On Sep 11, 6:21 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Sep 7, 5:01 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Bearing in mind that these two phases:28th Aug 10:35 and 4th Sept
02:33 are similar and that the following one 11th Sept 12:44 is nearly
a classic wet one for the UK, it might be an idea for disaster
watchers to keep on station for the next week or so.

I imagine that another strong hurricane will strike the Caribbean
somewhere near Eluthera, Bahamas and Florida perhaps? Not that I am
much good at predicting where or even what. It could be a cyclone in
the Bay of Bengal or a major quake anywhere.

If I were a miner I'd take an holiday though. Somewhere quite far from
Jamaica. Somewhere that I wouldn't have to go by plane would be good.

Looks like things are safe for now:

"Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook 000 ABNT20 KNHC 110228 TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS TCP/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
1030 pm edt Mon Sep 10 2007 for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and
the Gulf of Mexico...

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Gabrielle...located about 230 miles south-southeast of
Nantucket Massachusetts.

A broad area of low pressure...associated with a tropical wave...is
located about 1300 miles east of the Windward Islands and is
accompanied by a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system
continues to show some signs of organization...and it could develop
into a tropical depression within a day or two as it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

Although cloudiness and showers associated with a tropical wave have
diminished this evening over the extreme Caribbean Sea... Disorganized
showers and thunderstorms persist just north of the Leeward Islands.
Significant development of this system is not anticipated as it moves
west-northwestward at about 15 mph.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure
over the western Gulf of Mexico remain disorganized. However...some
development of this system is still possible until it moves over land
within the next day or so.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next
48 hours. $$ forecaster Roberts/Pasch"

http://www.hurricanezone.net/atlanti...ries-bulletins...

But we had an unusual spat of very windy weather yesterday. Unusual
for Stoke that is. It is seldom breezy here never mind windy. No idea
if that holds any significance. It's too rare a phenomenon. (It is
associated with a change of lunar phases though.)

This morning however, totally different weather is the more common
mist. Nothing on the box about it that I heard but there was a mention
that 'cloud at first will clear up to a sunny interval later.'

Just a reminder that mists, according to the Weatherlawyer, fortell
hurricanes. Perhaps not in the North Atlantic then?
But I think: "Maybe."

What a miss I had with this one:
http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...020d85dc8133/#

Can I rectify matters?

Let's have a look at what else is in store, starting with December
2007:

1 Dec 12:44;
This one is a low cloudy spell turning nasty. Troughs from Europe will
extend to the region of the UK. Small short lived lows will appear on
some days.

9 Dec 17:40;
There will tend to be high pressure areas to the west of the UK. But
this is winter and such things tend to affect Scandinavia and lower
latitudes rather than reach the UK.

17 Dec 10:17
This is an awkward one. I have it associated with the "And?" list of
times for: 4 and 10 O'clock. It's almost on the cusp on a fine spell
if the distance produced by nearly ¾ of an hour; some 12 to 24 degrees
east. A Scandinavian High perhaps? This is more likely to produce a
"col" with perhaps fingers of ridges crossing the UK.

However if a large Asiatic cyclone is produced, though there is no
particular reason to believe there might, the time effect will be that
of one for some 4 hours earlier, which would produce a wet spell.

And if that should happen then the following spells could be very
interesting. Always assuming that there is no super cyclone to throw
them off too. Even so there are two consecutive wet spells next:

24 Dec 01:16
This is a fairly powerful Low over the UK or if too far north or south
then extensive troughs will be a feature of this spell.

31 Dec 07:51
The Low produced by this will be well to the west of the UK. At high
latitudes these tend to stall around Greenland and Iceland and can
produce sunny weather in parts of the UK.

And if this run should break? Or more likely in this next case, can it
push over a weaker spell? First of all major earthquakes are not
uncommon with the solstice. And in the UK severe storms were the norm
around that time not so long ago.

8 Jan 11:37
This is a spell that will produce -or can produce, an anticyclone near
the UK. Because of the time; 37 minutes past the hour it will not be
central but more likely to extend a ridge out towards us from the
Atlantic. It is an unstable spell. A number of spells are when the
number of minutes is near 20 or 40 past.

