Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0559z,
11/03/05.

Much milder weather is on the way for the end of the week as pressure rises
over Europe to bring a SW'ly flow. As is often the case in these setups, the
further north and west you are the wetter it will be - the latest GFS shows
the SW'lies bringing largely dry weather for SE England.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
Unavailable today.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
Strong SW'lies cover much of the UK, with a high over SW France and a
secondary low to the west of Scotland. The far north of Scotland lies under
southerlies, but by T+144 thw whole of the UK lies under WSW'lies as the
European high builds.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
SW'lies cover all areas of the UK except northern Scotland, which lies under
southerlies. High pressure covers much of southern and central Europe, with
a trough to the NW of the UK. 850hPa temperatures vary from freezing over
northern Scotland (-7C over Shetland) to +6C over East Anglia. SW'lies
continue to affect the UK at T+144 as a low deepens to the north, followed
by more of the same on day 7. Day 8 sees a repeat performance and there's
little change on day 9, with SW'lies persisting. By day 10 a trough moves
eastwards, bringing SW'lies in advance and westerlies behind.
Ensembles: http://64.246.48.81/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
The London ensembles show excellent agreement of a rise in 850hPa
temperatures from -5C on the 14th to +7C by the 17th, followed by several
mild and largely dry days.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The UK lies under strong SW'lies, with a low to the north and high pressure
over Iberia and France. The winds become WSW'lies at T+144 as the high
builds, followed by westerlies at T+168 with the high by now over France.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...100000_120.gif
Complex low pressure lies to the north and west, bringing southerlies for
much of the UK. Two lows lie near Scotland at T+144, resulting in westerlies
for all, followed by westerlies and southerlies at T+168 as a trough crosses
the UK.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
The Japanese run shows a low to the west of the UK, leading to cold ESE'lies
for Scotland and milder SW'lies elsewhere. The low moves swiftly NE'wards at
T+144, with Scotland and Northern Ireland under northerlies. Elsewhere,
winds are SW'lies, followed by westerlies and WNW'lies for the UK on day 7.
By day 8 a weak ridge covers the North Sea, leading to ESE'lies and
easterlies for most.

NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
Strong to gale force WSW'lies dominate the UK, due to a low to the north of
Scotland. The low is replaced by another low at T+144, leading to further
WSW'lies.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The UK lies under a trough from the west, with southerlies and SE'lies as a
result.

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 11 Mar 2005 at 06:01:37, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0559z,
11/03/05.

Much milder weather is on the way for the end of the week as pressure rises
over Europe to bring a SW'ly flow. As is often the case in these setups, the
further north and west you are the wetter it will be - the latest GFS shows
the SW'lies bringing largely dry weather for SE England.

Just recently it seems that, wherever the High is sat, southern Britain
stays dry...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 11 Mar 2005 at 06:01:37, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0559z,
11/03/05.

Much milder weather is on the way for the end of the week as pressure rises
over Europe to bring a SW'ly flow. As is often the case in these setups, the
further north and west you are the wetter it will be - the latest GFS shows
the SW'lies bringing largely dry weather for SE England.

Just recently it seems that, wherever the High is sat, southern Britain
stays dry...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 11 Mar 2005 at 06:01:37, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0559z,
11/03/05.

Much milder weather is on the way for the end of the week as pressure rises
over Europe to bring a SW'ly flow. As is often the case in these setups, the
further north and west you are the wetter it will be - the latest GFS shows
the SW'lies bringing largely dry weather for SE England.

Just recently it seems that, wherever the High is sat, southern Britain
stays dry...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 11 Mar 2005 at 06:01:37, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0559z,
11/03/05.

Much milder weather is on the way for the end of the week as pressure rises
over Europe to bring a SW'ly flow. As is often the case in these setups, the
further north and west you are the wetter it will be - the latest GFS shows
the SW'lies bringing largely dry weather for SE England.

Just recently it seems that, wherever the High is sat, southern Britain
stays dry...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

On Sat, 12 Mar 2005 07:25:34 +0000, Paul Hyett
wrote:

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 11 Mar 2005 at 06:01:37, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0559z,
11/03/05.

