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sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
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#1
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48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's
area; I'd like to see global data. 9 and 3/4 years is a short period; I'd like to see a longer interval. However . . . For those of you who lack statistical sophistication and use extrema over short intervals to measure climate trends, here it is. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. "Climate change is making itself felt in terms of day-to-day weather in the United States," said Gerald Meehl, a researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the lead author of the study. In addition to NCAR, the research was done by scientists at the Weather Channel and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It is being published in Geophysical Research Letters. |
#2
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On Nov 13, 7:13*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's area; I'd like to see global data. 9 and 3/4 years is a short period; I'd like to see a longer interval. However . . . For those of you who lack statistical sophistication and use extrema over short intervals to measure climate trends, here it is. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. "Climate change is making itself felt in terms of day-to-day weather in the United States," said Gerald Meehl, a researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the lead author of the study. In addition to NCAR, the research was done by scientists at the Weather Channel and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It is being published in Geophysical Research Letters. How interesting that denialists haven't jumped onto this, Roger. We all know this is just what should happen under "Global Cooling" |
#3
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On Nov 13, 1:13*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's area; I'd like to see global data. 9 and 3/4 years is a short period; I'd like to see a longer interval. However . . . For those of you who lack statistical sophistication and use extrema over short intervals to measure climate trends, here it is. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. •• Temperature levels in USA are at best shoddy and any release from NOAA is purely political following the party line as per Ms Pelosi Commerce Department posted a new administrative order governing “Public Communications.” This new order covers the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which includes the National Weather Service and the National Marine Fisheries Service. Although couched in rhetoric about the need for “broad and open dissemination of research results [and] open exchange of scientific ideas,” the new order forbids agency scientists from communicating any relevant information, even if prepared and delivered on their own time as private citizens, which has not been approved by the official chain- of-command: . . . — — | In real science the burden of proof is always | on the proposer, never on the sceptics. So far | neither IPCC nor anyone else has provided one | iota of valid data for global warming nor have | they provided data that climate change is being | effected by commerce and industry, and not by | natural phenomena |
#4
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Roger Coppock wrote:
48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's area; I'd like to see global data. 9 and 3/4 years is a short period; I'd like to see a longer interval. However . . . For those of you who lack statistical sophistication and use extrema over short intervals to measure climate trends, here it is. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. "Climate change is making itself felt in terms of day-to-day weather in the United States," said Gerald Meehl, a researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the lead author of the study. In addition to NCAR, the research was done by scientists at the Weather Channel and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It is being published in Geophysical Research Letters. Weather Channel is a giant advocate of global warming. NOAA corrupt. |
#5
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On Nov 13, 9:09*pm, "James" wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote: 48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's area; I'd like to see global data. 9 and 3/4 years is a short period; I'd like to see a longer interval. However . . . For those of you who lack statistical sophistication and use extrema over short intervals to measure climate trends, here it is. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. "Climate change is making itself felt in terms of day-to-day weather in the United States," said Gerald Meehl, a researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the lead author of the study. In addition to NCAR, the research was done by scientists at the Weather Channel and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It is being published in Geophysical Research Letters. Weather Channel is a giant advocate of global warming. NOAA corrupt. Perhaps you would care to post a rebuttal of the actual records themselves? |
#6
