French Storms (UK later)
 

Currently a very active area of mostly high based thunderstorms over
western France. Gust of 31KT reported at Gognac. Sferics
http://217.160.75.104/wz/pics/Rsfloc.gif

Looking ahead more TS activity is likely over the south of the UK on
Tuesday and Wednesday as the upper vortex to the west of Spain moves NE
and engages the 20+C theta-w/+564DAM 500/1000 TT plume over western
France. Finalised T+60 http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack1a.gif

Jon.



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French Storms (UK later)
 

Shows up very clearly on the NOAA-15 pass at 08:00 this morning
http://homepage.ntlworld.com/geoff.h...260701-msa.jpg

Geoff

"Jon O Rourke" wrote in message
news:926782c7aafeb76cc3b60a9d0d75f97e.62236@mygate .mailgate.org...
Currently a very active area of mostly high based thunderstorms over
western France. Gust of 31KT reported at Gognac. Sferics
http://217.160.75.104/wz/pics/Rsfloc.gif

Looking ahead more TS activity is likely over the south of the UK on
Tuesday and Wednesday as the upper vortex to the west of Spain moves NE
and engages the 20+C theta-w/+564DAM 500/1000 TT plume over western
France. Finalised T+60 http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack1a.gif

Jon.



--
Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG

French Storms (UK later)
 

Looking ahead more TS activity is likely over the south of the UK on
Tuesday and Wednesday as the upper vortex to the west of Spain moves NE
and engages the 20+C theta-w/+564DAM 500/1000 TT plume over western
France. Finalised T+60 http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack1a.gif

Jon.


Dunno if this is a glitch but the GFS seems to be producing some extreme
rainfall events for the SE-
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
12Z run ,upto 85mm on the 29th.
Never seen that before ,

--
regards,
David

add '17' to Waghorne to reply

French Storms (UK later)
 

LOL.. I hope so!

======================================
rainfall events for the SE-
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
12Z run ,upto 85mm on the 29th.
Never seen that before ,

--
regards,
David

add '17' to Waghorne to reply

French Storms (UK later)
 

"Waghorn" wrote in message
...

Dunno if this is a glitch but the GFS seems to be producing some extreme
rainfall events for the SE-
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
12Z run ,upto 85mm on the 29th.
Never seen that before ,


Nor have I. The 12Z EC ensembles are similarly 'spikey' but not to the
extreme of the GFS.

18Z GFS 3 hour totals to 18Z Tuesday http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rmgfs483.gif

Clearly the potential is there for some very high totals with forecast
profiles indicating tops to 40000ft again, probably more with overshoots.

Jon.