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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Aaarrrggghh!!! One of my pet hates and even the Met Office is at it.
The current early warning for heavy rain contains the following gem: -------------------- "That rain will be accompanied by strong southerly winds with gusts to gale or severe gale force over southern and southeastern England." -------------------- I quote from the Met Office's own document titled "Terms used for describing mean surface wind speed": -------------------- "Beaufort Forces apply ONLY to mean wind speeds (the average over a given period of time - usually one clock hour) and MUST NOT be used in reference to gusts" -------------------- The words in capitals in that quote are as given in the Met Office document. If the Met Office can't get it right and include sensationalist terms in their warnings and forecasts can we blame the media for doing the same. The message would have been correctly conveyed by saying "strong southerly winds with gusts to 40-45 knots", or the mph equivalents. Instead, they are giving the impression that there will be severe gales over southern and southeastern England. Norman -- Norman Lynagh Chalfont St Giles, Buckinghamshire 85m a.s.l. (remove "thisbit" twice to e-mail) |
#2
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![]() "Norman" wrote in message ... Aaarrrggghh!!! One of my pet hates and even the Met Office is at it. The current early warning for heavy rain contains the following gem: -------------------- "That rain will be accompanied by strong southerly winds with gusts to gale or severe gale force over southern and southeastern England." -------------------- I quote from the Met Office's own document titled "Terms used for describing mean surface wind speed": -------------------- "Beaufort Forces apply ONLY to mean wind speeds (the average over a given period of time - usually one clock hour) and MUST NOT be used in reference to gusts" -------------------- The words in capitals in that quote are as given in the Met Office document. If the Met Office can't get it right and include sensationalist terms in their warnings and forecasts can we blame the media for doing the same. The message would have been correctly conveyed by saying "strong southerly winds with gusts to 40-45 knots", or the mph equivalents. Instead, they are giving the impression that there will be severe gales over southern and southeastern England. Norman -- Norman Lynagh Chalfont St Giles, Buckinghamshire 85m a.s.l. (remove "thisbit" twice to e-mail) ---------------------------- I also find it hard to see in that warning how a line drawn approximately along the Thames can change from 20% to 60% risk. I would have thought there would be an area between at 40%. In fairness I suppose they could be expecting a sharp transition so it's not worth bothering with. Unusually big jump though. Dave |
#3
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I agree Norman. As an ex-aviator, I never bothered with terms like
gales, strong winds, etc. It was NUMBERS (30, 45 knots, etc). Do mariners do the same? Indeed, I have little idea nor need to know how a gale is defined in terms of actual speeds. Martin. You used to do the shipping forecasts. Was it the user or the supplier that wanted the terms gale, etc? Jack |
#4
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On Jan 14, 6:59*pm, "Jack )"
wrote: I agree Norman. *As an ex-aviator, I never bothered with terms like gales, strong winds, etc. *It was NUMBERS (30, 45 knots, etc). *Do mariners do the same? *Indeed, I have little idea nor need to know how a gale is defined in terms of actual speeds. Martin. *You used to do the shipping forecasts. *Was it the user or the supplier that wanted the terms gale, etc? ... a long way before my time, but in my copy of 'Weather Map' which has examples of the Shipping Forecast from the early/mid 1950s, the numerical value assigned to the wind is *not* present: e.g. " Sole, Fastnet, Lundy, - Wind south-westerly, fresh increasing to strong to gale. (etc.)" If I had to *guess* (and it would be that), a change occurred whereby the forecast wind was defined using the Beaufort notation in terms of a 'Force' number, and the terms 'Gale', 'Severe Gale' etc., were retained for emphasis at the higher values. Any changes in my experience come from the user. I agree with Norman: bad practice and confusing to boot! Martin. |
#5
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On 14 Jan, 18:59, "Jack )"
wrote: I agree Norman. *As an ex-aviator, I never bothered with terms like gales, strong winds, etc. *It was NUMBERS (30, 45 knots, etc). *Do mariners do the same? *Indeed, I have little idea nor need to know how a gale is defined in terms of actual speeds. Martin. *You used to do the shipping forecasts. *Was it the user or the supplier that wanted the terms gale, etc? Jack The term gale means a lot down here on the tip of Cornwall. A force 8 gale warning and boats think of returning to Newlyn, Force 9 severe gale they stop thinking & do it. Just look at local sites like www.sennen-cove.com/index.htm , which is produced brilliantly by the coxswain of the Sennen lifeboat, and you will see the word gale used appropriately. The beaufort sea descriptions are so useful, and are instantly meaningful when you're by the sea. Like Norman the I hate the phrase 'gusts to gale force', on exposed coasts gusts to gale force occur a good proportion of the days in winter, so is totally meaningless. It just means it's a bit windy. I find the % risk maps essentially pretty c**p. Anyone who lives right on the sea front knows the wind is normally dramatically less a mile or less inland, and so is the risk of damage. Yesterdays depression gave gales on the sea front, strong enough to remove tiles and it was virtually impossible to stand out at Praa Sands. But at my site, just 800m from the sea, the strongest gust was only 43mph, and it never really got above Force 6. Graham Penzance |