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On Nov 13, 12:13*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's area; I'd like to see global data. 9 and 3/4 years is a short period; I'd like to see a longer interval. However . . . For those of you who lack statistical sophistication and use extrema over short intervals to measure climate trends, here it is. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. "Climate change is making itself felt in terms of day-to-day weather in the United States," said Gerald Meehl, a researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the lead author of the study. In addition to NCAR, the research was done by scientists at the Weather Channel and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It is being published in Geophysical Research Letters. Niiiice cherry picking. Is that all ya got? James Hansen specifically said that average temps are the way to properly measure and identify global warming. Or has he agreed that whatever cherry picked crap data that shows even a hint of warming somewhere is adequate for a scientific determination? Did not think so. |
#7
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On Nov 14, 6:13*am, Roger Coppock wrote:
48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's area; I'd like to see global data. 9 and 3/4 years is a short period; I'd like to see a longer interval. However . . . For those of you who lack statistical sophistication and use extrema over short intervals to measure climate trends, here it is. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. "Climate change is making itself felt in terms of day-to-day weather in the United States," said Gerald Meehl, a researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the lead author of the study. In addition to NCAR, the research was done by scientists at the Weather Channel and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It is being published in Geophysical Research Letters. So Roger Coppock won't use extrema to prove climate trends, UNLESS they support his bigoted view. And JohnM is either too stupid to spot the scam, or is a part of the scam. This study has so many holes, you could use it as a sieve. I will just mention a couple for now. Consider why they only went back to the 1950's. (Hint: it is called cherrypicking). Most of the ALL TIME RECORD HIGHS (not the weak DATE record highs that this study uses) occurred in the 1930's. If they had gone back to the 1930's, then there would be very few record high temperatures in latter years. It would be embarassing to the alarmists to have a bigger ratio of highs to lows in the 1930's, than in all following decades. While you are thinking about that one, consider this. Isn't this exactly the pattern that you would expect, from the problems that have been pointed out with the weather station network: - urban heat island effect (UHI) - poor siting of weather stations - painting weather stations with white latex paint - etc, etc Publishing an alarmist study like this, would make you think that there was a major alarmist climate conference coming up. Have a cool day, Zorro |
#8
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On Nov 14, 12:18*am, Zorro wrote:
On Nov 14, 6:13*am, Roger Coppock wrote: 48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's area; I'd like to see global data. 9 and 3/4 years is a short period; I'd like to see a longer interval. However . . . For those of you who lack statistical sophistication and use extrema over short intervals to measure climate trends, here it is. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. "Climate change is making itself felt in terms of day-to-day weather in the United States," said Gerald Meehl, a researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the lead author of the study. In addition to NCAR, the research was done by scientists at the Weather Channel and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It is being published in Geophysical Research Letters. So Roger Coppock won't use extrema to prove climate trends, UNLESS they support his bigoted view. And JohnM is either too stupid to spot the scam, or is a part of the scam. This study has so many holes, you could use it as a sieve. I will just mention a couple for now. I have a better idea. Everyone read the report here and come to their own conclusions. http://www.scienceblog.com/cms/recor...-us-27194.html |
#9
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![]() "Roger Coppock" wrote in message ... 48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's area; I'd like to see global data. 9 and 3/4 years is a short period; I'd like to see a longer interval. However . . . For those of you who lack statistical sophistication and use extrema over short intervals to measure climate trends, here it is. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. So what would you expect when you site climate stations in highly urbanised areas?? You're measuring URBAN HEAT ISLAND effect not global temperature! Poor Station Location Causes Warm Temperature Bias Roger Pielke Sr February 19 2008 Photographic Documentation of Poor Sitings - Part III From Our JGR Paper Part I and II of this series of weblogs, discussed the serious limited value of the use of a global average surface temperature anomaly to diagnose the global radiative imbalance (i.e., global climate heat system changes), and of a warm bias in the diagnosis of a global average surface temperature trend when the minimum temperatures are used in its construction. In Part III, we discuss yet another serious issue that we raised in our paper Pielke Sr., R.A., C. Davey, D. Niyogi, S. Fall, J. Steinweg-Woods, K. Hubbard, X. Lin, M. Cai, Y.-K. Lim, H. Li, J. Nielsen-Gammon, K. Gallo, R. Hale, R. Mahmood, S. Foster, R.T. McNider, and P. Blanken, 2007: Unresolved issues with the assessment of multi-decadal global land surface temperature trends. