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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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I saw some of the posts about drought definitions while I
was away. Can I emphasise that the usage of terms such as "Absolute Drought", "Partial Drought" and "Dry Spell" (and the more rarely-used equivalents at the wet end of the spectrum) were discontinued officially in 1961 when emerging computer power allowed a much more flexible approach to rainfall analysis. Those definitions were useful as a sort of book-keeping exercise in the pre-computer era when all climatological analysis was carried out manually by dozens (at least) of clerks at Dunstable/Bracknell as well as by observing staff at outstations.They helped to highlight periods of rainfall shortfall, but their hydrological, water-supply, and agricultural relevance was very limited. It's OK for people to refer to them, or for u.s.w. to resuscitate them if they/we wish, as long as we bear in mind the history and the limited relevance. With that in mind, however, it may be useful to point out that the original threshold for the rainfall amount for breaking an absolute drought was 0.01 inch (which is as near as dammit 2.5mm). As the categories were dropped at a time when rainfall analysis (at least in the publication "British Rainfall") was still carried out in inches, I don't believe the definition was ever formally changed to a metric equivalent: if it had, it would have been more logical and more precise to change it to "more than 0.2mm" rather than "0.2mm or more". (I have a very vague memory of having seen "more than 0.2mm" in print somewhere, but I may just be remembering a long-forgotten rationalisation of my own from 25 years ago or more). Whatever, for anyone wishing to use these categories in the modern era of tipping-bucket rain-gauges, it is advisable to allow recordings of 0.2mm to pass without, as it were, breaking the drought. A tip of 0.2mm is very often the result of an accumulation of several smaller quantities - indeed tipping-bucket tips may be induced by vibration or by thermal expansion/contraction of the rain-gauge housing or by insect life, when one of the buckets is almost full. Relatively rarely is an isolated 0.2mm tip the result of 0.2mm of rain. Philip |
#2
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![]() "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote : With that in mind, however, it may be useful to point out that the original threshold for the rainfall amount for breaking an absolute drought was 0.01 inch (which is as near as dammit 2.5mm). 0.25mm, of course. Just testing, you understand. pe |
#3
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On Apr 26, 2:46 pm, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom
wrote: "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote : With that in mind, however, it may be useful to point out that the original threshold for the rainfall amount for breaking an absolute drought was 0.01 inch (which is as near as dammit 2.5mm). 0.25mm, of course. Just testing, you understand. pe Philip I may have missed the point, but are you now saying there is no such thing as a drought ? - or that we dont make a note of extended dry spells ? sorry just a bit confused. Paul Brampton www.bramptonweather.co.uk |
#4
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Philip Eden wrote:
"Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote : With that in mind, however, it may be useful to point out that the original threshold for the rainfall amount for breaking an absolute drought was 0.01 inch (which is as near as dammit 2.5mm). 0.25mm, of course. Just testing, you understand. or 0.254mm to be as precise as possible ;-) -- Jonathan Stott Canterbury Weather: http://www.canterburyweather.co.uk/ Reverse my e-mail address to reply by e-mail |
#6
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wrote in message
ps.com... On Apr 26, 2:46 pm, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote: "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote : With that in mind, however, it may be useful to point out that the original threshold for the rainfall amount for breaking an absolute drought was 0.01 inch (which is as near as dammit 2.5mm). 0.25mm, of course. Just testing, you understand. I may have missed the point, but are you now saying there is no such thing as a drought ? - or that we dont make a note of extended dry spells ? Paul ... just that those old definitions had a very limited value, and haven't been used in any official capacity (or, as far as I am aware, in any serious met/clim journal) for 46 years. As I said, anyone can use them if they want, and FWIW I have no view either way. The point, really, was in the bit of the original post that you didn't copy :-) Philip |
#7
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On Apr 26, 12:18 pm, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom
wrote: Whatever, for anyone wishing to use these categories in the modern era of tipping-bucket rain-gauges, it is advisable to allow recordings of 0.2mm to pass without, as it were, breaking the drought. A tip of 0.2mm is very often the result of an accumulation of several smaller quantities - indeed tipping-bucket tips may be induced by vibration or by thermal expansion/contraction of the rain-gauge housing or by insect life, when one of the buckets is almost full. Relatively rarely is an isolated 0.2mm tip the result of 0.2mm of rain. Philip I have a tipping bucket raingauge (Davis VP 2) and was recently annoyed to see, what would have been a 26-day drought "spoiled" by falls of 0.2mm. There were only three recorded rainfalls between 22nd March and 16th April - 0.2mm on 23rd March, 0.2mm on 6th April and 0.2mm on 15th April. So there was never more than 13 consecutive days without recorded rain. I often see the bucket has tipped to give 0.2mm, when it appears that no rain has fallen, and in these cases I just clear the total and do not record it. However in each of the above instances I was satisfied that rain had actually fallen. There was approx 1 hr of very light rain/drizzle on the evenings of both the 23rd and 15th, which wet the ground and could easily have amounted to 0.2mm. I did not see any rain on the afternoon of the 6th and was going to ignore that 0.2mm but someone else was able to confirm that there had been a very brief heavy shower, even though there was no sign by evening that any rain had fallen. I do not know of any other occasion during the 26 day period when rain fell but I was away in Cornwall, from 7th to 14th April, and, even when I'm here I won't notice every trivial rainfall, so it's certainly possible that none of those 3 individual falls did actually amount to 0.2mm. Of the three falls I think the one on the 6th is least likely to have amounted to 0.2mm. I was very close by at the time and neither heard nor saw any rain and the person who confirmed the shower is known to exaggerate rainfall rates (such as saying it is pouring rain when the gauge is only registering 1mm/hr). In view of the uncertainty of 0.2mm falls I think I may for my own records regard a drought as 15 or more days without a fall greater than 0.2mm. In any case 0.2mm of rain could hardly be regarded as useful so it's hardly as if it's breaking a drought. Richard Slessor, Hazlehead, Aberdeen. |
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