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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Rather long and old hat but bear with me:
A phase at midday or midnight indicates a misty cool spell of clam weather with any winds coming from the north or east. This is true, too, for times at 6 o'clock. The pressure system is stalled with Lows and Highs in almost equal number surrounding Britain and the overall pressure something like 1016 millibars. Going back one hour to 11 o'clock (or 5) the weather in Britain tends to be fine. Cold nights and sunny days with little cloud. Back another hour and the weather tends to be unsettled with ridges or troughs (spurs from High or Low pressure areas) intruding. Those spells are likely to bring volcanic activity earth wide. Which in turn aught to mean that the pressure in the North Atlantic at least (I can't really comment on the North Pacific) should be slack. That is, the Low pressure areas not very low and the Highs not very high. With lunar phases at around 9 or 3 o'clock there should be a lot of thunder about Britain. (Not that much as other countries go but for us any thunderstorm is to be savoured.) 8 and 2 o'clock phases should bring tornadoes to the US Midwest. (Actually it should bring a series of nation wide storms there starting in the NW and moving to the east in summer further south in winter.) In Britain we tend to get ridges and troughs again but the clouds betraying the weather are more like the ones associated with derecho winds in North America; long cylindrical striations usually stretching from hill to hill often crossing the horizon. And with the phases at 1 o'clock and at 7 o'clock we get weather from the Atlantic proper. Driving rain and windy stuff. Lots of it. OK. That was the easy bit. Now let's look at the permutations. |
#2
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On Jun 11, 8:00*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Rather long and old hat but bear with me: A phase at midday or midnight indicates a misty cool spell of clam weather with any winds coming from the north or east. This is true, too, for times at 6 o'clock. The pressure system is stalled with Lows and Highs in almost equal number surrounding Britain and the overall pressure something like 1016 millibars. Going back one hour to 11 o'clock (or 5) the weather in Britain tends to be fine. Cold nights and sunny days with little cloud. Back another hour and the weather tends to be unsettled with ridges or troughs (spurs from High or Low pressure areas) intruding. Those spells are likely to bring volcanic activity earth wide. Which in turn aught to mean that the pressure in the North Atlantic at least (I can't really comment on the North Pacific) should be slack. That is, the Low pressure areas not very low and the Highs not very high. With lunar phases at around 9 or 3 o'clock there should be a lot of thunder about Britain. (Not that much as other countries go but for us any thunderstorm is to be savoured.) 8 and 2 o'clock phases should bring tornadoes to the US Midwest. (Actually it should bring a series of nation wide storms there starting in the NW and moving to the east in summer further south in winter.) In Britain we tend to get ridges and troughs again but the clouds betraying the weather are more like the ones associated with derecho winds in North America; long cylindrical striations usually stretching from hill to hill often crossing the horizon. And with the phases at 1 o'clock and at 7 o'clock we get weather from the Atlantic proper. Driving rain and windy stuff. Lots of it. OK. That was the easy bit. Now let's look at the permutations. Have you a scrap of evidence for any of these bizzare links between lunar phases and the weather on one tiny part of the earth's surface? |
#3
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On Jun 11, 8:18*am, Dawlish wrote:
Have you a scrap of evidence for any of these bizzare links between lunar phases and the weather on one tiny part of the earth's surface? Yes. Or no. As the case may be. What is a bizzare. Is it a blizzard in mid summer? Define "a scrap of evidence" And: "tiny part of the earth's surface". Which "one"? In unity there is strength. In your case it will take all weak. |
#4
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On Jun 11, 9:35*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Jun 11, 8:18*am, Dawlish wrote: Have you a scrap of evidence for any of these bizzare links between lunar phases and the weather on one tiny part of the earth's surface? Yes. Or no. As the case may be. What is a bizzare. Is it a blizzard in mid summer? Define "a scrap of evidence" And: "tiny part of the earth's surface". Which "one"? In unity there is strength. In your case it will take all weak. All you have done is make statements which you somehow feel are causal links. W: no evidence - no use. |
#5
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On Jun 11, 9:49*am, Dawlish wrote:
All you have done is make statements which you somehow feel are causal links. Or rather, in your case, links missing. no evidence - no use. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course if that is the case, will you. Still, never mind, eh? Mustn't grumble. At least you live out Exitdoorway. Things could be worse. Half a nice day. |
#6
