Take this with a huge pinch of salt, but over the past week I have had an
increasing hunch that this summer is likely to be very dry with long warm
spells interspersed with a few very localised dramatic thunderstorms. Not a
record breaker in terms of temperature but notable for its dryness with the
Azores high closer than normal. Are my hunches worth anything? I'll let you
all be the judge of that :-)

Will
--

Perhaps we should pool our hunches, and produce a probabilistic forecast!
(USWENS)

--
Bernard Burton
Wokingham, Berkshire, UK.

Satellite images at:
www.woksat.info/wwp.html

"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
Take this with a huge pinch of salt, but over the past week I have had an
increasing hunch that this summer is likely to be very dry with long warm
spells interspersed with a few very localised dramatic thunderstorms. Not
a
record breaker in terms of temperature but notable for its dryness with
the
Azores high closer than normal. Are my hunches worth anything? I'll let
you
all be the judge of that :-)

Will
--

You know that is not a bad idea! We have to be aware of "wish lists" though?
My hunch is genuine as it is not the sort of summer I want (would prefer a
bit more "action"), so I cannot be accused of wishing myself.

Will
--

Bernard Burton wrote:
Perhaps we should pool our hunches, and produce a probabilistic
forecast! (USWENS)


"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
Take this with a huge pinch of salt, but over the past week I have
had an increasing hunch that this summer is likely to be very dry
with long warm spells interspersed with a few very localised
dramatic thunderstorms. Not a record breaker in terms of temperature
but notable for its dryness with the Azores high closer than normal.
Are my hunches worth anything? I'll let you all be the judge of that
:-)

Will
--

Will Hand wrote:

Take this with a huge pinch of salt, but over the past week I have had an
increasing hunch that this summer is likely to be very dry with long warm
spells interspersed with a few very localised dramatic thunderstorms. Not a
record breaker in terms of temperature but notable for its dryness with the
Azores high closer than normal. Are my hunches worth anything? I'll let you
all be the judge of that :-)

Will - my hunch has been of the reverse, another non-event "cool"
summer like last year. This is based on no particular reasoning !

Richard

Could be so... just back from a fieldcourse with students in Portugal and
the weather this last week as exactly the same as at the April last
year... - not that that really means anything.

Anyway, warmer and drier than the last two summers is probably a pretty good
bet!

Chris



"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
Take this with a huge pinch of salt, but over the past week I have had an
increasing hunch that this summer is likely to be very dry with long warm
spells interspersed with a few very localised dramatic thunderstorms. Not
a record breaker in terms of temperature but notable for its dryness with
the Azores high closer than normal. Are my hunches worth anything? I'll
let you all be the judge of that :-)

Will
--

increasing hunch that this summer is likely to be very dry with long warm
spells interspersed with a few very localised dramatic thunderstorms.

Something in me bones thinks you might be right Will. What you forecast
would be a continuation of the weather regime we have had since autumn last
year.

After two wet summers, long dry spells will suit me just fine, and maybe the
odd thunderstorm to keep the countryside from turning brown and provide a
bit of interest.

The only thing to bugger it all up is a return of westerlies in mid to late
June.
________________
Nick.
Otter Valley, Devon
83 m amsl
http://www.ottervalley.co.uk

"Nick Gardner" wrote in message
...
increasing hunch that this summer is likely to be very dry with long warm
spells interspersed with a few very localised dramatic thunderstorms.

Something in me bones thinks you might be right Will. What you forecast
would be a continuation of the weather regime we have had since autumn
last year.

After two wet summers, long dry spells will suit me just fine, and maybe
the odd thunderstorm to keep the countryside from turning brown and
provide a bit of interest.

The only thing to bugger it all up is a return of westerlies in mid to
late June.

Ah, the good old 'European Monsoon'.
Manage to avoid that it could be a good summer.
If not, average to bad.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

The only thing to bugger it all up is a return of westerlies in mid to late
June.
________________
Nick.

Have you been reading your H H Lamb?

Graham
Penzance

On Mar 27, 10:08*am, "Will Hand" wrote:
Take this with a huge pinch of salt, but over the past week I have had an
increasing hunch that this summer is likely to be very dry with long warm
spells interspersed with a few very localised dramatic thunderstorms. Not a
record breaker in terms of temperature but notable for its dryness with the
Azores high closer than normal. Are my hunches worth anything? I'll let you
all be the judge of that :-)

Will
--

Just so long as you don't claim it as a "forecast" when it happens to
be dry warm and sunny. There is absolutely no relaible way of telling
what the UK summer will be like, from the viewpoint of the end of
March of the same year. *)) Yor hunches are worth nothing, I'm
afraid; except to other people that have hunches.

On 27 Mar, 19:31, smallbabe wrote:
On Mar 27, 10:08*am, "Will Hand" wrote:

Take this with a huge pinch of salt, but over the past week I have had an
increasing hunch that this summer is likely to be very dry with long warm
spells interspersed with a few very localised dramatic thunderstorms. Not a
record breaker in terms of temperature but notable for its dryness with the
Azores high closer than normal. Are my hunches worth anything? I'll let you
all be the judge of that :-)

Will
--

Just so long as you don't claim it as a "forecast" when it happens to
be dry warm and sunny. There is absolutely no relaible way of telling
what the UK summer will be like, from the viewpoint of the end of
March of the same year. *)) Yor hunches are worth nothing, I'm
afraid; except to other people that have hunches.

Dawlish I believe?

Graham
Penzance