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Alastair McDonald July 6th 03 11:13 AM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 
"Elena" wrote in message
om...
I read The Independent Online:

"In a startling report, the WMO, which normally produces detailed
scientific reports and staid statistics at the year's end, highlighted
record extremes in weather and climate occurring all over the world in
recent weeks - and linked them to climate change.
The unprecedented warning snip from an impeccably respected UN
organisation snip.
The unstable world of climate change has long been a prediction. Now,
the WMO says, it is a reality.snip

The whole story:
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/...p?story=421166

Opinions ?


Hi Elena,

I have waited to reply to your post because I wanted to prove that there
would be little interest from this group in a very important announcement.

One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming
is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem, and
this gives entirely the wrong message to the general public.

One reason we in Britain are not concerned is because until now the
effects have not been marked. I suspect that in Finland the weather
is extremely warm for the time of year, and that was one reason for
your interest in the Independent report. The actual press release
from the WMO can be seen at;
http://www.wmo.ch/web/Press/Press695.doc

I begins;

----------------

ACCORDING TO THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION,
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS MIGHT INCREASE

Geneva, 2 July 2003 - Record extremes in weather and climate events continue
to occur around the world. Recent scientific assessments indicate that, as
the global temperatures continue to warm due to climate change, the number and
intensity of extreme events might increase, the World Meteorological
Organization (WMO) states in a press release issued today.

In June, record high temperatures were recorded across southern France, with
maximum temperatures exceeding 40°C in parts of southwest France. This
resulted in June average temperatures of 5 to 7°C above the long-term average.
In Switzerland, the month of June was the hottest in at least the past 250
years, according to environmental historians. In Geneva, since 29 May,
maximum daytime temperatures did not drop below 25°C, making June the hottest
June on record for the city.

---------------

The thing to note is that the WMO is based in Geneva. Switzerland had its
hottest month for 250 years. It is only when the meteorologist at the WMO
suffer from global warming that they take any notice. The reason the world
is taking no action is that the east coast of North America, where the centre
of political power resides, has not yet suffered these record tempratures, and
when they do they will be able to turn up the air conditioning.

The problem, as I see it, is that it is now too late to avoid disaster. When
the
glaciers and ice caps melt, the change in albedo will amplify the warming from
the carbon dioxide. Since they are melting now, even if we held CO2 at
today's levels the ice would continue to melt.

The current high temperatures, flooding, and droughts are only a taster of
what is to come, but this realistic view is regarded as nonsense by pundits
and public alike!

Cheers, Alastair.



Norman Lynagh July 6th 03 11:30 AM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 
In article , Alastair McDonald
k writes
"Elena" wrote in message
. com...
I read The Independent Online:

"In a startling report, the WMO, which normally produces detailed
scientific reports and staid statistics at the year's end, highlighted
record extremes in weather and climate occurring all over the world in
recent weeks - and linked them to climate change.
The unprecedented warning snip from an impeccably respected UN
organisation snip.
The unstable world of climate change has long been a prediction. Now,
the WMO says, it is a reality.snip

The whole story:
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/...p?story=421166

Opinions ?


Hi Elena,

I have waited to reply to your post because I wanted to prove that there
would be little interest from this group in a very important announcement.

One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming
is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem, and
this gives entirely the wrong message to the general public.

One reason we in Britain are not concerned is because until now the
effects have not been marked. I suspect that in Finland the weather
is extremely warm for the time of year, and that was one reason for
your interest in the Independent report.


I can't understand why you think meteorologists are not interested in
the global warming discussion. It is one of the hot topics in the
profession these days and has been for some considerable time. The
interest, of course is in the science, not the politics. Perhaps it is
the politicians who are uninterested.

One point - It's important always to bear in mind that the relevant
topic is "global" warming, not unusual warmth in very localised areas.
The fact that parts (most?) of the British Isles have had an unusually
warm June proves nothing. Similarly, extremely warm conditions in
Finland proves nothing. Not so far away, Moscow had its coldest June
this year since 1941 but that doesn't prove global cooling :) As has
been reported in the past few days in this newsgroup, New Zealand has
been experiencing an unusually cold spell.

Also, despite the undoubted problems that will inevitably be caused by
global warming there are also bound to be benefits in some parts of the
world. It is inconceivable that changing climate can be all bad news.

Norman
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St. Giles
Buckinghamshire


lawrence Jenkins July 6th 03 11:39 PM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 

" The fact that parts (most?) of the British Isles have had an unusually
warm June proves nothing. Similarly, extremely warm conditions in
Finland proves nothing. Not so far away, Moscow had its coldest June
this year since 1941 but that doesn't prove global cooling :) As has
been reported in the past few days in this newsgroup, New Zealand has
been experiencing an unusually cold spell.

Also, despite the undoubted problems that will i




Several things.

The reason I mentioned Tuvalu was the fact they were, or still are
attempting to sue the USA and Australian goverment. Why you ask? Because
they said their small island was at risk of rising sea levels and the USA
and Australia were to blame. Of course the case didn't hold water (pun
intended) In fact the levels had dropped.
As we are living in an increasingly 'blame culture' society.
Where the louder a self interest group will shout and spin their apparent
plight, the more chattering class outfits like the Guardian,Independent and
NYT will report it with hand wringing empathetic frenzy. As a result large
sums of international funding find a new home.

Neatly on ....
At first I thought it was the Independent on Sunday who published an
infamous gaff of Mr Meacher. but I was wrong.
Now Mr Meacher( recently sacked environment minister ) made a statement in
the London Sunday Times and when you consider that this man has been the
darhlink of the Independent and Guardian for some time.It kind of devalues
the plausability of the arguments
This Meacher howler is an old chestnut now but still worth reading.

From August 2002 The Sunday Times. I bring you the truth

" Britain's Environment Minister Michael Meacher, who likes to berate the
U.S. for its backward stance on global warming, made a fool of himself in
the August 9 issue of the London Sunday Times. Here's an excerpt from the
interview:
Meacher: "I mean floods in Britain is one we are having to explain, rising
sea levels, but in America quite serious things are happening, certainly
stronger hurricanes on the east coast which are to do with, what is the name
of that hurricane that comes every 2-3 years?"

Interviewer: "They call them different names."

Meacher: "No, no, there is a name which is the Spanish word for a young
child, what is it called?"

Interviewer: El Niño."

Meacher: "The El Niño is becoming more frequent and more violent..".



There we are an experts view on El Niño .



Norman Lynagh sensibly cites the fact that Moscow had it's coldest June
since 1941 as an example of not getting too carried away with extremes.

But as we should all know by now that with the greenhouse lobby textreme
cold or extreme heat is a perfect example of global warming. So you can't
win.

A more sensible view would IMO be found here.

http://www.vision.net.au/~daly/christy.htm






Peter Hearnden July 7th 03 08:18 AM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 

"lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...

" The fact that parts (most?) of the British Isles have had an unusually
warm June proves nothing. Similarly, extremely warm conditions in
Finland proves nothing. Not so far away, Moscow had its coldest June
this year since 1941 but that doesn't prove global cooling :) As has
been reported in the past few days in this newsgroup, New Zealand has
been experiencing an unusually cold spell.

Also, despite the undoubted problems that will i




Several things.

The reason I mentioned Tuvalu was the fact they were, or still are
attempting to sue the USA and Australian goverment. Why you ask? Because
they said their small island was at risk of rising sea levels and the USA
and Australia were to blame. Of course the case didn't hold water (pun
intended) In fact the levels had dropped.
As we are living in an increasingly 'blame culture' society.
Where the louder a self interest group will shout and spin their apparent
plight, the more chattering class outfits like the Guardian,Independent

and
NYT will report it with hand wringing empathetic frenzy. As a result large
sums of international funding find a new home.

Neatly on ....
At first I thought it was the Independent on Sunday who published an
infamous gaff of Mr Meacher. but I was wrong.
Now Mr Meacher( recently sacked environment minister ) made a statement

in
the London Sunday Times and when you consider that this man has been the
darhlink of the Independent and Guardian for some time.It kind of devalues
the plausability of the arguments
This Meacher howler is an old chestnut now but still worth reading.

From August 2002 The Sunday Times. I bring you the truth

" Britain's Environment Minister Michael Meacher, who likes to berate the
U.S. for its backward stance on global warming, made a fool of himself in
the August 9 issue of the London Sunday Times. Here's an excerpt from the
interview:
Meacher: "I mean floods in Britain is one we are having to explain,

rising
sea levels, but in America quite serious things are happening, certainly
stronger hurricanes on the east coast which are to do with, what is the

name
of that hurricane that comes every 2-3 years?"