#6
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#7
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Graham, general Met Office usage defines a gale in terms of both mean speed
and gusts. Hence a severe gale is either mean speed 45kts, or gusts 52kt, if memory serves me right. Hence gusts to severe gale force means gusts to 52kts. I doubt this is widely known. To confuse matters further, the Severe Weather Warnings use a different limit, ie 70mph gusts for issue of warnings of INLAND 'severe gales'... What I REALLY hate is 'winds gusting to...' , and the constant use of the present tense when giving a forecast. It is just about understandable when the TV presenter is obviously describing a sequence of weather charts, but on the radio it is confusing. I even heard a past tense used in a forecast for 'tomorrow' a few days ago! Weaman "Graham Easterling" wrote in message ... On 14 Jan, 18:59, "Jack )" Like Norman the I hate the phrase 'gusts to gale force', on exposed coasts gusts to gale force occur a good proportion of the days in winter, so is totally meaningless. It just means it's a bit windy. |
#8
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On 14 Jan, 20:48, "weaman" wrote:
Graham, general Met Office usage defines a gale in terms of both mean speed and gusts. Hence a severe gale is either mean speed 45kts, or gusts 52kt, if memory serves me right. Hence gusts to severe gale force means gusts to 52kts. I doubt this is widely known. I certainly didn't know. I would have thought the 52 kt gust theshold would normally be reached with a mean windspeed well below 45kts. Graham Penzance |
#9
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"Graham Easterling" wrote in message
... On 14 Jan, 18:59, "Jack )" Like Norman the I hate the phrase 'gusts to gale force', on exposed coasts gusts to gale force occur a good proportion of the days in winter, so is totally meaningless. It just means it's a bit windy. weaman wrote: Graham, general Met Office usage defines a gale in terms of both mean speed and gusts. Hence a severe gale is either mean speed 45kts, or gusts 52kt, if memory serves me right. Hence gusts to severe gale force means gusts to 52kts. I doubt this is widely known. To confuse matters further, the Severe Weather Warnings use a different limit, ie 70mph gusts for issue of warnings of INLAND 'severe gales'... I think you're confusing the definition of a severe gale with the criteria used for the issue of severe gale warnings. They are not one and the same thing. A severe gale is defined as a mean wind speed of 41-47 knots. Gusts don't come into it as the Met Office document I referred to clearly points out. On the other hand, the criteria for issuing severe gale warnings do include a gust speed threshold (I can't remember off the top of my head what that threshold is). Nevertheless, even if that gust threshold is reached or exceeded a severe gale has actually occurred only if the mean wind speed criterion is reached. Confusing or what?!!! Norman -- Norman Lynagh Chalfont St Giles, Buckinghamshire 85m a.s.l. (remove "thisbit" twice to e-mail) |
#10
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Graham Easterling wrote:
On 14 Jan, 18:59, "Jack )" wrote: I agree Norman. *As an ex-aviator, I never bothered with terms like gales, strong winds, etc. *It was NUMBERS (30, 45 knots, etc). *Do mariners do the same? *Indeed, I have little idea nor need to know how a gale is defined in terms of actual speeds. Martin. *You used to do the shipping forecasts. *Was it the user or the supplier that wanted the terms gale, etc? Jack The term gale means a lot down here on the tip of Cornwall. A force 8 gale warning and boats think of returning to Newlyn, Force 9 severe gale they stop thinking & do it. Just look at local sites like www.sennen-cove.com/index.htm , which is produced brilliantly by the coxswain of the Sennen lifeboat, and you will see the word gale used appropriately. The beaufort sea descriptions are so useful, and are instantly meaningful when you're by the sea. Like Norman the I hate the phrase 'gusts to gale force', on exposed coasts gusts to gale force occur a good proportion of the days in winter, so is totally meaningless. It just means it's a bit windy. Gale Force is defined as a mean wind speed of 34-40 knots. Therefore, the term "gusts to gale force" would actually mean "gusts to a mean speed of 34-40 knots" which is clearly nonsense. Sorry to be banging on about this so much but it's been a pet hate of mine since an occasion when I had to argue the toss in Court with an obstinate QC who insisted that a gale had occurred because there were wind gusts to 35 knots. The outcome of the case depended on whether or not there had been a gale. Sometimes it matters! Norman -- Norman Lynagh Chalfont St Giles, Buckinghamshire 85m a.s.l. (remove "thisbit" twice to e-mail) |
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