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Old February 24th 05, 07:03 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default A cold Sunday in the South?

"Mike Tullett" wrote in message
...
On Thu, 24 Feb 2005 18:34:11 -0000, Phil Layton wrote in

In the few years I've been watching the ensemble charts I can't recall
anything quite like this: -13C at 850hPa as an ensemble mean:


http://64.246.48.81/pics/MT8_London_ens.png


There's precipitation around as well, which would add to the fun. I
suspect the BBC's 6s and 7s [for Sunday] might look a bit optomistic if
the GFS has its way!

Darren, I'm a little surprised at Sunday when you compare it to
http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/brack3.gif
with the 528DM line across the UK - later in the week seems colder - but

for
us in the SE dosent look like much snow with a NWly.


It fits in quite well with the GFS prog for Sunday, though I find it hard
to believe we will see that depth of cold:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn722.html


12Z EC ensemble data looked very similar. 510dam air digging in to the east
on
the finalised T+72 http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.



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Old February 24th 05, 07:43 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default A cold Sunday in the South?


"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
the finalised T+72 http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.


Interesting set of 'mini-fronts' on the brack2.gif Jon..between 528 & 510DM
air!
Phil


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Old February 24th 05, 07:43 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default A cold Sunday in the South?


"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
the finalised T+72 http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.


Interesting set of 'mini-fronts' on the brack2.gif Jon..between 528 & 510DM
air!
Phil


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Old February 24th 05, 07:43 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default A cold Sunday in the South?


"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
the finalised T+72 http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.


Interesting set of 'mini-fronts' on the brack2.gif Jon..between 528 & 510DM
air!
Phil


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Old February 24th 05, 07:43 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default A cold Sunday in the South?


"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
the finalised T+72 http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.


Interesting set of 'mini-fronts' on the brack2.gif Jon..between 528 & 510DM
air!
Phil




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Old February 24th 05, 07:53 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default A cold Sunday in the South?

Wasn't yesterday and today forecast to have -10 850 hpa a couple of days
ago? After today I'm sticking to more basic methods for a bit.

Dave
"Phil Layton" wrote in message
...

"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
the finalised T+72

http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.


Interesting set of 'mini-fronts' on the brack2.gif Jon..between 528 &

510DM
air!
Phil




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Old February 24th 05, 07:53 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default A cold Sunday in the South?

Wasn't yesterday and today forecast to have -10 850 hpa a couple of days
ago? After today I'm sticking to more basic methods for a bit.

Dave
"Phil Layton" wrote in message
...

"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
the finalised T+72

http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.


Interesting set of 'mini-fronts' on the brack2.gif Jon..between 528 &

510DM
air!
Phil




  #28   Report Post  
Old February 24th 05, 07:53 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default A cold Sunday in the South?

Wasn't yesterday and today forecast to have -10 850 hpa a couple of days
ago? After today I'm sticking to more basic methods for a bit.

Dave
"Phil Layton" wrote in message
...

"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
the finalised T+72

http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.


Interesting set of 'mini-fronts' on the brack2.gif Jon..between 528 &

510DM
air!
Phil




  #29   Report Post  
Old February 24th 05, 07:53 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2004
Posts: 1,242
Default A cold Sunday in the South?

Wasn't yesterday and today forecast to have -10 850 hpa a couple of days
ago? After today I'm sticking to more basic methods for a bit.

Dave
"Phil Layton" wrote in message
...

"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
the finalised T+72

http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.


Interesting set of 'mini-fronts' on the brack2.gif Jon..between 528 &

510DM
air!
Phil




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Old February 24th 05, 08:04 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 6,314
Default A cold Sunday in the South?

In article ,
Phil Layton writes:

"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
the finalised T+72 http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html

Jon.


Interesting set of 'mini-fronts' on the brack2.gif Jon..between 528 & 510DM
air!


ISTR a chart looking rather like that for the first snow of the Jan 1985
cold spell.
--
John Hall
"If a man will begin with certainties, he shall end in doubts;
but if he will be content to begin with doubts,
he shall end in certainties." Francis Bacon (1561-1626)


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