Interviewer: "They call them different names."

Meacher: "No, no, there is a name which is the Spanish word for a young
child, what is it called?"

Interviewer: El Niño."

Meacher: "The El Niño is becoming more frequent and more violent..".



There we are an experts view on El Niño .



Norman Lynagh sensibly cites the fact that Moscow had it's coldest June
since 1941 as an example of not getting too carried away with extremes.

But as we should all know by now that with the greenhouse lobby textreme
cold or extreme heat is a perfect example of global warming. So you can't
win.

A more sensible view would IMO be found here.

http://www.vision.net.au/~daly/christy.htm

Lawrence, for another view of what J. Daly has to say try
http://www.trump.net.au/~greenhou/. The word 'demolition' comes to mind.








Keith Dancey July 7th 03 11:21 AM

WMO announcement on global warming an
 
In article , "Alastair McDonald" k writes:
"Elena" wrote in message
. com...
I read The Independent Online:

"In a startling report, the WMO, which normally produces detailed
scientific reports and staid statistics at the year's end, highlighted
record extremes in weather and climate occurring all over the world in
recent weeks - and linked them to climate change.


I have waited to reply to your post because I wanted to prove that there
would be little interest from this group in a very important announcement.

One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming
is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem, and
this gives entirely the wrong message to the general public.



Rubbish.

This news group does NOT equate to meteorologists, let alone to climate
researchers (almost none of whom post here).

Who are you to claim that "meteorologists have remained uninterested in
the problem"? Do you not understand that WMO stands for World
Meteorological Organisation - the publisher of the cited report and the
very reason for this thread - and that huge resources have been ploughed
into climate research over the past ten years.

That insufficient action has been taken is down to the politicians. You
know, the ones which hood-winked everybody over weapons of mass deception.


Exasperated Cheers,

keith



---
Operation Iraqi Liberation - OIL, for short.



Jon O'Rourke July 7th 03 11:48 AM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 
"Alastair McDonald" k wrote
in message
snip

One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming
is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem

snip

Hmm, two words, Hadley and Centre...
http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...odeltypes.html
http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...modeldata.html
http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...lks/index.html

Jon.



Keith Dancey July 7th 03 12:17 PM

WMO announcement on global warming and ext
 
In article , Norman Lynagh writes:


snipping excellent comments...

Also, despite the undoubted problems that will inevitably be caused by
global warming there are also bound to be benefits in some parts of the
world. It is inconceivable that changing climate can be all bad news.


Permian extinction. 95% of all known life forms exterminated following
a 6 degree Celcius increase in global temperatures, initiating a melting
of the methane hydrates, causing runaway greenhouse effect. The largest
mass extinction recorded in the history of life on Earth.

No Cheers,

keith





---
Operation Iraqi Liberation - OIL, for short.



Norman Lynagh July 7th 03 06:45 PM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 
In article , Alastair McDonald
k writes
In a way you are making my point for me. The warming is global. So
local conditions, such as those in Moscow and New Zealand can not
be used to determine the state of play. On the other hand,
meteorologist are only people, and it is not until dramatic events
affect them that they take the situation seriously. The highest June
tempertures ever recorded in Geneva will sound the alarm at the
WMO. Highest averages for June in Reading, cause the Met Office
to yawn, and remark on an unsual statistic. It is only when a
temperature of 40C is recorded in Britain that we will sit up and take
notice.

The point I am trying to make is that this is not just an interesting
psychological observation. It is also pinpoints a danger. If no
action regards global warming is taken until it is having a dramatic
effect, by that time it will be too late to prevent even worse
happenings. It is really the reponsibility of meteorologists to point
out to the public that the weather is chaotic. Because of this, in the
past they have not been sure whether extreme events were due to
GW, but now GW is here to stay and can only get worse. The
cold events are only part of natural variability.


Hmmmm........You seem to be arguing that the warmest June since 1976 in
England is a sign of global warming but the coldest June since 1941 in
Moscow is only part of the natural variability. Perhaps I am
misunderstanding you.

Norman.
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St. Giles
Buckinghamshire E-mail:


Alastair McDonald July 7th 03 09:01 PM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 
"Norman Lynagh" wrote in message
...

