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#1
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To confirm what several other people posted,
the continental USA is warming faster than the rest of the globe. According to the satellite Microwave Sounding Unit data from Remote Sensing Systems, the globe from 82 degrees North to 70 degrees South latitude warmed at 1.8 K per century, while the continental USA warmed at 2.8K per century. (RSS avoids a known problem MSU that occurs when the microwave beam reflects off ice surfaces by excluding the poles.) Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West and heartland than more most regions. These lower troposphere data come from the third and ninth columns of: http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...cean_v03_1.txt Though the continental USA is only about 1.5% of the globe's area, there are more than enough data to support this statement. =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Call: lm(formula = LaN825S700 ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.41589 -0.11629 -0.00948 0.10907 0.73922 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -35.1291 2.2028 -15.9 2e-16 *** YEARMON 0.0177 0.0011 16.0 2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.175 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.423, Adjusted R-squared: 0.421 F-statistic: 255 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 2e-16 - - - - fitted.model - lm(ContUSA ~ YEARMON) summary(fitted.model) Call: lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -3.0723 -0.4895 0.0287 0.5624 2.2018 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -55.26373 10.64006 -5.19 3.5e-07 *** YEARMON 0.02779 0.00534 5.21 3.3e-07 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.844 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0721, Adjusted R-squared: 0.0694 F-statistic: 27.1 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 3.29e-07 |
#2
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On Apr 5, 4:11 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
To confirm what several other people posted, the continental USA is warming faster than the rest of the globe. According to the satellite Microwave Sounding Unit data from Remote Sensing Systems, the globe from 82 degrees North to 70 degrees South latitude warmed at 1.8 K per century, while the continental USA warmed at 2.8K per century. (RSS avoids a known problem MSU that occurs when the microwave beam reflects off ice surfaces by excluding the poles.) Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West and heartland than more most regions. These lower troposphere data come from the third and ninth columns of: http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...onthly_MSU_AMS... Though the continental USA is only about 1.5% of the globe's area, there are more than enough data to support this statement. =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Call: lm(formula = LaN825S700 ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.41589 -0.11629 -0.00948 0.10907 0.73922 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -35.1291 2.2028 -15.9 2e-16 *** YEARMON 0.0177 0.0011 16.0 2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.175 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.423, Adjusted R-squared: 0.421 F-statistic: 255 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 2e-16 - - - - fitted.model - lm(ContUSA ~ YEARMON) summary(fitted.model) Call: lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -3.0723 -0.4895 0.0287 0.5624 2.2018 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -55.26373 10.64006 -5.19 3.5e-07 *** YEARMON 0.02779 0.00534 5.21 3.3e-07 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.844 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0721, Adjusted R-squared: 0.0694 F-statistic: 27.1 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 3.29e-07 The temperatures are highly suspect Google "Watts Up" |
#3
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On Apr 5, 8:21*am, chemist wrote:
On Apr 5, 4:11 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: To confirm what several other people posted, the continental USA is warming faster than the rest of the globe. According to the satellite Microwave Sounding Unit data from Remote Sensing Systems, the globe from 82 degrees North to 70 degrees South latitude warmed at 1.8 K per century, while the continental USA warmed at 2.8K per century. *(RSS avoids a known problem MSU that occurs when the microwave beam reflects off ice surfaces by excluding the poles.) Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West and heartland than more most regions. These lower troposphere data come from the third and ninth columns of: http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...onthly_MSU_AMS... Though the continental USA is only about 1.5% of the globe's area, there are more than enough data to support this statement. =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Call: lm(formula = LaN825S700 ~ YEARMON) Residuals: * * *Min * * * 1Q * Median * * * 3Q * * *Max -0.41589 -0.11629 -0.00948 *0.10907 *0.73922 Coefficients: * * * * * * Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -35.1291 * * 2.2028 * -15.9 * 2e-16 *** YEARMON * * * 0.0177 * * 0.0011 * *16.0 * 2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: *0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.175 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.423, * * *Adjusted R-squared: 0.421 F-statistic: *255 on 1 and 349 DF, *p-value: 2e-16 - - - - *fitted.model - lm(ContUSA ~ YEARMON) summary(fitted.model) Call: lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON) Residuals: * * Min * * *1Q *Median * * *3Q * * Max -3.0723 -0.4895 *0.0287 *0.5624 *2.2018 Coefficients: * * * * * * *Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -55.26373 * 10.64006 * -5.19 *3.5e-07 *** YEARMON * * * 0.02779 * *0.00534 * *5.21 *3.3e-07 *** --- Signif. codes: *0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.844 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0721, * * Adjusted R-squared: 0.0694 F-statistic: 27.1 on 1 and 349 DF, *p-value: 3.29e-07 The temperatures are highly suspect *Google "Watts Up" What exactly was I supposed to see about RSS MSU data from that exercise? Life is too short to play 20 questions with a total jerk, so do you have a URL, Tom? |