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D24S08, doi:10.1029/2006JD008229, where we report, Major problems with the microclimate exposure of a subset of surface Historical Climate Network (HCN) sites have been photographed Easterling et al. 1996; Davey and Pielke 2005]. The temperature instruments that are used in the HCN are often sited close to buildings, under trees, and near other local influences on the microclimate. These microclimate influences also change over time." The issue of the spatial and temporal representation of the temperature data that is collected is so fundamental that it is a scandal for any climate assessment that constructs a global average surface temperature to ignore this issue. Anthony Watts has, therefore, provided us a critically important study to document these surface temperature measurement sites, since the US government agency tasked with this responsibility (the National Climate Data Center; NCDC) has refused to provide this photographic documentation, despite information that they actually have accomplished this task (the implication is that they are too embarrassed to show them to the public). The extensive photographic library already completed under the direction of Anthony Watts with his volunteers can be accessed at "Weather Stations". This a rich source of information, and I urge readers of Climate Science to access his website. Two further excellent examples of further analysis of the issue of poor station exposure can be read at Mahmood, Rezaul , Stuart A. Foster, and David Logan, 2006: The Geoprofile metadata, exposure of instruments, and measurement bias in climatic record revisited International Journal of Climatology and Brooks, Ashley Victoria. M.S., Purdue University, May, 2007. Assessment of the Spatiotemporal Impacts of Land Use Land Cover Change on the Historical Climate Network Temperature Trends in Indiana. Major Professors: Dev Niyogi and Michael Baldwin. The message from these analyses is that the use of the surface temperature record from such observation sites to construct regional-, zonal- and global- averages introduces a bias (which is expected to be a significant warm bias) of an unknown magnitude. That this issue has not been questioned in the climate assessments nor by most of the media reports of the assessments is a scandal. The conclusions we have reached with respect to the poor siting of the surface temperature measurement sites, for use in multi-decadal trend assessments, include: the poorly sited locations can not be "corrected" by using nearby better sited locations in order to provide added sources of independent data; see Pielke Sr., R.A. J. Nielsen-Gammon, C. Davey, J. Angel, O. Bliss, N. Doesken, M. Cai., S. Fall, D. Niyogi, K. Gallo, R. Hale, K.G. Hubbard, X. Lin, H. Li, and S. Raman, 2007: Documentation of uncertainties and biases associated with surface temperature measurement sites for climate change assessment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88:6, 913-928., where we concluded that"The use of temperature data from poorly sited stations can lead to a false sense of confidence in the robustness of multidecadal surface air temperature trend assessments". The serious problem with poor sited surface temperature stations is a worldwide problem, based on our sampling so far (e.g., see for Mongolia and see for a range of locations around the globe). The World Meteorological Organization and the National Climate Date Center have been derelict in obtaining photographic documentation of these observing sites. Readers of Climate Science are encouraged to photograph the surface temperature sites in their country of residence, that are used to construct the land based contribution to the global average surface temperature anomalies, and send to Anthony Watts in be included in his very important (and essential) archiving of this information (his website for this is Watts Up With That and at Anthony Watt's Searchable Online Data Base ). http://climatesci.org/2008/02/19/pho...our-jgr-paper/ Warmest Regards Bon z0 "It is a remarkable fact that despite the worldwide expenditure of perhaps US$50 billion since 1990, and the efforts of tens of thousands of scientists worldwide, no human climate signal has yet been detected that is distinct from natural variation." Bob Carter, Research Professor of Geology, James Cook University, Townsville |
#10
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On Nov 13, 4:46*pm, tunderbar wrote:
On Nov 13, 12:13*pm, Roger Coppock wrote: 48 US states are a small fraction of the globe's area; I'd like to see global data. =-=-=-=-=-=-= Temperature records: More highs than lows Nov 12, 12:38 PM (ET) WASHINGTON (AP) - Record high temperatures are occurring more than twice as often as record lows. According to a new study, between Jan. 1, 2000 and Sept. 30, this year the continental United States set 291,237 record highs and 142,420 record lows at various locations. "Climate change is making itself felt in terms of day-to-day weather in the United States," said Gerald Meehl, a researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the lead author of the study. In addition to NCAR, the research was done by scientists at the Weather Channel and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It is being published in Geophysical Research Letters. Niiiice cherry picking. Is that all ya got? James Hansen specifically said that average temps are the way to properly measure and identify global warming. Or has he agreed that whatever cherry picked crap data that shows even a hint of warming somewhere is adequate for a scientific determination? Did not think so. •• Oh! but he does He cares not a whit, what he claims is usually a decade or three hence and when he gets caught by mother time he says "Oh maybe in another 20 or 30 years more." |
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