Hmmmm........You seem to be arguing that the warmest June since 1976 in
England is a sign of global warming but the coldest June since 1941 in
Moscow is only part of the natural variability. Perhaps I am
misunderstanding you.


Yes, I'm not arguing that the warmest June since 1976 in England is a sign
of global warming. I think you were the first to bring that up. I said "One
reason we in Britain are not concerned is because until now the effects
have not been marked." What I and the WMO are saying is that the
highest June temperatures in Geneva ever recorded AND many similar
happening in other parts of the world are a sign of global warming. I
readily agree that the warmest June since 1976 in England and the
coldest June since 1941 in Moscow is only part of the natural variability.

I do not have an anomally chart of surface air temperaturest but
there is this anomally chart of sea surface temperatures.
http://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/O...sstanomaly.gif

I think it is pretty obvious from that map, that although there IS natural
variability, the overall impression is of global warming, especially in the
northern hemisphere (if you can pardon that Irishism :-.)

Cheers, Alastair.



Norman.
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St. Giles
Buckinghamshire E-mail:





Alastair McDonald July 7th 03 09:55 PM

WMO announcement on global warming an
 
"Keith Dancey" wrote in message
...
In article , "Alastair McDonald"

k writes:
"Elena" wrote in message
. com...
I read The Independent Online:

"In a startling report, the WMO, which normally produces detailed
scientific reports and staid statistics at the year's end, highlighted
record extremes in weather and climate occurring all over the world in
recent weeks - and linked them to climate change.


I have waited to reply to your post because I wanted to prove that there
would be little interest from this group in a very important announcement.

One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming
is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem, and
this gives entirely the wrong message to the general public.



Rubbish.

This news group does NOT equate to meteorologists, let alone to climate
researchers (almost none of whom post here).

Who are you to claim that "meteorologists have remained uninterested in
the problem"?


Just an ordinary punter who can't remember hearing the BBC weather
men and women, far less than those from ITV, show much concern
about rising global tempertures, or their consequences such as fires in
Australia and the USA.

... that huge resources have been ploughed
into climate research over the past ten years.

That insufficient action has been taken is down to the politicians. You
know, the ones which hood-winked everybody over weapons of mass deception.


What I am saying is nobody trusts the politicians. Until the weathermen are
willing to put their mouths where their money is, then Kyoto has no chance
of success!

Cheers, Alastair.






John Hall July 7th 03 10:05 PM

WMO announcement on global warming an
 
In article ,
Alastair McDonald k
writes:
Just an ordinary punter who can't remember hearing the BBC weather men
and women, far less than those from ITV, show much concern about rising
global tempertures, or their consequences such as fires in Australia
and the USA.


They have about two minutes to give the forecast for the UK (which is
what their job is). They don't have time to digress onto other matters,
however important the topic might be.
--
John Hall "Across the wires the electric message came:
"He is no better, he is much the same."
["On the Illness of the Prince of Wales",
attr. Alfred Austin (1835-1913) ]

Dave Ludlow July 7th 03 10:15 PM

WMO announcement on global warming an
 
On Mon, 7 Jul 2003 21:55:44 +0100, "Alastair McDonald"
k wrote:

"Keith Dancey" wrote in message

That insufficient action has been taken is down to the politicians. You
know, the ones which hood-winked everybody over weapons of mass deception.


What I am saying is nobody trusts the politicians. Until the weathermen are
willing to put their mouths where their money is, then Kyoto has no chance
of success!


Shouldn't that be "American politicians"?

I think that meteorologists, amateurs and even lesser mortals like me
are well aware of the trend in mean and extreme temperatures and
weather. There's nothing startlingly new for me, in the Independent
report. From my limited knowledge of the subject it seems to be a
battle for the non-American politicians (and minority American ones)
to fight in public, with climatologists and meteorologists continuing
to prod in the background as evidence accumulates.

--
Dave

Michael McNeil July 7th 03 10:25 PM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 
"Alastair McDonald" k wrote in message ...
I have waited to reply to your post because I wanted to prove that there
would be little interest from this group in a very important announcement.


Some of us watched the heatwave in March miss the US out and thought:
One in the teeth for the gobal warmers.

One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming
is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem, and
this gives entirely the wrong message to the general public.