#4
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On Apr 5, 5:05 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
On Apr 5, 8:21 am, chemist wrote: On Apr 5, 4:11 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: To confirm what several other people posted, the continental USA is warming faster than the rest of the globe. According to the satellite Microwave Sounding Unit data from Remote Sensing Systems, the globe from 82 degrees North to 70 degrees South latitude warmed at 1.8 K per century, while the continental USA warmed at 2.8K per century. (RSS avoids a known problem MSU that occurs when the microwave beam reflects off ice surfaces by excluding the poles.) Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West and heartland than more most regions. These lower troposphere data come from the third and ninth columns of: http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...onthly_MSU_AMS... Though the continental USA is only about 1.5% of the globe's area, there are more than enough data to support this statement. =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Call: lm(formula = LaN825S700 ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.41589 -0.11629 -0.00948 0.10907 0.73922 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -35.1291 2.2028 -15.9 2e-16 *** YEARMON 0.0177 0.0011 16.0 2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.175 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.423, Adjusted R-squared: 0.421 F-statistic: 255 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 2e-16 - - - - fitted.model - lm(ContUSA ~ YEARMON) summary(fitted.model) Call: lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -3.0723 -0.4895 0.0287 0.5624 2.2018 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -55.26373 10.64006 -5.19 3.5e-07 *** YEARMON 0.02779 0.00534 5.21 3.3e-07 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.844 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0721, Adjusted R-squared: 0.0694 F-statistic: 27.1 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 3.29e-07 The temperatures are highly suspect Google "Watts Up" What exactly was I supposed to see about RSS MSU data from that exercise? Life is too short to play 20 questions with a total jerk, so do you have a URL, Tom? RSS MSU is also cooked to a small extent. |
#5
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Roger Coppock wrote:
To confirm what several other people posted, the continental USA is warming faster than the rest of the globe. According to the satellite Microwave Sounding Unit data from Remote Sensing Systems, the globe from 82 degrees North to 70 degrees South latitude warmed at 1.8 K per century, while the continental USA warmed at 2.8K per century. (RSS avoids a known problem MSU that occurs when the microwave beam reflects off ice surfaces by excluding the poles.) Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West and heartland than more most regions. But Roger, the great drought has occurred in the Southeast; you know, the region of the US that has more USHCN stations showing a negative slope indicating cooling. The West has had a LOT of snow this year and the Midwest has had flooding. Maybe your San Diego area is different. These lower troposphere data come from the third and ninth columns of: http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...cean_v03_1.txt Though the continental USA is only about 1.5% of the globe's area, there are more than enough data to support this statement. =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Call: lm(formula = LaN825S700 ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.41589 -0.11629 -0.00948 0.10907 0.73922 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -35.1291 2.2028 -15.9 2e-16 *** YEARMON 0.0177 0.0011 16.0 2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.175 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.423, Adjusted R-squared: 0.421 F-statistic: 255 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 2e-16 - - - - fitted.model - lm(ContUSA ~ YEARMON) summary(fitted.model) Call: lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -3.0723 -0.4895 0.0287 0.5624 2.2018 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -55.26373 10.64006 -5.19 3.5e-07 *** YEARMON 0.02779 0.00534 5.21 3.3e-07 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.844 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0721, Adjusted R-squared: 0.0694 F-statistic: 27.1 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 3.29e-07 |
#6
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On Apr 5, 9:15*am, chemist wrote:
