will.
--

Chris Mantle wrote in message ...
Hi Will,

Thanks for the postings on the current situation.

I have had no time to look at the TV forecasts due to a three day old baby
(trying to convince the wife we should call her Gale.

I had a phone call from the tree surgeon we have asked to cut down a conifer
and he is planning to come tomorrow afternoon. This was Saturday and I
didn't ask if he has seen the weather warnings.

What do you think his chances are tomorrow afternoon for this area.

Many thanks



Chris
Kempston, Bedford, Bedfordshire

--

"Will" wrote in message
...

Victor West wrote in message ...
Thanks Will.
Do you think the track, or intensity, of the low will have any bearing on
whether we see any colder weather later in the week?

Victor


Victor, I haven't had chance to think it through I'm afraid. You'll
understand
I'm more concerned with the next 24-48 hours than further ahead.

Will.
--

Will wrote:

Howard, I think you are probably safe in the Brecons from snow, I was thinking
more Snowdonia area if the low tracks across central Wales. Main emphasis still
has to be on gales and rain for you.

Apologies for being a bit vague earlier.

Thank for that, Will.

Looking at the questions you are fielding, perhaps we need a "Will's
Surgery" thread. You are certainly providing a great service.


--
Howard Neil

Indeed Will, Sat Imagery during the day has always looked much more
"angry"
than the relatively tame 12Z output. There were very few ship obs in the
region at midday and this may have undely affected the models.
I notice that on a sequence of hourly WV images that a marked dry slot is
now appearing in the region of the left exit, very near the "suggested"
centre ... meaning more rapid cyclogenesis may be appearing.

Hi Paul,
It's a pity we still do not have the line of weather ships that used to be
stationed in the Atlantic. I'm sure there used to be one at 50N 20W which
would have assisted the forecasted track of tomorrows low,
best regards,
Alan

--
Wirral, Merseyside. 53.2N 3.0W 40m amsl
http://www.wirralcam.com/

I had a phone call from the tree surgeon we have asked to cut down a
conifer
and he is planning to come tomorrow afternoon. This was Saturday and I
didn't ask if he has seen the weather warnings.

What do you think his chances are tomorrow afternoon for this area.

Many thanks



Chris
Kempston, Bedford, Bedfordshire

--

Tomorrow should be a very profitable day for Tree Surgeons ;-)

"Will" wrote in message
...

Victor West wrote in message ...
Thanks Will.
Do you think the track, or intensity, of the low will have any bearing on
whether we see any colder weather later in the week?

Victor


Victor, I haven't had chance to think it through I'm afraid. You'll
understand
I'm more concerned with the next 24-48 hours than further ahead.


No problem Will.
ATB

Victor

"Ian Price" wrote in message
news:b5320f1500d98ec89c5cac0ea7ea06b8.2703@mygate. mailgate.org...
| I'm dissapointed that the TV forecasts havent mentioned the possibility
| of snow on the mountains to the north of the low?

Hi Ian,

Probably because it will only affect a small minority of the population.
On the F215 from MetO they say snow above 2000ft. I wouldn't
mind being a resident of Buxton or Flash to see how far the snow
does fall.

Joe

In message , Alan Duckers
writes
Indeed Will, Sat Imagery during the day has always looked much more
"angry"
than the relatively tame 12Z output. There were very few ship obs in the
region at midday and this may have undely affected the models.
I notice that on a sequence of hourly WV images that a marked dry slot is
now appearing in the region of the left exit, very near the "suggested"
centre ... meaning more rapid cyclogenesis may be appearing.

Hi Paul,
It's a pity we still do not have the line of weather ships that used to be
stationed in the Atlantic. I'm sure there used to be one at 50N 20W which
would have assisted the forecasted track of tomorrows low,
best regards,
Alan

Station "Juliette" was at 52.5N 20.0W. Station "Kilo" was at 47N 17W.

I see that the 12z Met Office mesoscale run has Monday's low as a
"Channel runner" somewhat shallower than predicted earlier. If this
turns out to be correct southern England will have light winds. The
issued progs take the track much further north, resulting in the
warnings of very strong winds for the south. I don't envy the Chief
Forecaster in Exeter tonight.

The 12z mesoscale has Tuesday's low much more threatening than Monday's.

Interesting times.

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to reply)
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St Giles
England