uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old April 11th 07, 12:29 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Summer 2007

MetO forecast issued this morning
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...r20070411.html

Jon.


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Old April 11th 07, 12:49 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Summer 2007


"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
MetO forecast issued this morning
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...r20070411.html

Tish?

pe


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Old April 11th 07, 12:58 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Summer 2007

Philip Eden wrote:
"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
MetO forecast issued this morning
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...r20070411.html

Tish?

pe


and Tosh .


--
Gianna

http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk
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Old April 11th 07, 02:22 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Summer 2007

On Apr 11, 1:58 pm, Gianna wrote:
Philip Eden wrote:
"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
MetO forecast issued this morning
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...r20070411.html


Tish?


pe


and Tosh .

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Gianna

http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk
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Er, why?

Tudor Hughes

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Old April 11th 07, 03:37 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Summer 2007

Tudor Hughes wrote:
On Apr 11, 1:58 pm, Gianna wrote:
Philip Eden wrote:
"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
MetO forecast issued this morning
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...r20070411.html
Tish?
pe

and Tosh .

--


Er, why?

Tudor Hughes


1) Less than one third of the release related to the summer forecast.
2) Forecasts of global annual mean are not relevant to the 'summer' forecast.
3) A high probability of exceeding the average ... how high is high?
4) Only 1 in 8 chance of being 'similar' to 2003 and 2006.
5) Where is the forecast for? The UK or England?
6) At my location, it would need to be similar to 03 and 06 to be similar to 04
and 05.

On a scale of one to tosh, I rate the 100 words spent on the forecast as tosh.

The update on May 1 may contain a forecast.

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http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk
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Old April 11th 07, 11:08 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Summer 2007


"Gianna" wrote in message
...

snippit
3) A high probability of exceeding the average ... how high is high?

'At least 70 %' it says.

5) Where is the forecast for? The UK or England?

For the mean temps - 'Western Europe including the UK' it says
For an exceptionally hot summer - 'across the UK' it says.

Tom



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Old April 12th 07, 04:50 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Col Col is offline
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Default Summer 2007


"Gianna" wrote in message
...


1) Less than one third of the release related to the summer forecast.


So what?
How much detail do you want for a seasonal forecast?

2) Forecasts of global annual mean are not relevant to the 'summer'
forecast.


That was mentioned in the 'background' section. So it was 'setting the
scene' if you like of a high chance of a warm summer here in the
context of generelly rising tempertures globally.

3) A high probability of exceeding the average ... how high is high?


At least 70%.

4) Only 1 in 8 chance of being 'similar' to 2003 and 2006.


And?
It's a probability forecast. The best thing to do for seasonal
forecasts. You can't expect them to commit themselves one way or
another at this range.

5) Where is the forecast for? The UK or England?


The UK. It says so in the 'background' section.

6) At my location, it would need to be similar to 03 and 06 to be similar
to 04 and 05.


?

On a scale of one to tosh, I rate the 100 words spent on the forecast as
tosh.


I suggest you read things properly before coming to the conclusion
they are 'tosh'.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl




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Old April 11th 07, 05:55 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Summer 2007

On 11 avr, 14:49, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote:
Tish?


If you are suggesting a spelling error in the name, it appears not to
be one.

See http://www.zahidmubarekinquiry.org.u...c=520&aid=3791
http://www.aviddetention.org.uk/hasl...ection2002.htm
http://www.whitehallpages.net/print.php?sid=18573 etc.

A search on her name in Google produces many other hits.

Colin Youngs
Brussels

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Old April 11th 07, 06:25 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Summer 2007


"Colin Youngs" wrote:
On 11 avr, 14:49, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote:
Tish?


If you are suggesting a spelling error in the name, it appears not to
be one.

I was drawing attention to the name, though not to any possible
mis-spelling. I just wondered what sort of name it was. If it is
this person's (haven't a clue which sex it is) given name, what
sort of parents does he or she have? Or, if it's a pet name, it
should have no place in serious discourse.

ObUSW:
12 of the last 13 summers have had a mean temperature
above the 1971-2000 average (as measured by the CET, and,
yes, I know the press release uses a different series, but it's
unlikely to be much different). The last one below was in 1998
and then by only a fraction of a degree. I really don't see much
value, during a warming régime, of using an average period
whose mid-point was 22 years ago to make a point in a
press release. It's as if they want the media to spin it into
"Britain set to swelter through another long hot summer".

Philip


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Old April 11th 07, 06:41 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Summer 2007

Tish?

If you are suggesting a spelling error in the name, it
appears not to
be one.


I was drawing attention to the name, though not to any
possible
mis-spelling. I just wondered what sort of name it was. If it
is
this person's (haven't a clue which sex it is) given name,
what
sort of parents does he or she have? Or, if it's a pet name,
it
should have no place in serious discourse.


I have encountered one or two Patricias who were known as Tish.
I agree with you about its inappropriateness, Philip.

Anne




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