On Apr 5, 5:05 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 5, 8:21 am, chemist wrote: On Apr 5, 4:11 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: To confirm what several other people posted, the continental USA is warming faster than the rest of the globe. According to the satellite Microwave Sounding Unit data from Remote Sensing Systems, the globe from 82 degrees North to 70 degrees South latitude warmed at 1.8 K per century, while the continental USA warmed at 2.8K per century. *(RSS avoids a known problem MSU that occurs when the microwave beam reflects off ice surfaces by excluding the poles.) Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West and heartland than more most regions. These lower troposphere data come from the third and ninth columns of: http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...onthly_MSU_AMS.... Though the continental USA is only about 1.5% of the globe's area, there are more than enough data to support this statement. =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Call: lm(formula = LaN825S700 ~ YEARMON) Residuals: * * *Min * * * 1Q * Median * * * 3Q * * *Max -0.41589 -0.11629 -0.00948 *0.10907 *0.73922 Coefficients: * * * * * * Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -35.1291 * * 2.2028 * -15.9 * 2e-16 *** YEARMON * * * 0.0177 * * 0.0011 * *16.0 * 2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: *0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.175 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.423, * * *Adjusted R-squared: 0.421 F-statistic: *255 on 1 and 349 DF, *p-value: 2e-16 - - - - *fitted.model - lm(ContUSA ~ YEARMON) summary(fitted.model) Call: lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON) Residuals: * * Min * * *1Q *Median * * *3Q * * Max -3.0723 -0.4895 *0.0287 *0.5624 *2.2018 Coefficients: * * * * * * *Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -55.26373 * 10.64006 * -5.19 *3.5e-07 *** YEARMON * * * 0.02779 * *0.00534 * *5.21 *3.3e-07 *** --- Signif. codes: *0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.844 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0721, * * Adjusted R-squared: 0.0694 F-statistic: 27.1 on 1 and 349 DF, *p-value: 3.29e-07 The temperatures are highly suspect *Google "Watts Up" What exactly was I supposed to see about RSS MSU data from that exercise? *Life is too short to play 20 questions with a total jerk, so do you have a URL, Tom? RSS MSU is also cooked to a small extent. Strike two! Cooked how, prey tell? |
#7
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![]() "chemist" wrote in message ... On Apr 5, 4:11 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: To confirm what several other people posted, the continental USA is warming faster than the rest of the globe. According to the satellite Microwave Sounding Unit data from Remote Sensing Systems, the globe from 82 degrees North to 70 degrees South latitude warmed at 1.8 K per century, while the continental USA warmed at 2.8K per century. (RSS avoids a known problem MSU that occurs when the microwave beam reflects off ice surfaces by excluding the poles.) Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West and heartland than more most regions. These lower troposphere data come from the third and ninth columns of: http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...onthly_MSU_AMS... Though the continental USA is only about 1.5% of the globe's area, there are more than enough data to support this statement. =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Call: lm(formula = LaN825S700 ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.41589 -0.11629 -0.00948 0.10907 0.73922 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -35.1291 2.2028 -15.9 2e-16 *** YEARMON 0.0177 0.0011 16.0 2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.175 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.423, Adjusted R-squared: 0.421 F-statistic: 255 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 2e-16 - - - - fitted.model - lm(ContUSA ~ YEARMON) summary(fitted.model) Call: lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -3.0723 -0.4895 0.0287 0.5624 2.2018 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -55.26373 10.64006 -5.19 3.5e-07 *** YEARMON 0.02779 0.00534 5.21 3.3e-07 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.844 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0721, Adjusted R-squared: 0.0694 F-statistic: 27.1 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 3.29e-07 The temperatures are highly suspect Google "Watts Up" http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com...ment-with-uah/ Feb 2008 RSS global temperature anomaly near zero and in good agreement with UAH Last week I posted the University of Alabama, Huntsville (UAH) Microwave Sounder Unit (MSU) global temperature anomaly data for February 2008 with a note that it showed only a marginal increase from January 2008 data, and remained near zero. The February 2008 global temperature anomaly data from RSS (Remote Sensing Systems of Santa Rosa, CA) is out, and is in good agreement with that. You can see it the raw RSS data yourself here First here is UAH satellite derived temperature anomaly. For February 2008, it shows a slight rebound from the -0.046°C value of January 2008 to 0.016°C for a slight change (?T) of .062°C upwards. or: http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com...etrics-part-2/ A look at temperature anomalies for all 4 global metrics: Part 2 NOTE: This article was to be followed by a part 3, which has not been completed yet due to my attention being turned to other more important work. I will revisit this series at a future date. - Anthony Before I left on my trip to New York, I published part 1 of this series looking at