T+108: Any chance of any improvement?
 

Don't like the look of the models this morning, all seem to point to a
low over the south of England with possible implications on an outdoor
event I had organised in the New Forest being ruined, however:

a)I am aware it is T+108. Is it worth me cancelling it at this stage or
are the charts variable enough at this stage that the low might end up
over the North Sea or France nstead;

b)Will it be merely a showery low, in which case it's worth still going
ahead?

Don't much like the look of the models next week either (GFS +120),
those quiet northerlies we had yesterday seem to have disappeared. With
8 days of very hot, very sunny weather all bunched together but nothing
else, could this be another in the sequence of disappointing months of
July since the millennium? Seems years like 1983, 1984, 1989, 1990,
1994, 1995 are a distant memory...

Oh well, August and September have (in general) had a better decent
track record...

Nick