Much milder weather is on the way for the end of the week as pressure rises
over Europe to bring a SW'ly flow. As is often the case in these setups, the
further north and west you are the wetter it will be - the latest GFS shows
the SW'lies bringing largely dry weather for SE England.

Just recently it seems that, wherever the High is sat, southern Britain
stays dry...

Yes-it has been pretty odd. I guess someone has mentioned on a thread
(I cannot read them all) similar occurences that have happened before.
The funny thing about our climate is that being on the edge of a
rather large pond produces all sorts of quirky things but few
exceptional events (in my estimation anyway). The unpredictability of
our climate is its joy but I have to say that I cannot recall the last
time we had a decent depression charging across southern England!
I wonder when we last had a 'dry' winter followed by a dry March and
April? or,for that matter, the same adding on May,June and July!!
Cheers Robin (Dorset)

On Sat, 12 Mar 2005 07:25:34 +0000, Paul Hyett
wrote:

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 11 Mar 2005 at 06:01:37, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0559z,
11/03/05.

Much milder weather is on the way for the end of the week as pressure rises
over Europe to bring a SW'ly flow. As is often the case in these setups, the
further north and west you are the wetter it will be - the latest GFS shows
the SW'lies bringing largely dry weather for SE England.

Just recently it seems that, wherever the High is sat, southern Britain
stays dry...

Yes-it has been pretty odd. I guess someone has mentioned on a thread
(I cannot read them all) similar occurences that have happened before.
The funny thing about our climate is that being on the edge of a
rather large pond produces all sorts of quirky things but few
exceptional events (in my estimation anyway). The unpredictability of
our climate is its joy but I have to say that I cannot recall the last
time we had a decent depression charging across southern England!
I wonder when we last had a 'dry' winter followed by a dry March and
April? or,for that matter, the same adding on May,June and July!!
Cheers Robin (Dorset)

On Sat, 12 Mar 2005 07:25:34 +0000, Paul Hyett
wrote:

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 11 Mar 2005 at 06:01:37, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0559z,
11/03/05.

Much milder weather is on the way for the end of the week as pressure rises
over Europe to bring a SW'ly flow. As is often the case in these setups, the
further north and west you are the wetter it will be - the latest GFS shows
the SW'lies bringing largely dry weather for SE England.

Just recently it seems that, wherever the High is sat, southern Britain
stays dry...

Yes-it has been pretty odd. I guess someone has mentioned on a thread
(I cannot read them all) similar occurences that have happened before.
The funny thing about our climate is that being on the edge of a
rather large pond produces all sorts of quirky things but few
exceptional events (in my estimation anyway). The unpredictability of
our climate is its joy but I have to say that I cannot recall the last
time we had a decent depression charging across southern England!
I wonder when we last had a 'dry' winter followed by a dry March and
April? or,for that matter, the same adding on May,June and July!!
Cheers Robin (Dorset)

On Sat, 12 Mar 2005 07:25:34 +0000, Paul Hyett
wrote:

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 11 Mar 2005 at 06:01:37, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0559z,
11/03/05.

Much milder weather is on the way for the end of the week as pressure rises
over Europe to bring a SW'ly flow. As is often the case in these setups, the
further north and west you are the wetter it will be - the latest GFS shows
the SW'lies bringing largely dry weather for SE England.

Just recently it seems that, wherever the High is sat, southern Britain
stays dry...

Yes-it has been pretty odd. I guess someone has mentioned on a thread
(I cannot read them all) similar occurences that have happened before.
The funny thing about our climate is that being on the edge of a
rather large pond produces all sorts of quirky things but few
exceptional events (in my estimation anyway). The unpredictability of
our climate is its joy but I have to say that I cannot recall the last
time we had a decent depression charging across southern England!
I wonder when we last had a 'dry' winter followed by a dry March and
April? or,for that matter, the same adding on May,June and July!!
Cheers Robin (Dorset)

In article ,
Robin Nicholson writes:
I wonder when we last had a 'dry' winter followed by a dry March and
April? or,for that matter, the same adding on May,June and July!!

I think 1976 was one such instance. Without checking, I don't know if
there has been another one since.
--
John Hall
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism
by those who have not got it."
George Bernard Shaw