Oh no......Will's having tatoo's of weather maps put on his chest and back
and he's changing his childrens names to Bracknell and Barometer!
Does that also mean he's going to cynically foul Andrew Bond so he can miss
the next three forecasts?


"Dave.C" wrote in message
...
You've now put yourself onto a Beckhamesque pedestal - waiting to be
brought down to earth.
;-))

Dave

In message , Will Hand
writes

================================================= ===================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================= ===================

Pardon me for blowing my own trumpet but my forecast issued last Thursday is
turning out to be a real "stonker" and probably one of my best.

" On Wednesday the cold front pushes south bringing a spell of rain to all
areas followed by showers. Turning colder from the north as southwesterly
winds turn into the northwest and then north and then strengthen. Snow
showers arriving in the Scottish mountains later in the day.
On Thursday a cold northerly airstream will spread south to all areas. In
the north and east the wind will be fresh to strong but lighter elsewhere.
Wintry showers over Scotland with snow above 1000 feet. A few rain showers
in eastern parts of England but many other places staying mainly dry with
only a few showers and some southern areas turning sunny and rather cold.
Turning frosty on thursday evening.

On Friday after a frosty start with one or two wintry showers in the east,
all areas look like turning fine and sunny as a ridge pushes in from the
west. However, cloud and rain arriving in the northwest later. Turning
milder again.

The weekend looks like being changeable and mainly mild with rain at times
followed by showers. "

At this rate I'll be able to set up a Premium area at Haytor meteorological
office.

Only joking Mr Employer :-)

Well what is going to happen next week. In a word - MILD. Hope Paul Bartlett
will be OK and doesn't injure himself stabbing the high with a pair of
dividers. Hope Mr Fish is getting on well with his new boss :-)

Main forecast will be issued tomorrow as usual.


Will.

Chief forecaster USW
--


" Visit Haytor meteorological office at
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm "
Will, well done. The snowfall fight on Thursday exceeded the total of
last winter. An horrendous 2CM it lay around for a couple of days.
All gone of course. Poorly forecast IMHO. Anyway great snowball fights
broke out among us all. And I at 62 am the youngest. We need more.
Cheers
paul.
By the way you will have noticed that this welcome fall I have not
linked to a severe/cold winter.
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS

"Paul Bartlett" wrote in message
...

By the way you will have noticed that this welcome fall I have not linked
to a severe/cold winter.
--

Yet. ;-) :-)

Victor

In message , Victor West
writes

"Paul Bartlett" wrote in message
...

By the way you will have noticed that this welcome fall I have not linked
to a severe/cold winter.
--

Yet. ;-) :-)
Thanks for the mail Victor.
My winter forecasts are based on ewp and CETs to a large extent. I used
cycles, periodicies and similarities.
With global warming these are not a reliable data base - hence no
forecast.
Global warming should lead to the so called 'Bartlett' high dominating
from the Azores to the Alps due to the general rise in contour heights.
But if that is true then surely pressure may also rise over Greenland
and (more importantly) Scandinavia.
I don't follow the dynamics that indicate otherwise.
Maybe the only way forward is to rely on numerical prediction - but
after T+144 they aren't very good. Let alone for a season. (See GFS).

As for the usual plethora of forecasts for a cold winter I refer you
back to 1960 when it all began, so it is something we just have to put
up with. Every year!

My mild winter forecasts have been good guidance since I was a founder
member of this newsgroup many years ago.

Mid November cold spells were common in the early 1970's and were all
followed by mild winters - but having said that we got more snow this
month (18th) than we had the whole of last winter - meaning nothing.

Feelings do not count; so when I say 80% chance of a mild winter and
only a 20% of a cold one is worthless.

Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS

================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

Well SSTs still favour frequent mid Atlantic highs Paul. I can live with that.
One of them could become a northern block. Perhaps sooner than we think grin ?

Will.
--

" Visit Haytor meteorological office at
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"Paul Bartlett" wrote in message
...
In message , Victor West
writes

"Paul Bartlett" wrote in message
...

By the way you will have noticed that this welcome fall I have not linked
to a severe/cold winter.
--

Yet. ;-) :-)
Thanks for the mail Victor.
My winter forecasts are based on ewp and CETs to a large extent. I used
cycles, periodicies and similarities.
With global warming these are not a reliable data base - hence no
forecast.
Global warming should lead to the so called 'Bartlett' high dominating
from the Azores to the Alps due to the general rise in contour heights.
But if that is true then surely pressure may also rise over Greenland
and (more importantly) Scandinavia.
I don't follow the dynamics that indicate otherwise.
Maybe the only way forward is to rely on numerical prediction - but
after T+144 they aren't very good. Let alone for a season. (See GFS).

As for the usual plethora of forecasts for a cold winter I refer you
back to 1960 when it all began, so it is something we just have to put
up with. Every year!

My mild winter forecasts have been good guidance since I was a founder
member of this newsgroup many years ago.

Mid November cold spells were common in the early 1970's and were all
followed by mild winters - but having said that we got more snow this
month (18th) than we had the whole of last winter - meaning nothing.

Feelings do not count; so when I say 80% chance of a mild winter and
only a 20% of a cold one is worthless.

Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS