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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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From the MET Office :
Record breaking weather News.... Forecasters at the Met Office are predicting the highest July temperatures ever recorded this week, with a 30% probability on Wednesday of breaking the all-time UK temperature record. The highest temperature ever recorded in the UK was 38.5 deg C at Faversham in Kent on the 10 August 2003. This week, temperatures of 37 deg C are expected, however it is possible that the all-time record could be broken as one or two locations in the Home Counties of southeast England reach highs of 39 deg C (102 deg F). UK Record temperatures Region July record All-time record England 36.0 deg C Epsom 38.5 deg C Faversham 10/08/2003 22/7/1911 Wales 33.6 deg C Usk 3/7/1976 35.2 deg C Hawarden Bridge 2/8/1990 Scotland 32.8 deg C Dumfries 32.9 deg C Greycrook 9/8/2003 2/7/1908 Northern 30.8 deg C Belfast 30.8 deg C Knockarevan Ireland 12/7/1983 30/6/1976 and Belfast 12/71983 The predicted regional maximum temperatures this week a England Southeast: 37 deg C Southwest: 36 deg C Midlands: 36 deg C Northwest: 35 deg C Northeast: 33 deg C East Anglia: 37 deg C Wales: 34 deg C Scotland: 31 deg C Northern Ireland: 30 deg C The reason for the heatwave is a prolonged period of very settled weather, with cloudless skies and strong sunshine which has allowed temperatures to rise. Over coming days even hotter air will move across from continental Europe causing the temperature to rise even further. Climate change The question is often asked is whether global warming is a factor? Research conducted at the Met Office, shows that there is a significant human contribution to these heatwaves because of CO2 emissions over recent decades. This is a sign of things to come, with the current temperatures becoming a normal event by the middle of this century. The outlook is for less hot weather to move across the country by the end of the week, although temperatures are expected to remain above average for the rest of the month. Best Wishes Richard |
#2
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![]() Richard Griffith wrote: From the MET Office : Record breaking weather News.... UK Record temperatures Region July record All-time record England 36.0 deg C Epsom 38.5 deg C Faversham 10/08/2003 22/7/1911 Oh dear, what a shame UKMO still trot out discredited extremes ... ! The Faversham value was at least 2 degC too high in comparison with neighbouring sites, and the Kew Gardens 38.1ฐC on the same date is much the more plausible UK highest. For full details see the 2003 heatwave papers written by myself and Philip Eden in Weather, Aug to Oct 2004. It'll be interesting to see what happens if we end up with a maximum of say 38.3ฐC somewhere this summer - is it a record, or isn't it? The Epsom 36.0ฐC on 22 July 1911 has been discredited for many years, in favour of the 35.9ฐC recorded at Cheltenham on 3 July 1976 which should stand as the UK July record. Details of the Epsom value: On 22 July 36.0ฐC was reported from Epsom in Surrey. Details of the type of thermometer screen in use are not known, but it seems probable that it was a Glaisher stand, for even at Greenwich the observed maximum in the Glaisher stand there was only 35.3ฐC (the Stevenson screen reading was 33.2ฐC). Confirmation of maxima of 33-34ฐC rather than 35ฐC or more is afforded by the (Stevenson screen) maximum at Camden Square, normally one of the hottest of the London stations, of 33.7ฐC. No other maxima of 35ฐC or more were reported anywhere in the country. It seems unlikely, therefore, that the air temperature in a Stevenson screen anywhere in London that afternoon would have reached or exceeded 35.0ฐC. (Taken from my paper on the Aug 1990 heatwave in Intl J Clim, 1992) Regards -- Stephen |
#3