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On Jun 11, 9:17*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Jun 11, 9:49*am, Dawlish wrote: All you have done is make statements which you somehow feel are causal links. Or rather, in your case, links missing. no evidence - no use. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course if that is the case, will you. Still, never mind, eh? Mustn't grumble. At least you live out Exitdoorway. Things could be worse. Half a nice day. Then produce some outcome evidence W and stop evading the issue. As I said - and it is completely pertinent, however much you'd like it to go away; "no evidence - no use". After monitoring of 8 predictions, an outcome percentage success of 14.2% doesn't look good. I'm awaiting the "strong" earthquakes around the Isthmus of Panama in this quarter "spell". You've still got a couple of days left and I imagine your fingers are now crossed as I'll add this to the monitoring. That kind of success rate makes all the causal links you've referred to, in the first post on here, more than questionable. Really it would make anyone think that they simply don't exist except for you. The abuse can't be far away. |
#7
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On Jun 12, 7:30*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 11, 9:17*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: no evidence - no use. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course if that is the case, will you. The abuse can't be far away. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course... Oh, dear its that deja vu again. |
#8
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On Jun 12, 8:09*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Jun 12, 7:30*am, Dawlish wrote: On Jun 11, 9:17*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: no evidence - no use. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course if that is the case, will you. The abuse can't be far away. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course... Oh, dear its that deja vu again. W. You are not kidding! Deja vu.....blimy! Every time. Escape the ask in any way whatsoever. Phrase the forecasts in unintelligable language and don't be specific; ever. Don't give any indication of outcomes. Don't discuss why forecasts were successful, or, more often than not, unsuccessful. Try to denigrate anyone who monitors what you are doing. Resort abuse as a measure at any stage. Still a couple of days before this "spell" runs out. No indication of "strong" earthquakes around the Isthmus of Panama. Mind you; just think how you could have come back if you'd guessed Vanuatu this time......oh, but look here!! "My money would be on the Loyalty Islands and Vanuatu. They are always good to go." http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...d7ee72268f3d0b Good guess; wrong spell! You cannot be serious! |
#9
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On Fri, 12 Jun 2009 09:06:43 -0700 (PDT), Dawlish
wrote: On Jun 12, 8:09=A0am, Weatherlawyer wrote: On Jun 12, 7:30=A0am, Dawlish wrote: On Jun 11, 9:17=A0pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: no evidence - no use. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course if that is the case, will you. The abuse can't be far away. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course... Oh, dear its that deja vu again. W. You are not kidding! Deja vu.....blimy! Every time. Escape the ask in any way whatsoever. Phrase the forecasts in unintelligable language and don't be specific; ever. Don't give any indication of outcomes. Don't discuss why forecasts were successful, or, more often than not, unsuccessful. Try to denigrate anyone who monitors what you are doing. Resort abuse as a measure at any stage. Still a couple of days before this "spell" runs out. No indication of "strong" earthquakes around the Isthmus of Panama. Mind you; just think how you could have come back if you'd guessed Vanuatu this time......oh, but look here!! "My money would be on the Loyalty Islands and Vanuatu. They are always good to go." http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...ad/thread/1b8= 05ab87592ad62/39d7ee72268f3d0b#39d7ee72268f3d0b Good guess; wrong spell! You cannot be serious! Do you ever think that you're barking up the wrong tree, Dawlish? WL reminds me of the late great Tommy Cooper who mostly could not successfully manage to perform a magic trick on stage but nevertheless always kept people (including me) entertained. WL also throws some pretty clever puns and phrases our way if you watch out for them. Keep it coming, Mr McNeil.....!! Geoff ( ;- )} |
#10
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the idiot dawlish is back again spamming us with his crap gfs t+240
betting shop bugger off will you Dawlish wrote: On Jun 12, 8:09 am, Weatherlawyer wrote: On Jun 12, 7:30 am, Dawlish wrote: On Jun 11, 9:17 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: no evidence - no use. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course if that is the case, will you. The abuse can't be far away. And unfortunately for us, you won't realise your best course... Oh, dear its that deja vu again. W. You are not kidding! Deja vu.....blimy! Every time. Escape the ask in any way whatsoever. Phrase the forecasts in unintelligable language and don't be specific; ever. Don't give any indication of outcomes. Don't discuss why forecasts were successful, or, more often than not, unsuccessful. Try to denigrate anyone who monitors what you are doing. Resort abuse as a measure at any stage. Still a couple of days before this "spell" runs out. No indication of "strong" earthquakes around the Isthmus of Panama. Mind you; just think how you could have come back if you'd guessed Vanuatu this time......oh, but look here!! "My money would be on the Loyalty Islands and Vanuatu. They are always good to go." http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...d7ee72268f3d0b Good guess; wrong spell! You cannot be serious! |
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