It would appear that Mr.*******i's warning of continued severe cold and
Will's thoughts of a cold outbreak and false Spring now look to have been
postponed or abandoned. Despite the charts seemingly unanimous on a strong
northerly a couple of days ago it seems less likely now. More than a week
ahead again ........... always the same. Some good drying weather instead,
hopefully.

Dave

so much for a false spring!

is the cold still on Will?


Dave Cornwell wrote:
It would appear that Mr.*******i's warning of continued severe cold and
Will's thoughts of a cold outbreak and false Spring now look to have been
postponed or abandoned. Despite the charts seemingly unanimous on a strong
northerly a couple of days ago it seems less likely now. More than a week
ahead again ........... always the same. Some good drying weather instead,
hopefully.

Dave

"Dave Cornwell" wrote in message
...
It would appear that Mr.*******i's warning of continued severe cold and
Will's thoughts of a cold outbreak and false Spring now look to have been
postponed or abandoned. Despite the charts seemingly unanimous on a strong
northerly a couple of days ago it seems less likely now. More than a week
ahead again ........... always the same. Some good drying weather instead,
hopefully.


A Few days ago the Met O were going for cold and snow in their 15 day
outlook , but I couldnt really see anything substantial on either progs to
back it up. Now they too have eased off the cold and just going for wintry
on hills in North.
Funny the northerly blast has gone off the GFS but now appeared on EC of
sorts.
Low confidence comes to mind after Monday!
Phil

Very much so. As we go into March we should end up with an easterly. I'm not
relying on model outputs for this, but the following reasoning. The
northerly (which I never really talked about) was never really on IMO.
Instead, if you remember I talked about a return to Atlantic mobility from
NW to SE, that will happen of sorts but the main effect will be to transfer
the high cell from over us to just further east and then build over
Scandinavia. There is just enough progression in the longwaves to allow
this. Once established the pattern will be of the correct wavelength to
become stationary allowing the very cold and potentially bitter spell with
widespread snow to begin.

Will
--

terry tibbs wrote:
so much for a false spring!

is the cold still on Will?


Dave Cornwell wrote:
It would appear that Mr.*******i's warning of continued severe cold
and Will's thoughts of a cold outbreak and false Spring now look to
have been postponed or abandoned. Despite the charts seemingly
unanimous on a strong northerly a couple of days ago it seems less
likely now. More than a week ahead again ........... always the
same. Some good drying weather instead, hopefully.

Dave

On 18 Feb, 18:47, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:
It would appear that Mr.*******i's warning of continued severe cold and
Will's thoughts of a cold outbreak and false Spring now look to have been
postponed or abandoned. Despite the charts seemingly unanimous on a strong
northerly a couple of days ago it seems less likely now. More than a week
ahead again ........... always the same. Some good drying weather instead,
hopefully.

Dave

Well, it's been like Spring here for a few days now. Beach car parks
have been quite full on occasion.

www.cornwallcam.co.uk/

Our 36 hours of snow was fun while it lasted, now I can't wait to get
back to the lazy hazy days of summer (Bangles?)

Graham
Penzance

"Graham Easterling" wrote in message
...
On 18 Feb, 18:47, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:
It would appear that Mr.*******i's warning of continued severe cold and
Will's thoughts of a cold outbreak and false Spring now look to have been
postponed or abandoned. Despite the charts seemingly unanimous on a
strong
northerly a couple of days ago it seems less likely now. More than a week
ahead again ........... always the same. Some good drying weather
instead,
hopefully.

Dave

Well, it's been like Spring here for a few days now. Beach car parks
have been quite full on occasion.

www.cornwallcam.co.uk/

Our 36 hours of snow was fun while it lasted, now I can't wait to get
back to the lazy hazy days of summer (Bangles?)

Not quite
Hazy shade of winter!

Col

On 18 Feb, 19:51, Graham Easterling
wrote:
On 18 Feb, 18:47, "Dave Cornwell"

wrote:
It would appear that Mr.*******i's warning of continued severe cold and
Will's thoughts of a cold outbreak and false Spring now look to have been
postponed or abandoned. Despite the charts seemingly unanimous on a strong
northerly a couple of days ago it seems less likely now. More than a week
ahead again ........... always the same. Some good drying weather instead,
hopefully.

Dave

Well, it's been like Spring here for a few days now. Beach car parks
have been quite full on occasion.

www.cornwallcam.co.uk/

Our 36 hours of snow was fun while it lasted, now I can't wait to get
back to the lazy hazy days of summer (Bangles?)

Graham
Penzance

Oh the Watering Hole (final pic on the www.cornwallcam.co.uk/ link )
is a great spot for a drink, just above a summer beach volleyball
court, on a spot almost guaranteeing a wave.

Graham
Penzance

Our 36 hours of snow was fun while it lasted, now I can't wait to get
back to the lazy hazy days of summer (Bangles?)

Not quite
Hazy shade of winter!

Col-

That's it, I knew it wasn't quite right!

Graham

cheers Will...

great insight as always.

Will Hand wrote:
Very much so. As we go into March we should end up with an easterly. I'm not
relying on model outputs for this, but the following reasoning. The
northerly (which I never really talked about) was never really on IMO.
Instead, if you remember I talked about a return to Atlantic mobility from
NW to SE, that will happen of sorts but the main effect will be to transfer
the high cell from over us to just further east and then build over
Scandinavia. There is just enough progression in the longwaves to allow
this. Once established the pattern will be of the correct wavelength to
become stationary allowing the very cold and potentially bitter spell with
widespread snow to begin.

Will
--

terry tibbs wrote:
so much for a false spring!

is the cold still on Will?


Dave Cornwell wrote:
It would appear that Mr.*******i's warning of continued severe cold
and Will's thoughts of a cold outbreak and false Spring now look to
have been postponed or abandoned. Despite the charts seemingly
unanimous on a strong northerly a couple of days ago it seems less
likely now. More than a week ahead again ........... always the
same. Some good drying weather instead, hopefully.

Dave

"Col" wrote in message
...

"Graham Easterling" wrote in message
...
On 18 Feb, 18:47, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:
It would appear that Mr.*******i's warning of continued severe cold and
Will's thoughts of a cold outbreak and false Spring now look to have
been
postponed or abandoned. Despite the charts seemingly unanimous on a
strong
northerly a couple of days ago it seems less likely now. More than a
week
ahead again ........... always the same. Some good drying weather
instead,
hopefully.

Dave

Well, it's been like Spring here for a few days now. Beach car parks
have been quite full on occasion.

www.cornwallcam.co.uk/

Our 36 hours of snow was fun while it lasted, now I can't wait to get
back to the lazy hazy days of summer (Bangles?)

Not quite
Hazy shade of winter!

Col

When the snow arrived in the south, the 2nd of Feb certainly
turned out to be a Manic Monday :-)