**Note: Wetterzentrale is down today, hence this "old fashioned" analysis
instead**

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Sunday. Issued 0526z,
13 December 2006.

The outlook is more settled than recently, with high pressure to the south
or SE of the UK. Longer term it looks likely that high pressure will settle
over central and southern Europe, with SW'lies for much of the UK.

ECMWF: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...mwf/ecmwf.html
A large high lies to the south with low pressure near Iceland. WSW'lies are
the result, followed by NW'lies at T+144 as the low moves SE'wards over the
North Sea. A ridge builds to the west and on day 7 it moves over the UK,
bringing northerlies to England and Wales with light winds elsewhere.

MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
Unavailable at time of issue.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
The UK lies under WNW'lies with a ridge to the west and a large high to the
SW. The ridge moves over the UK at T+144, leading to westerlies for Scotland
and WNW'lies elsewhere. By day 7 the winds become SW'lies for all as high
pressure moves over France. SW'lies then persist out to day 10 as high
pressure builds over central Europe.

GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
A southerly flow covers the UK with a low to the west.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows a ridge and light winds across much of the UK, the
exception being NE Scotland which lies under NW'lies. The ridge moves
eastwards at T+144, introducing southerlies for all and by day 7 the winds
become westerlies, with high pressure over France and Iberia.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS brings westerlies across the UK with high pressure to the south. A
trough lies to the west at T+144 with southerlies over the UK.

In message , Darren Prescott
writes
**Note: Wetterzentrale is down today, hence this "old fashioned" analysis
instead**


Just like to record that I prefer this old fashioned approach - but then
I am probably not a genuine weather enthusiast. The "new" approach
requires far too much work from me.

But grateful that you go to all this trouble everyday - many thanks
Darren.



--
PK
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