So this ia time tyo be on one's guard wherever you are.

On Sep 13, 6:31 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Sep 11, 6:21 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:



On Sep 7, 5:01 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Bearing in mind that these two phases:28th Aug 10:35 and 4th Sept
02:33 are similar and that the following one 11th Sept 12:44 is nearly
a classic wet one for the UK, it might be an idea for disaster
watchers to keep on station for the next week or so.

I imagine that another strong hurricane will strike the Caribbean
somewhere near Eluthera, Bahamas and Florida perhaps? Not that I am
much good at predicting where or even what. It could be a cyclone in
the Bay of Bengal or a major quake anywhere.

If I were a miner I'd take an holiday though. Somewhere quite far from
Jamaica. Somewhere that I wouldn't have to go by plane would be good.

Looks like things are safe for now:

"Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook 000 ABNT20 KNHC 110228 TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS TCP/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
1030 pm edt Mon Sep 10 2007 for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and
the Gulf of Mexico...

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Gabrielle...located about 230 miles south-southeast of
Nantucket Massachusetts.

A broad area of low pressure...associated with a tropical wave...is
located about 1300 miles east of the Windward Islands and is
accompanied by a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system
continues to show some signs of organization...and it could develop
into a tropical depression within a day or two as it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

Although cloudiness and showers associated with a tropical wave have
diminished this evening over the extreme Caribbean Sea... Disorganized
showers and thunderstorms persist just north of the Leeward Islands.
Significant development of this system is not anticipated as it moves
west-northwestward at about 15 mph.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure
over the western Gulf of Mexico remain disorganized. However...some
development of this system is still possible until it moves over land
within the next day or so.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next
48 hours. $$ forecaster Roberts/Pasch"

http://www.hurricanezone.net/atlanti...ries-bulletins...

But we had an unusual spat of very windy weather yesterday. Unusual
for Stoke that is. It is seldom breezy here never mind windy. No idea
if that holds any significance. It's too rare a phenomenon. (It is
associated with a change of lunar phases though.)

This morning however, totally different weather is the more common
mist. Nothing on the box about it that I heard but there was a mention
that 'cloud at first will clear up to a sunny interval later.'

Just a reminder that mists, according to the Weatherlawyer, fortell
hurricanes. Perhaps not in the North Atlantic then?
But I think: "Maybe."

What a miss I had with this one:http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...se_frm/thread/...

Can I rectify matters?

Let's have a look at what else is in store, starting with December
2007:

1 Dec 12:44;
This one is a low cloudy spell turning nasty. Troughs from Europe will
extend to the region of the UK. Small short lived lows will appear on
some days.

9 Dec 17:40;
There will tend to be high pressure areas to the west of the UK. But
this is winter and such things tend to affect Scandinavia and lower
latitudes rather than reach the UK.

17 Dec 10:17
This is an awkward one. I have it associated with the "And?" list of
times for: 4 and 10 O'clock. It's almost on the cusp on a fine spell
if the distance produced by nearly ¾ of an hour; some 12 to 24 degrees
east. A Scandinavian High perhaps? This is more likely to produce a
"col" with perhaps fingers of ridges crossing the UK.

However if a large Asiatic cyclone is produced, though there is no
particular reason to believe there might, the time effect will be that
of one for some 4 hours earlier, which would produce a wet spell.

And if that should happen then the following spells could be very
interesting. Always assuming that there is no super cyclone to throw
them off too. Even so there are two consecutive wet spells next:

24 Dec 01:16
This is a fairly powerful Low over the UK or if too far north or south
then extensive troughs will be a feature of this spell.

31 Dec 07:51
The Low produced by this will be well to the west of the UK. At high
latitudes these tend to stall around Greenland and Iceland and can
produce sunny weather in parts of the UK.

And if this run should break? Or more likely in this next case, can it
push over a weaker spell? First of all major earthquakes are not
uncommon with the solstice. And in the UK severe storms were the norm
around that time not so long ago.