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![]() "Richard Griffith" wrote in message ... Region July record All-time record Scotland 32.8 deg C Dumfries 32.9 deg C Greycrook 9/8/2003 2/7/1908 The predicted regional maximum temperatures this week a Scotland: 31 deg C Met office website is actually forcasting 34C for Edinburgh on Wednesday - which would smash the Scottish record. Aberdeen reached a pretty exceptional 29บC today I noticed, I'm sure that's verging on a record for them. My own site record of +32.4บC set in 1995 would certainly be under threat if Edinburgh clocked a 34C, but somehow I just can't see these values being achieved, perhaps 31C or 32C. I do expect a new July site maximum here in the next couple of days, If it weren't for a fairly cloudy afternoon we could have got near it today. The July record is +29.4บC, achieved twice in 1995. But 31บC was recorded locally in 1983 (before my time). What is also notable is the humidity levels in this part of the country today, high dew points, higher still predicted tomorrow... uncomfortable tonight. บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ Conditions in Wishaw @ 9:25pm, 17/7/06 Temperature 22.1ฐC. Dew point 17.5บC. 75.0%RH Mean wind speed 2mph from the West South West. Remarks; , 0.0mm precipitation in the past hour. Cloud cover: Scattered Clouds MSLP 1026.4mb, Steady. Today's Max. 26.6ฐC at 2:09pm. Today's min. 12.4ฐC at 6:29am. Today's rain 0.0mm Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland N55บ47'14", W3บ55'15". 360ft/117m amsl http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk/ บบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบบ |
#4
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![]() "Richard Griffith" wrote in message ... From the MET Office : Record breaking weather News.... Forecasters at the Met Office are predicting the highest July temperatures ever recorded this week, with a 30% probability on Wednesday of breaking the all-time UK temperature record. The highest temperature ever recorded in the UK was 38.5 deg C at Faversham in Kent on the 10 August 2003. This week, temperatures of 37 deg C are expected, however it is possible that the all-time record could be broken as one or two locations in the Home Counties of southeast England reach highs of 39 deg C (102 deg F). I think this demonstrates just how out of control the MO press office now is. What an extraordinary hostage to fortune that last sentence may turn out to be. I'm also surprised they continue to quote the Faversham figure long after it was debunked in some detail as Stephen notes elsewhere in this thread. The scientific reasoning which demonstrated the wrongness of that reading was accepted by everyone whose opinion I value. One wouldn't expect a public recantation, but the common-sense approach would, I think, be the quiet dropping of this particular figure from their public utterances. Philip |
#5
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In message .com,
Stephen Burt writes The Epsom 36.0ฐC on 22 July 1911 has been discredited for many years, in favour of the 35.9ฐC recorded at Cheltenham on 3 July 1976 which should stand as the UK July record. I'll let you know what I record tomorrow, though it will be very unofficial of course. ![]() I only recorded 34.2C on that day in 1990 when we set the previous UK record here, but that was with a thermometer that I subsequently found to be reading 1.5-2C low. -- Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me) |
#6
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Philip Eden wrote:
"Richard Griffith" wrote in message ... From the MET Office : Record breaking weather News.... Forecasters at the Met Office are predicting the highest July temperatures ever recorded this week, with a 30% probability on Wednesday of breaking the all-time UK temperature record. The highest temperature ever recorded in the UK was 38.5 deg C at Faversham in Kent on the 10 August 2003. This week, temperatures of 37 deg C are expected, however it is possible that the all-time record could be broken as one or two locations in the Home Counties of southeast England reach highs of 39 deg C (102 deg F). I think this demonstrates just how out of control the MO press office now is. What an extraordinary hostage to fortune that last sentence may turn out to be. I'm also surprised they continue to quote the Faversham figure long after it was debunked in some detail as Stephen notes elsewhere in this thread. The scientific reasoning which demonstrated the wrongness of that reading was accepted by everyone whose opinion I value. One wouldn't expect a public recantation, but the common-sense approach would, I think, be the quiet dropping of this particular figure from their public utterances. I doubt they will, Philip. Does anyone remember which issue(s) of Weather this record was debated in? Apparently after much discussion in the pages of the magazine "the conclusion was that the record should stand". -- Rob Overfield Hull http://talkingtoomuchagain.blogspot.com |
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