If there is one setion of the community that is interested it is
people that are interested in the weather. What are meteorologists to
do about it anyway? They give 3 day forecasts not ultimatums!

One reason we in Britain are not concerned is because until now the
effects have not been marked. I suspect that in Finland the weather
is extremely warm for the time of year, and that was one reason for
your interest in the Independent report. The actual press release
from the WMO can be seen at;
http://www.wmo.ch/web/Press/Press695.doc


We meteorologists in Britain do you mean or the man on the Clapham
omnibus?

I begins;

----------------

ACCORDING TO THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION,
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS MIGHT INCREASE

Geneva, 2 July 2003 - Record extremes in weather and climate events continue
to occur around the world.


So this report included the extreme cold spells in it's wake up call?

Recent scientific assessments indicate that, as
the global temperatures continue to warm due to climate change


Ah! No.

The thing to note is that the WMO is based in Geneva. Switzerland had its
hottest month for 250 years. It is only when the meteorologist at the WMO
suffer from global warming that they take any notice.


I though it was due to the school hols, a lull in global conflict and
the absence of medical maladies that brought it ou. It's just a matter
of timing. And funds are low.

Perhaps not then, eh?

The reason the world
is taking no action is that the east coast of North America, where the centre
of political power resides, has not yet suffered these record tempratures,


In fact quite the reverse and

when they do they will be able to turn up the air conditioning.



Or invade.... erm.... where can they invade to get cold?

The problem, as I see it, is that it is now too late to avoid disaster. When
the
glaciers and ice caps melt, the change in albedo will amplify the warming from
the carbon dioxide. Since they are melting now, even if we held CO2 at
today's levels the ice would continue to melt.


You don't see that a deep layer of ice will have less albedo than an
extensive blanket of cloud?

The current high temperatures, flooding, and droughts are only a taster of
what is to come, but this realistic view is regarded as nonsense by pundits
and public alike!


Not nonsense old boy. We have seen do gooders causing catastrophe
after catastrophe in their bungling attempts to set the world right.

There are unusual and nasty disasters going on left right and centre.
But is it global warming? If it isn't and your kind send everyone in
the wrong direction all we'll have is another UN wasted effort and
slipshod mismanagement at hideous expense, chasing its tail and
blaming all the right people.

Try and remember that a lot of the US was chopped down in the 19th
century. In order to compensate for the increasing damage to the land
they used fertiliser and then pesticides. Meanwhile most of its rivers
are constrained by the army and then of course we have the problems
caused by dams and land drains.

Did the report mention any way to get over these problems without
giving the land back to the injuns?

Alastair McDonald July 7th 03 10:34 PM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 
Thanks for those links. I have just look at them, after I sent the other
reply!

Cheers, Alastair.

"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
"Alastair McDonald" k wrote
in message
snip

One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming
is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem

snip

Hmm, two words, Hadley and Centre...
http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...odeltypes.html
http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...modeldata.html
http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...lks/index.html

Jon.





lawrence Jenkins July 7th 03 10:34 PM

WMO announcement on global warming an
 

What I am saying is nobody trusts the politicians. Until the weathermen

are
willing to put their mouths where their money is, then Kyoto has no chance
of success!

Cheers, Alastair.


Many politicians in europe and the UK see plenty of mileage in hoiking
tax's through the trojan horse of idiots like Livingstone. and this present
government.

I've said something similar before. When the bulk of the nation are still
still doing NVQ's at the age of 69.as they await their rare bus home amongst
the teeming throng of drug dealers and other gangsters. That mild January
night air will will at least give them some solace.

Natural/Man induced? GW far better than cooling for the majority, in a
future world where even civil servants will have to wait for their
retirement.


Visit my new web site

http//www.stillwaitingformybeachhutatwhistabletofloatof. com




Ian Watkins July 7th 03 11:47 PM

WMO announcement on global warming and extreme weather
 

"Alastair McDonald" k wrote
in message ...
Thanks for those links. I have just look at them, after I sent the other
reply!

Cheers, Alastair.


So Jon attempts to help you out by giving you some useful information, but
you go ahead and post a reply without first spending a few minutes reading
the information supplied ? And you want people to converse with you in an
intelligent manner ?

Pah, why am I wasting my time....

Cheers

Ian

--

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