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Old December 12th 04, 11:36 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Snow on the horizon ?


================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

Just for the Google record this is what the TWO senior forecaster Brian Gaze
said today Sunday 12 Dec on his website www.theweatheroutlook.com

" The long spell of settled weather is set to end next week as high pressure is
pushed out of way atlantic frontal systems. This will bring a spell of more
unsettled and mobile weather for a time with fluctuating temperatures. Another
significant change is then expected during the third week of the month with much
colder conditions pushing down across the UK. This is what our own long range
forecast suggested at the beginning of December, and it now being backed up by
some of the global medium range forecasting models. With this level of agreement
we are confident of this happening. The real problem is forecasting exactly when
the coldest weather will envelop the UK and whether it will coincide with
Christmas. At the moment our view is the chances of a the UK having a white
christmas this year are significantly better than average. Brian Gaze,
TheWeatherOutlook's senior forecaster said, "The second half of December looks
set to bring a taste of winter to the UK and after the recent mild and settled
conditions this may well come as a shock to many people. We think snow may well
fall in large parts of the UK with northern and eastern areas likely to see the
most. "

and this is what MetCheck were saying on Andrew Bond's homepage www.metcheck.com
on Sat 11th

" Just two weeks to go until the big day and all eyes are on the latest weather
models with regards to the chance of seeing snowfall on Christmas day.
At present, there is a pretty good chance for many areas not just to see snow
over the Christmas period, but also in the run up too.

The situation is pretty volatile at present, however all the ensemble forecasts
predict a return to cold cyclonic conditions with frequent Northerly spells. The
first of the cold spells is expected towards the end of this week, the
uncertainty then begins, due to problems handling a new development off the East
coast of America the GFS continues a return to cyclonic conditions, however this
is very low confidence as many of the ensemble forecasts still go for another
Northerly over Christmas. "

And what are the Met Office www.metoffice.gov.uk saying - well they are keeping
schtum !

" Each year, as Christmas draws near, the nation wonders if we'll see snow on 25
December. Discover the origins of this obsession and when snow has fallen in
recent years...
"

LOL


Will.
--


" Visit Haytor meteorological office at
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm "
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DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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