the temperature anomalies between the 4 global temperature metrics from 1979-January 2008. The first post I made on the subject used the unadjusted global temperature anomaly data to do the comparisons. I also wanted to do the same comparisons using anomaly data adjusted to a common reference baseline. But unfortunately ran out of time to complete all of the histograms for the next data set before I left on the trip. In the meantime, while I was traveling, the first post, missing the all important part 2, generated some controversy, and some accusations that I was misrepresenting the data by not showing it adjusted to a common baseline. It was a mistake on my part to not have them both available at the same time, and for that I apologize to anyone whom was misled by the lack of part2. Atmoz did a quick study of the issue also and illustrated what I wanted to do for part2 with a simple graph, and while it would have been easy to simply use his, I wanted to complete what I started using the same presentation style. Recognizing that having part1 only was misleading to some, I put part 1 back on the shelf until I could return from my trip and finish part 2, so that I could show what happens when all four metrics are adjusted to the same base period. That is complete, the Part1 article has been restored, and below is the new adjusted information as it compares to part1. Here is the first graph, the unadjusted raw anomaly data as it was published in February by the four metrics from UAH, RSS, GISS and HadCRUT. Note that while there is pattern agreement to the 4 metrics, there is an amplitude difference. Here is the source data file for this plot and subsequent unadjusted plots. 4metrics_temp_anomalies.txt Here is the same data, but adjusted to a reference period of 1979-1990: Click for a larger image Here is the data used: 4metrics_temp_anomalies_refto1979-1990.txt Now we can see that the agreement of the 4 metrics is better using the data adjusted to a common baseline period. The difference between these metrics is of course the source data, but more importantly, two are measured by satellite (UAH, RSS) and two are land-ocean surface temperature measurements (GISS, HadCRUT). One of the first comments from my post on the 4 global temperature metrics came from Jeff in Seattle who said: Seems like GISS is the odd man out and should be discarded as an "adjustment". That is no longer the case once the adjusted data is presented. The trend and amplitude agreements are very good with all four metrics. In my previous post on this in part 1 I mentioned I had never seen a histogram comparison done on all four data-sets simultaneously. The first set of histograms showed a wide disagreement, particularly in the land-ocean metrics from HadCRUT and GISS. |
#8
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On Apr 5, 4:11 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
To confirm what several other people posted, the continental USA is warming faster than the rest of the globe. According to the satellite Microwave Sounding Unit data from Remote Sensing Systems, the globe from 82 degrees North to 70 degrees South latitude warmed at 1.8 K per century, while the continental USA warmed at 2.8K per century. (RSS avoids a known problem MSU that occurs when the microwave beam reflects off ice surfaces by excluding the poles.) Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West and heartland than more most regions. These lower troposphere data come from the third and ninth columns of: http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...onthly_MSU_AMS... Though the continental USA is only about 1.5% of the globe's area, there are more than enough data to support this statement. =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Call: lm(formula = LaN825S700 ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.41589 -0.11629 -0.00948 0.10907 0.73922 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -35.1291 2.2028 -15.9 2e-16 *** YEARMON 0.0177 0.0011 16.0 2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.175 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.423, Adjusted R-squared: 0.421 F-statistic: 255 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 2e-16 - - - - fitted.model - lm(ContUSA ~ YEARMON) summary(fitted.model) Call: lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -3.0723 -0.4895 0.0287 0.5624 2.2018 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -55.26373 10.64006 -5.19 3.5e-07 *** YEARMON 0.02779 0.00534 5.21 3.3e-07 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.844 on 349 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0721, Adjusted R-squared: 0.0694 F-statistic: 27.1 on 1 and 349 DF, p-value: 3.29e-07 If I oversample when I use monthly data why don't you Roger |
#9
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Roger Coppock wrote:
Classic global warming theory from Arrhenius predicts greater warming rates in dry areas like the American West and heartland than more most regions. But that's where we grow all our peanuts! -- Posted via a free Usenet account from http://www.teranews.com |
#10
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Bill Habr wrote:
The temperatures are highly suspect Google "Watts Up" http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com...ment-with-uah/ http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com...etrics-part-2/ All I got were some power meters. Google must be suppressing this vital information. -- Posted via a free Usenet account from http://www.teranews.com |
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