8 Jan 11:37
This is a spell that will produce -or can produce, an anticyclone near
the UK. Because of the time; 37 minutes past the hour it will not be
central but more likely to extend a ridge out towards us from the
Atlantic. It is an unstable spell. A number of spells are when the
number of minutes is near 20 or 40 past.

So this is a time to be on one's guard wherever you are.

15 Jan 19:46
And ??

22 Jan 13:35
Very wet.

30 Jan 05:03
Anticyclonic.

7 Feb 03:44
14 Feb 03:34
21 Feb 03:31
29 Feb 02:18
I covered this lot previously.

7 Mar 17:14
Anticyclonic, probably to the west.

14 Mar 10:46
Anticyclonic, probably to the east.

21 Mar 18:40
Another break in the proceedings. And yet another weak spell doing so.
This is a dull overcast spell but on the cusp of something else that I
am not sure of.

29 Mar 21:47
Damn I hate these awkward ones.

6 Apr 03:55
And ?

12 Apr 18:32
Similar to that for the 21st of March. Perhaps a col with troughs
coming in from the Atlantic.

20 Apr 10:25
Feck, this is hard work. Sod it. I think I'll just do the easy ones.

On Sep 11, 6:21 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Sep 7, 5:01 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Bearing in mind that these two phases:28th Aug 10:35 and 4th Sept
02:33 are similar and that the following one 11th Sept 12:44 is nearly
a classic wet one for the UK, it might be an idea for disaster
watchers to keep on station for the next week or so.

I imagine that another strong hurricane will strike the Caribbean
somewhere near Eluthera, Bahamas and Florida perhaps? Not that I am
much good at predicting where or even what. It could be a cyclone in
the Bay of Bengal or a major quake anywhere.

If I were a miner I'd take an holiday though. Somewhere quite far from
Jamaica. Somewhere that I wouldn't have to go by plane would be good.

Looks like things are safe for now:

"Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook 000 ABNT20 KNHC 110228 TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS TCP/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
1030 pm edt Mon Sep 10 2007 for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and
the Gulf of Mexico...

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Gabrielle...located about 230 miles south-southeast of
Nantucket Massachusetts.

A broad area of low pressure...associated with a tropical wave...is
located about 1300 miles east of the Windward Islands and is
accompanied by a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system
continues to show some signs of organization...and it could develop
into a tropical depression within a day or two as it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

Although cloudiness and showers associated with a tropical wave have
diminished this evening over the extreme Caribbean Sea... Disorganized
showers and thunderstorms persist just north of the Leeward Islands.
Significant development of this system is not anticipated as it moves
west-northwestward at about 15 mph.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure
over the western Gulf of Mexico remain disorganized. However...some
development of this system is still possible until it moves over land
within the next day or so.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next
48 hours. $$ forecaster Roberts/Pasch"

http://www.hurricanezone.net/atlanti...ries-bulletins...

But we had an unusual spat of very windy weather yesterday. Unusual
for Stoke that is. It is seldom breezy here never mind windy. No idea
if that holds any significance. It's too rare a phenomenon. (It is
associated with a change of lunar phases though.)

This morning however, totally different weather is the more common
mist. Nothing on the box about it that I heard but there was a mention
that 'cloud at first will clear up to a sunny interval later.'

Just a reminder that mists, according to the Weatherlawyer, fortell
hurricanes. Perhaps not in the North Atlantic then?
But I think: "Maybe."

Another windy day here along with the lower back ache and clicking
left shoulder, even stiff neck I associate with earthquakes. We'll
have to see what comes tomorrow.

Meanwhile, a band of countries stretching from the Indian to the
Atlantic Oceans has been suffering flooding on a massive scale. (Thus
dry or wet the weather will pay its debt.)

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/africa/6997141.stm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/mediaselector/c...&bbram=1&asb=1

At home the BBC is not what it should be. (It has an infection of the
Alistair Campbells I believe.) It remains to be seen how good their
foreign reporting is. (Of course Weatherlawyer's discerning fans will
wonder; "Was the foreign reporting ever any good?")